04.01.2015 Views

M-4 Vol. XXX, No. 21 May 24, 2007 FUTURES MARKET WATCH ...

M-4 Vol. XXX, No. 21 May 24, 2007 FUTURES MARKET WATCH ...

M-4 Vol. XXX, No. 21 May 24, 2007 FUTURES MARKET WATCH ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

M-4 <strong>Vol</strong>. <strong>XXX</strong>, <strong>No</strong>. <strong>21</strong> <strong>May</strong> <strong>24</strong>, <strong>2007</strong><br />

<strong>FUTURES</strong> <strong>MARKET</strong> <strong>WATCH</strong><br />

Month Commodity 5/18 5/<strong>21</strong> 5/22 5/23 5/<strong>24</strong><br />

July<br />

September<br />

Corn<br />

Corn<br />

3.71<br />

3.69<br />

3.68<br />

3.72<br />

3.69<br />

3.71<br />

3.68<br />

3.71<br />

3.76<br />

3.76<br />

July<br />

<strong>No</strong>vember<br />

Soybeans<br />

Soybeans<br />

7.92<br />

8.<strong>21</strong><br />

7.94<br />

8.<strong>21</strong><br />

7.93<br />

8.22<br />

8.00<br />

8.30<br />

8.05<br />

8.34<br />

July<br />

December<br />

Wheat<br />

Wheat<br />

4.71<br />

4.94<br />

4.72<br />

4.97<br />

4.71<br />

4.96<br />

4.76<br />

5.02<br />

4.91<br />

5.14<br />

July Soybean Meal <strong>21</strong>2.00 <strong>21</strong>5.00 <strong>21</strong>4.80 <strong>21</strong>8.90 <strong>21</strong>7.20<br />

July<br />

December<br />

Cotton<br />

Cotton<br />

49.76<br />

54.35<br />

50.54<br />

56.40<br />

50.32<br />

55.40<br />

49.14<br />

54.43<br />

50.09<br />

55.15<br />

<strong>May</strong><br />

October<br />

Feeder Cattle<br />

Feeder Cattle<br />

109.12<br />

112.55<br />

108.92<br />

112.54<br />

108.65<br />

112.27<br />

108.32<br />

111.40<br />

108.07<br />

110.45<br />

June<br />

October<br />

Live Cattle<br />

Live Cattle<br />

92.65<br />

96.40<br />

93.60<br />

96.99<br />

92.50<br />

96.27<br />

91.85<br />

96.07<br />

91.10<br />

95.47<br />

June<br />

July<br />

Lean Hogs<br />

Lean Hogs<br />

75.40<br />

74.67<br />

75.32<br />

74.32<br />

74.65<br />

73.50<br />

74.62<br />

73.50<br />

OPTIONS <strong>MARKET</strong> <strong>WATCH</strong> (5/<strong>24</strong>/07)<br />

Commodity Strike Put Premiums Call Premiums<br />

Cotton .54/lb. Jly<br />

4.92<br />

Wheat 4.70/bu. Jly<br />

.072<br />

Soybeans 8.00/bu. Jly<br />

.175<br />

Corn 3.70/bu. Jly<br />

.120<br />

Hogs 74.00/cwt. Jun<br />

8.50<br />

Fed Cattle 92.00/cwt Jun<br />

1.43<br />

Feeder Cattle 110.00/cwt. <strong>May</strong><br />

1.93<br />

Oct<br />

3.<strong>24</strong><br />

Sep<br />

.153<br />

Aug<br />

.276<br />

Sep<br />

.252<br />

Jly<br />

2.20<br />

Aug<br />

2.98<br />

Aug<br />

2.70<br />

Dec<br />

2.68<br />

Dec<br />

.207<br />

<strong>No</strong>v<br />

.354<br />

Dec<br />

.331<br />

Aug<br />

2.98<br />

Oct<br />

2.75<br />

Sep<br />

3.30<br />

Jly<br />

0.15<br />

Jly<br />

.285<br />

Jly<br />

.227<br />

Jly<br />

.184<br />

Jun<br />

1.80<br />

Jun<br />

5.25<br />

<strong>May</strong><br />

0.25<br />

Oct<br />

1.91<br />

Sep<br />

.393<br />

Aug<br />

.402<br />

Sep<br />

.313<br />

Jly<br />

2.13<br />

Aug<br />

2.20<br />

Aug<br />

----<br />

74.95<br />

73.92<br />

Dec<br />

2.40<br />

Dec<br />

.556<br />

<strong>No</strong>v<br />

.686<br />

Dec<br />

.357<br />

Aug<br />

2.40<br />

Oct<br />

5.50<br />

Sep<br />

4.78<br />

FUTURE <strong>MARKET</strong> TREND ANALYSIS* Corn -Down; Soybeans -Up; Cattle - Up; Hogs - Down<br />

*The trend analysis is based on moving averages. For detailed information on the moving trends and their use contact the<br />

Extension Ag. Economics Department.<br />

This report is available at http://www.ces.uga.edu/Agriculture/agecon/newsltr.html


LIVESTOCK & GRAIN STATISTICS<br />

Grain Exports<br />

(1000Bu.) This Week Last Week<br />

Year<br />

Ago<br />

Total to Date<br />

For Mktg.<br />

Year<br />

Total to Date<br />

Last Year<br />

% This Year<br />

Of Last<br />

Week Ending 5/17/07<br />

Corn 22,653 40,887 53,106 1,486,346 1,378,931 108%<br />

Soybeans 11,<strong>21</strong>1 8,609 6,367 961,003 776,551 1<strong>24</strong>%<br />

Wheat 22,190 23,660 15,638 857,517 941,519 91%<br />

Week Ending 5/19/07<br />

Cattle 702 669 702 12,608 12,299 103%<br />

Hogs 1952 1934 1958 40,273 39,565 102%<br />

PROFIT SCOREBOARD<br />

ENTERPRISE, YIELD<br />

AND <strong>MARKET</strong>ING<br />

SYSTEM<br />

THURSDAY'S<br />

CLOSING<br />

<strong>FUTURES</strong> PRICE<br />

LESS<br />

ESTIMATED<br />

BASIS EQUALS<br />

FORWARD<br />

PRICING<br />

OPPORTUNITY<br />

ON THURSDAY<br />

OUT OF POCKET<br />

AND TOTAL<br />

PRODUCTION<br />

COSTS<br />

POTENTIAL<br />

(RETURNS TO<br />

ND & MGT.)<br />

CHANCE OF<br />

POSITIVE<br />

RETURN TO<br />

LAND AND<br />

MGT. *<br />

Wheat<br />

40 .bu./acre<br />

July 4.91 -.25 4.66/ bu. 2.33/bu.<br />

3.56/bu.<br />

.0/bu.<br />

1.10/bu<br />

98%<br />

83%<br />

Corn - Irrigated<br />

150 bu./acre<br />

Dec. 3.73 .05 3.78/bu. 1.87/bu.<br />

2.80/bu.<br />

1.91/bu.<br />

.98/bu.<br />

99%<br />

95%<br />

Soybeans - Dry land<br />

30 bu./acre<br />

<strong>No</strong>v. 8.34 -.20 8.14/bu. 4.71/bu.<br />

7.01/bu.<br />

3.43/bu.<br />

1.13/bu<br />

93%<br />

74%<br />

BT/RR Cotton - Dry<br />

land<br />

650 lb./acre<br />

Dec. .55 -.04 .51/lb. .48/lb.<br />

.63/lb.<br />

.3/bu.<br />

-.12/lb<br />

70%<br />

<strong>21</strong>%<br />

BT/RR Cotton -<br />

Irrigated<br />

1000 lb./acre<br />

Dec. .55 -.04 .51/lb. .40/lb.<br />

.57/lb.<br />

.11/lb.<br />

-.6/lb.<br />

99%<br />

8%<br />

Fed Cattle<br />

Placed in this week sell<br />

at 1200 lbs.<br />

Dec. 95.22 -1.50 93.72/cwt 83.69/cwt<br />

83.69/cwt<br />

10.03/cwt<br />

10.03/cwt<br />

99%<br />

99%<br />

Hogs<br />

Farrow to Finish*<br />

Farrowing this week<br />

Dec. 46.66 -3.60 43.06/cwt. 31.97/cwt<br />

40.26/cwt.<br />

11.09/cwt<br />

2.80/cwt<br />

99%<br />

39%<br />

Feeder Pig<br />

Finishing*<br />

Placed this week<br />

Oct. 48.07 -.10 47.97/cwt. 42.52/cwt.<br />

45.62/cwt.<br />

5.45/cwt<br />

2.35/cwt<br />

99%<br />

99%<br />

*Total Confinement<br />

Cost of production figures may be obtained upon request. Each cost of production is an estimate of cost for a Georgia producer at the indicated yield. Participation in<br />

Government commodity programs can greatly affect the level of profitability for the various crop enterprises. Land and management cost are not included in the crop<br />

and livestock cost estimates. * Excludes LDP for crops.


GRAIN PRICE PROFILE<br />

Cash Bids and New Crop Contacts<br />

CORN WHEAT SOYBEANS<br />

Location Cash Contract* Cash Contract** Cash Contract***<br />

Southwest Ga.<br />

Southeast Ga.<br />

Central Ga.<br />

<strong>No</strong>rth<br />

Brunswick<br />

*Aug-Sept Delivery **<strong>May</strong>-June Delivery ***Oct-Dec Delivery<br />

Cash Wheat Mill Direct - Macon -------<br />

FEED CASH PRICE<br />

MID WESTERN CORN SOYBEAN MEAL 48%<br />

This week Last week This week Last week<br />

FOB NORTH GA. -------- -------- ----------- ----------<br />

FOB SOUTH GA. -------- -------- ---------- ----------<br />

FOB EAST GA. -------- -------- ------- ----------<br />

Georgia ASCS Posted Adjusted Market Price:<br />

Adjusted World Price Cotton<br />

LIVESTOCK PRICE PROFILE<br />

GEORGIA AUCTION <strong>May</strong> <strong>24</strong>, <strong>2007</strong><br />

*Prices furnished by Federal State Market News, Thomasville, GA. For up-to-date prices call (1-800-342-1440)<br />

Medium Frame #1 Steers: 2-250 cwt $135-165 down $6 from last week; 250-3 cwt $130-158 up $1 from last week;<br />

3-350 cwt $123-145 down $3 from last week; 350-4 cwt $117-130 down $4 from last week; 4-450 cwt $110-1<strong>24</strong><br />

down $5 from last week; 450-5 cwt $105-119 down $4 from last week; 5-550 cwt $104-115 down $2 from last week;<br />

550-6 cwt $100-115 same as last week; 6-650 cwt $96-108 up $6 from last week; 650-7 cwt $90-107 down $5 from<br />

last week; 7-750 cwt $93-105 up $2 from last week.<br />

Medium Frame #1 Heifers: 2-250 cwt $120-135 down $5 from last week; 250-3 cwt $117-125 down $8 from last<br />

week; 3-350 cwt $112-130 same as last week; 350-4 cwt $105-116 down $6 from last week; 4-450 cwt $101-111<br />

down $4 from last week; 450-5 cwt $99-113 down $2 from last week; 5-550 cwt $94-109 down $1 from last week;<br />

550-6 cwt $91-102 down $1 from last week; 6-650 cwt $89-97 down $1 from last week; 650-7 cwt $87-95 same as<br />

last week.<br />

Slaughter Classes: Breakers $47-48 down $9 from last week; Boners $47-53 down $5 from last week; Boners Hi<br />

Yield $54-55 down $5 from last week; Lean $43-48 down $7 from last week.<br />

Live and Carcass Hog Price -Eastern Cornbelt Direct (5/23/07) Barrows & Gilts - Live Basis <strong>24</strong>0-280 lbs. $48.26-<br />

60.10 Average - 57.07 Carcass - 185 lbs $64.50-75.68 Average - 71.34<br />

Sows 500 lbs.-up : $40.25-43.13 Average - 41.09<br />

John C. McKissick<br />

Extension Economist-Livestock<br />

George Shumaker<br />

Extension Economist-Grain Marketing<br />

COUNTY EXTENSION AGENT OR DIRECTOR

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!