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Air Traffic Management Concept Baseline Definition - The Boeing ...

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3. It can consist of predetermined actions based on group or individual experience and<br />

not published anywhere, and can be as extreme as stopping all departures from a<br />

particular airport if a sector becomes dangerously overloaded.<br />

<strong>The</strong>re are major differences in the controller’s cognitive workload between allowing<br />

aircraft to fly in a non-airways system, searching for conflicts as the traffic levels grow,<br />

using novel strategies for each situation, versus that of enforcing structure and limiting<br />

conflicts to particular, well-defined points where pre-determined strategies can be utilized<br />

to resolve them.<br />

<strong>The</strong> current strategy for reducing the cognitive workload on controllers when predicting<br />

conflicts is to restrict traffic to conform to a particular structure. In this way, the cognitive<br />

load per aircraft can be reduced so that the overall level (resulting from the total traffic)<br />

remains at a manageable level.<br />

<strong>The</strong> degree of detail on each aircraft’s passage through a domain of responsibility, which<br />

the controller must retain, can be reduced using this structuring technique. If all aircraft<br />

are on individual routes and profiles, then the removal of all structure and constraints from<br />

the ATC system may well reduce the actual incidence of conflicts. However, although the<br />

incidence of actual conflict may be reduced, there would probably be an increase in the<br />

controller’s cognitive load because of the demand for more detail on each individual flight<br />

in order to detect potential conflicts.<br />

It is important to keep in mind that the primary role of the controller is to detect and<br />

resolve potential conflicts, before they become actual conflicts. <strong>The</strong> act of tactical planning<br />

and its constant revision reflect this responsibility. (See Section 6.4 for a discussion on<br />

how to reduce the workload of searching for potential conflicts).<br />

This issue is most obvious in terminal airspace where, due to the uncertainty of aircraft<br />

performance in the vertical plane and the lack of good quality intent information currently<br />

available, there are many more potential conflicts than for aircraft in a more stable cruise<br />

environment. This aspect of detecting potential conflicts and understanding the heuristics<br />

for determining what is a potential conflict are important aspects when establishing fast<br />

time simulations to forecast the effects of different airspace organizations. It is the<br />

potential conflict that creates workload for the controller, and in any situation where<br />

aircraft are climbing and/or descending towards each other there is a need to manage the<br />

uncertainty of these potential conflicts by close monitoring and probably positive<br />

intervention until the situation becomes certain.<br />

How controllers assess and manage uncertainty needs to be clearly understood before<br />

schemes that involve removal or modification of some of the structures used to manage<br />

uncertainty are implemented. Human factors knowledge needs to be used in determining<br />

the impact of airspace structure on capacity, and the requirements for support for the<br />

controller’s cognitive workload in a system that has less structure than at present.<br />

4.3.4 Sharing Responsibility<br />

Responsibility for separation assurance is usually vested in the controller except for very<br />

specific situations (i.e. during visual meteorological conditions (VMC) when limited<br />

52

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