Air Traffic Management Concept Baseline Definition - The Boeing ...

Air Traffic Management Concept Baseline Definition - The Boeing ... Air Traffic Management Concept Baseline Definition - The Boeing ...

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Preface This report documents research undertaken by the National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research, under Federal Aviation Administration Research Grant Number 96-C-001. This document has not been reviewed by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). Any opinions expressed herein do not necessarily reflect those of the FAA or the U.S. Department of Transportation. This document consists of the ATM Concept Baseline Definition, which incorporates material from the NAS Stakeholders Needs report prepared as a separate volume. The NAS Stakeholders Needs report should be viewed as an adjunct to this volume, and is included as part of Boeing’s submission under NEXTOR Contract #DTFA03-97-00004, Subagreement #SA1636JB. ii

Executive Summary This report presents an operational concept for the U.S. National Airspace System (NAS) through the year 2015, including a transition path from the current system. This concept was developed by Boeing Commercial Airplane Group for NASA’s Advanced Air Transportation Technologies (AATT) program, under subcontract with NEXTOR (National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research). The operational concept presented here is aimed at driving research to support preliminary design decisions for the NAS, which will produce top level technical and human factors requirements to achieve the system mission. Detailed concept validation research must then be performed, where technology and human factors will be combined with economic evaluation of concept components to fully define the operational concept and architecture. Thus, the concept presented here, although well supported by rationale as to what might be feasible in the next two decades, must be subjected to critical analysis and validation. A companion report presents the results of a survey of NAS stakeholder needs, conducted May-August 1997, which details stakeholders’ concerns about terminal area capacity and access to airspace through 2015. Stakeholders also expressed the need to maintain or improve safety in the NAS, and a need for increased emphasis on human factors research. This report discusses the various factors that can force change in the NAS, and develops a rationale for considering traffic growth as the primary driver for the ATM operational concept. The NAS mission goals are defined in terms of safety, capacity and efficiency, and a scenario is presented that predicts NAS traffic gridlock by 2006, where the terminal area will be the primary choke point. If not averted, this will make current airline hubbing operations infeasible, lead to escalation of operating costs and constrain economic growth. This scenario is used as the basis for the operational concept, and high density operations are emphasized in the report. Highlights of the concept evolution presented in this report are: 1. Airspace will be configured to support a certain density of operation, ranging from high to low, through dynamic partitioning. 2. Access to airspace will be based on the required system performance for the airspace operation. A given aircraft will be qualified to a maximum Required System Performance (RSP) level in which it can operate. RSP is developed by considering ATM-related safety through an analysis of collision risk for the overall separation assurance function. 3. A uniform CNS infrastructure performance is assumed to be provided throughout the NAS, except for Category II-III landing and surface operations. 4. High density separation services will be provided neither by procedural nor radar separation, but by a new precision form of separation assurance. This will allow system throughput to be maximized where shared precision trajectory intent and a universal time reference are assumed. 5. Low density separation services will be provided in other airspace, where user freedom to select and modify the flight trajectory is allowed. iii

Executive Summary<br />

This report presents an operational concept for the U.S. National <strong>Air</strong>space System (NAS)<br />

through the year 2015, including a transition path from the current system. This concept<br />

was developed by <strong>Boeing</strong> Commercial <strong>Air</strong>plane Group for NASA’s Advanced <strong>Air</strong><br />

Transportation Technologies (AATT) program, under subcontract with NEXTOR<br />

(National Center of Excellence for Aviation Operations Research).<br />

<strong>The</strong> operational concept presented here is aimed at driving research to support preliminary<br />

design decisions for the NAS, which will produce top level technical and human factors<br />

requirements to achieve the system mission. Detailed concept validation research must<br />

then be performed, where technology and human factors will be combined with economic<br />

evaluation of concept components to fully define the operational concept and architecture.<br />

Thus, the concept presented here, although well supported by rationale as to what might<br />

be feasible in the next two decades, must be subjected to critical analysis and validation.<br />

A companion report presents the results of a survey of NAS stakeholder needs, conducted<br />

May-August 1997, which details stakeholders’ concerns about terminal area capacity and<br />

access to airspace through 2015. Stakeholders also expressed the need to maintain or<br />

improve safety in the NAS, and a need for increased emphasis on human factors research.<br />

This report discusses the various factors that can force change in the NAS, and develops a<br />

rationale for considering traffic growth as the primary driver for the ATM operational<br />

concept. <strong>The</strong> NAS mission goals are defined in terms of safety, capacity and efficiency,<br />

and a scenario is presented that predicts NAS traffic gridlock by 2006, where the terminal<br />

area will be the primary choke point. If not averted, this will make current airline hubbing<br />

operations infeasible, lead to escalation of operating costs and constrain economic growth.<br />

This scenario is used as the basis for the operational concept, and high density operations<br />

are emphasized in the report.<br />

Highlights of the concept evolution presented in this report are:<br />

1. <strong>Air</strong>space will be configured to support a certain density of operation, ranging from<br />

high to low, through dynamic partitioning.<br />

2. Access to airspace will be based on the required system performance for the airspace<br />

operation. A given aircraft will be qualified to a maximum Required System<br />

Performance (RSP) level in which it can operate. RSP is developed by considering<br />

ATM-related safety through an analysis of collision risk for the overall separation<br />

assurance function.<br />

3. A uniform CNS infrastructure performance is assumed to be provided throughout the<br />

NAS, except for Category II-III landing and surface operations.<br />

4. High density separation services will be provided neither by procedural nor radar<br />

separation, but by a new precision form of separation assurance. This will allow<br />

system throughput to be maximized where shared precision trajectory intent and a<br />

universal time reference are assumed.<br />

5. Low density separation services will be provided in other airspace, where user freedom<br />

to select and modify the flight trajectory is allowed.<br />

iii

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