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Air Traffic Management Concept Baseline Definition - The Boeing ...

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Environmental (ENV)<br />

This category focuses on possible constraints stemming from tougher future environmental<br />

regulations.<br />

Human-centered/System-centered (A)<br />

<strong>The</strong> human/system related issues such as human-centered ATM design and structure are<br />

presented under this category.<br />

<strong>The</strong> above broad categories support a more specific issues list, itself composed of a<br />

collage of texts drawn from the various documented sources. This helps to structure the<br />

top level issues in meaningful sets of issues which inform the scenario writing process. It<br />

should be noted that the list below is structured and generally ordered beginning at the top<br />

with the broader, more external issues first (e.g. environmental, changing international<br />

relationships, et. al.) following with more internal issues towards the bottom(e.g. airport<br />

capacity, FAA organizational culture and workforce et. al.). This helps to continuously<br />

contextualize the many interrelated issues considered in this scenario. <strong>The</strong> 13 global<br />

scenario issues are:<br />

Issue # 1: <strong>Air</strong> traffic growth and demand: twenty year outlook<br />

Issue # 2 : Some limitations of future ATM concepts<br />

Issue # 3: Changing international relationships<br />

Issue # 4: FAA funding reform<br />

Issue # 5: Environmental considerations<br />

Issue # 6: <strong>Air</strong> travel and alternatives<br />

Issue # 7: GPS and satellite-based navigation<br />

Issue # 8: ATC systems architecture<br />

Issue # 9: Ground handling<br />

Issue # 10: <strong>Air</strong>port capacity<br />

Issue # 11: <strong>Management</strong> of special use airspace<br />

Issue # 12: <strong>Air</strong>port safety<br />

Issue # 13: FAA organizational culture and workforce<br />

Section 7.1 presents the single global scenario and Appendix B contains the above issues<br />

list as well as the referenced texts from which the scenario was constructed.<br />

<strong>The</strong> approach in this section identifies traffic demand as the single most critical ‘driver’ of<br />

future air traffic system needs. <strong>The</strong> approach relates the future capacity, safety and<br />

efficiency needs of the system to assumed traffic growth. <strong>The</strong> <strong>Boeing</strong> Current Market<br />

Outlook (<strong>Boeing</strong>, 1997) summarizes the expected growth in air transport to the year<br />

2015 (Figure 2.3). <strong>The</strong> balance of this section focuses on economic issues and their<br />

impact on the demand scenarios for evaluation. <strong>The</strong> CMO indicates that about two-thirds<br />

of world air travel growth is derived from economic growth. Thus economic<br />

12

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