Air Traffic Management Concept Baseline Definition - The Boeing ...

• The goals of various users are so diverse that it may prove to be impossible to reach
equitable solutions, resulting in dilution of benefits.
• Airlines may block improvements for competitive reasons.
Scenarios for evaluation of the mission must exercise as many of the key risk areas as
possible. Also, the transition evaluation process must address risk as a key element in the
evaluation of system alternatives.
The development of a comprehensive set of future scenarios is beyond the scope of the
current contract activity, but this report presents an initial list of issues from which global
scenarios for evaluation can be synthesized. These scenario factors are summarized in
Appendix B, Global Scenarios. From various government, industry, and private
documented studies, a sample or collage of texts was assembled from which a single world
scenario was constructed. In particular, this subtask broaches a range of general ATM
issues, although by no means exhaustive, which highlight potential limitations, costs,
constraints, and assumptions which may be of importance to the modus operandi of the
envisioned NAS future. To help the development of such a global scenario, six general
categories were used:
1. Economics/Markets (E),
2. Organizational/Institutional/Operational (O),
3. Technological/Scientific (T),
4. Social/Political (S),
5. Environmental (ENV), and
6. Human-centered/System-centered (H).
A brief description of each broad category follows:
Economics/Markets (E)
This category reviews the best estimates and forecasts for future air traffic growth and
demand figures including a few corresponding issues associated with increased air traffic.
Organizational/Institutional/Operational (O)
Under this category a select sample of issues such as workload, organizational structure
and culture, and operational considerations were collated.
Technological/Scientific (T)
The increasingly technoscientific NAS operational infrastructure introduces a number of
potential pitfalls as well as promises. Issues related to widely utilized computer and
information technology-based support and automation are captured by this category.
Social/Political (S)
In a growing global context of air traffic flows, this category aims to present some of the
potential political and social issues which may impact future operations.
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