Air Traffic Management Concept Baseline Definition - The Boeing ...
Air Traffic Management Concept Baseline Definition - The Boeing ...
Air Traffic Management Concept Baseline Definition - The Boeing ...
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<strong>Traffic</strong><br />
Demand<br />
Scenarios<br />
Alternative<br />
Operational<br />
<strong>Concept</strong>s<br />
Mission Requirements<br />
•Stakeholder Objectives<br />
•Safety Constraints<br />
Goals<br />
• Safety<br />
• Capacity<br />
• Efficiency<br />
<strong>Concept</strong> Development<br />
•Enroute<br />
• Term/Surface<br />
•<strong>Air</strong>craft<br />
Revise<br />
<strong>Concept</strong><br />
Synthesis<br />
System Design<br />
and Implementation<br />
Required<br />
Performance<br />
Analysis<br />
RSP:<br />
• RCP, RNP, RMP<br />
• Operational<br />
Improvements<br />
Human Factors<br />
and Operations<br />
Available and<br />
Emerging<br />
Technologies<br />
<strong>Concept</strong> Evaluation<br />
• Technology Alternatives<br />
• Safety Analysis<br />
• Economic Analysis<br />
Revise<br />
Performance<br />
Metrics<br />
System Development<br />
and Integration<br />
•Architecture<br />
• Simulation<br />
• Prototyping<br />
Decision<br />
<strong>Concept</strong> <strong>Definition</strong><br />
ATM System<br />
Specs<br />
Evaluaton<br />
Figure 2.2 Requirements, <strong>Concept</strong>s, and Architecture<br />
<strong>The</strong> analysis of risk and the various forms of uncertainty which can influence system<br />
development is summarized here. In this instance, risk may be defined as the chance that<br />
predictions of future requirements will be significantly in error or that measures to<br />
accommodate growth will be unsuccessful. Major elements of risk can be found in the<br />
technical area, in politics, in regulation and in pressure on the stakeholders. Planning<br />
major changes over so extended a period carries a great deal of risk and there are many<br />
variables which must be taken into account. <strong>The</strong>re are several possible scenarios:<br />
• <strong>Traffic</strong> growth projections for the future may be too conservative, and growth may<br />
exceed expectations. Such initiatives may also result in growth in unexpected areas<br />
increasing the uncertainty associated with regional change.<br />
• <strong>Traffic</strong> growth may not meet expectations, which are based on expected passenger<br />
demand, in turn dependent on economic growth assumptions.<br />
• <strong>Traffic</strong> growth is normally assumed to be linear with time, whereas regional change<br />
may be much greater in some markets than others or the nature of the growth (pointto-point<br />
versus hub-and-spoke service) may change.<br />
<strong>The</strong> following material summarizes technical, political, regulatory and stakeholder risk.<br />
Technical Risk<br />
• <strong>The</strong> pace of technological advancement may render solutions under development<br />
obsolete even before they are implemented. Users are aware that some of the<br />
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