Air Traffic Management Concept Baseline Definition - The Boeing ...

cargo traffic will average 6.6% per year.
The world fleet will be 23,600 passenger and cargo jets in 2016.
The composition of the world fleet in 2016 will be:
69.1% single-aisle airplane.
23.5% intermediate-size airplanes.
7.4% 747-size or larger airplanes.
The total market potential for new commercial airplanes over the next twenty years is
16,160 airplanes, or an equivalent $1.1 trillion in 1996 us dollrs.
Airlines will take delivery of:
11,260 single-aisle airplanes.
3720 intermediate-size airplanes.
1180 747-size or larger airplanes. [Ref. 15, page 3] (E)
• Cooperative strategies, such as code sharing, concentrate traffic by serving the
customers of two airlines on a single airplane departure. Partners in the alliance can benefit
by accommodating the demand for frequency while enjoying the cost advantage of fewer
flights. However, cooperative strategies can also let airlines concentrate their traffic at
both ends of a city pair that would not warrant nonstop service by either airline alone. This
diverts traffic from existing pairs, increasing regional frequencies overall. Even in the same
city pair, alliances can increase competition. Large international markets where airlines
combine services are usually opened to additional competition as a prerequisite to the
alliance being permitted. Thus, traffic may actually end up divided among more
competitors or even competing alliances. [Ref. 15, page 25] (S), (E)
• Activity in the combined FAA and contract towered airports is projected to grow from
61.8 million operations in 1996 to 72.3 million in 2008, and increase of 1.3% annually.
The majority of this growth is expected to be the result of increased commercial aircraft
activity, which is forecast to increase from 24.0 million operations in 1996 to 31.5 million
in 2008, and increase of 2.3% annually. [Ref. 14, page I-14] (E)
• The workload of the air route traffic control centers is forecast to increase at an average
annual rate of 1.8% during the 12-year forecast period. in 2008, FAA en-route centers are
expected to handle 50.2 million IFR aircraft, up from 40.3 million in 1996. [Ref. 14, page
I-14] (O)
• U.S. commercial air carriers flew an estimated total of 12.3 million hours in 1996, up
from 12.0 million hours in 1995. Two aircraft categories for over three-fourths of total
airborne hours: two-engine narrowbody aircraft (65.2%) and three-engine narrowbody
(12.0%). In 2008, the number of hours is forecast to increase to 19.3 million, an average
annual increase of 3.8%. airborne hours are forecast to increase 2.8% in 1997 to 12.7
million, and 2.7% in 1998, to 13.0 million. [Ref. 14, page III-43] (E), (O)
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