Air Traffic Management Concept Baseline Definition - The Boeing ...

Appendix B. Global Scenario Issue Texts
The Global Scenario is based on 13 issues which were constructed to organize the
scenario writing found in section 7.1. These 13 issues emerged from a select reading from
a number of diverse government, industry, and other sources related to the future
operational configuration of the NAS. Below is a list of these 13 issues including the select
fragments of texts marked by their appropriate reference number and page. Also indicated
after each portion of text are six relevant broad scenario categories which are also
presented in section 2.3.1.. These categories are: 1) Economics/Markets (E), 2)
Organizational/Institutional/Operational (O), 3) Technological/Scientific (T), 4)
Social/Political (S), 5) Environmental (ENV), and 6) Human-centered/System-centered
(H). A brief description of each broad category follows:
Economics/Markets (E)
This category reviews the best estimates and forecasts for future air traffic growth and
demand figures including a few corresponding issues associated with increased air traffic.
Organizational/Institutional/Operational (O)
Under this category a select sample of issues such as workload, organizational structure
and culture, and operational considerations were collated.
Technological/Scientific (T)
The increasingly technoscientific NAS operational infrastructure introduces a number of
potential pitalls as well as promises. Issues related to widely utilized computer and
information technology based support and automation are captured by this category.
Social/Political (S)
In a growing global context of air traffic flows, this category aims to present some of the
potential political and social issues which may impact future operations.
Environmental (ENV)
This category focuses on possible constraints stemming from tougher future environmental
regulations.
Human-centered/System-centered (A)
The human/system related issues such as human-centered ATM design and structure are
presented under this category.
Issue # 1: Air Traffic Growth and Demand: Twenty Year Outlook
• Major projections for the twenty for the twenty-year period 1997-2016 are:
worldwide economic growth will average 3.2% per year.
traffic growth will average 4.9% per year.
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