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Air Traffic Management Concept Baseline Definition - The Boeing ...

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exchange of traffic rights.” (Donne (1995), pp. 47-49). Related potential disruptive issues<br />

include global market access, where an open skies policy for international operations is not<br />

yet considered feasible, especially when slot allocations are limited, foreign investment in<br />

another sovereign state’s airlines raises ownership and control concerns, and the over 900<br />

different taxes worldwide imposed on the industry creates an added economic burden on<br />

airlines (ibid, pp. 50-51).<br />

In the area of environmental considerations, the affect of world air transport has,<br />

according to IATA, been less severe than other modes of transportation. However,<br />

tougher standards are being proposed which may add to developmental costs incurred by<br />

the airline industry (ibid, pp. 161-162).<br />

<strong>The</strong> future affects of alternatives to air travel seem to be relatively secure. Various forms<br />

of innovative electronic communication have been, and may well be in the future, less<br />

severe than some reports have suggested. Video-conferencing, for example, seems to have<br />

some impact on reductions in air traffic only during economic recessions when<br />

businessmen forego travel expenses during these periods. From an efficiency point of<br />

view, such high-tech communications and information technologies do not directly<br />

compete with air travel (ibid, pp. 85-87).<br />

A number of potential drawbacks exist, however, with the proposed GPS and satellitebased<br />

navigation on the use of airspace. First, several ICAO member states have been<br />

vocal in their reluctance to accept a GPS-based satellite navigation system, primarily<br />

because GPS is U.S.-owned and currently managed by the DOD. <strong>The</strong>y are also concerned<br />

that the U.S. may unilaterally degrade the GPS signal accuracy for precision guidance<br />

(Booz, Allen & Hamilton (1995), pp. 3-94, 3-95). Much work has been conducted by the<br />

international community to develop and implement a GNSS, which may not include GPS<br />

(ibid, p. 3-49). Moreover, uncertainties associated with GPS (and other) satellite-based<br />

navigation include system availability and integrity especially crucial during precision<br />

approaches in poor weather conditions (ibid, pp. 3-53, 3-58).<br />

Not only the space segment poses potential constraints for the future ATC/ATM<br />

operations in NAS or other airspace. <strong>The</strong> ATC architecture may itself be a source of<br />

potential problems. If current software practices continue (such as heterogeneous<br />

communications protocols and data formats, and multiple application languages), costly<br />

software maintenance of the many (e.g. 54 operational ATC systems written in 53<br />

programming languages) fragmented ATC systems would be the result in the future (U.S.<br />

GAO AIMD-97-30 (1997), pp. 40-46). No FAA organization is responsible for the<br />

problem of technical ATC architecture creating the potential proliferation of an<br />

uncoordinated ATC software architecture development process affecting the future ATC<br />

modernization effort (ibid, pp. 47-54).<br />

<strong>The</strong> disruption and delay of traffic flow may also be generated from ground handling<br />

processes. For example, due to increased mix of international passengers, delays may be<br />

caused by increasing volume of visa processing. This could be especially acute in a<br />

possible future of heightened political instabilities which would create stricter measures to<br />

control the flow of immigrants and foreign travelers (Booz, Allen & Hamilton (1995), p.<br />

148). Another future risk associated with ground handling concern health requirements of<br />

117

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