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Air Traffic Management Concept Baseline Definition - The Boeing ...

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trades involved in this step will result in functional allocation and system architecture<br />

decisions for the end-to-end system improvements being considered.<br />

Items 1 through 5 above will require appropriate analysis tools to properly resolve the<br />

complex issues, and it is important for these issues to remain at an overall system level.<br />

Thus, the tools employed must include only the necessary level of detail and carefully<br />

constructed metrics. <strong>The</strong> team is concerned that this is currently a weakness in the NAS<br />

modernization process. Specific research topics aimed at addressing this concern are<br />

discussed in Section 8.3.<br />

<strong>The</strong> detailed validation of operational concept elements (i.e. the transition steps in the<br />

modernization plan) follows the preliminary design trades described above. This is an area<br />

where much more emphasis has been placed in traditional system development, and thus<br />

many of the required methods and tools are already available. <strong>The</strong> following items must<br />

be included in the concept validation process:<br />

• Normal, non-normal, and rare-normal performance of all system components must be<br />

included throughout the process. This may currently be an area of weakness in ATM<br />

systems development, where too much emphasis is placed on normal performance, and<br />

disturbances and failure modes are considered only late in the development process.<br />

• Technology must be prototyped, including human factors considerations, and<br />

simulation analysis used to produce performance data and refine the system design.<br />

• <strong>Concept</strong> validation involves demonstrating technical and human performance, and the<br />

associated benefits and costs, against the metrics established in the preliminary design<br />

phase.<br />

• <strong>The</strong> validation process is iterative, may lead to a conclusion that a concept (and<br />

associated technology) is not viable and must be either modified or abandoned.<br />

• When the validation process is completed, and an investment case is made, the concept<br />

moves into system design, build and install.<br />

Of the three primary system development phases (preliminary design, concept validation<br />

and design and implementation), the last is by far the most costly, and the first can be<br />

performed at a relatively low cost by properly focusing the effort. Thus, it is possible to<br />

avoid potentially costly procurement that fails to meet requirements with a reasonable<br />

investment in preliminary system design.<br />

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