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Pájaro River Watershed Flood Protection Plan - The Pajaro River ...

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APPENDICES & Figures<br />

APPENDIX 1: Note on 1998 records for upper river flows<br />

Message<br />

From:<br />

Subject:<br />

To:<br />

Cc:<br />

Monday, May 13, 2002 9:44:13 PM<br />

lfreeman@usgs.gov<br />

Re: San Benito vs <strong>Pajaro</strong> 1998 peak question<br />

Bob Curry<br />

lfreeman@usgs.gov<br />

Bob. I had thought your inquiry about 1998 peaks for San Benito<br />

at HWY 156 and <strong>Pajaro</strong> R at Chittenden had been responded to several<br />

months ago. Apparently not, so here is some feed back.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Feb. 3 Tres Pinos peak was determined using a slope area and<br />

an outside high water mark at a location near where the washed out gage<br />

was last seen (best guess). <strong>The</strong> peak totally changed the channel. <strong>The</strong><br />

slope area discharge was calculated to be 27,200 cfs, rated Poor with a<br />

comment that the calculation is "No better than +/- 25% uncertainty".<br />

This yields potential peaks of 20,400 to 34,000 cfs.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Feb. 3 peak value for San Benito at HWY 156 was also a result<br />

of a slope area using the gage height from the Crest Stage Gage (the<br />

digital record was faulty because of a huge debris jam at the orifice<br />

location). Again, the peak totally changed the channel. <strong>The</strong> slope area<br />

discharge was calculated to be 34,500 cfs and rated Poor with a comment<br />

that it is " no better than +/- of 25% of true". This yields peaks that<br />

could range from 25,875 to 43,125 cfs. <strong>The</strong>re was also a float<br />

measurement made just after the peak and two follow-up recessional<br />

measurements made that were used to define the new rating. At the end<br />

of the 1998 WY, we lowered the datum 3.0 feet in order to avoid gage<br />

heights of less than zero, caused by the channel scour. <strong>The</strong> published<br />

GH for the 2/3/98 peak did not incorporate the datum change as it had<br />

not yet been made. Peaks for the 1999 WY and later do incorporate the<br />

additional 3 feet.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Feb. 3 <strong>Pajaro</strong> <strong>River</strong> peak of 25,100 is during a period of<br />

record that is rated poor (at least +/-8% potential for error) and is<br />

based on actual GH record adjusted to surveyed outside high water marks<br />

of excellent quality. Recessional measurements were made on Feb. 4<br />

(29.23 GH/17,700 cfs) and Feb. 15 (6,040 cfs). Both were used to define<br />

a new rating, so the comment in the annual report about rating<br />

extension being based on slope conveyance is not correct. It's my fault<br />

for leaving it in the manuscript. I have no record of when the slope<br />

conveyance was run and subsequently used. <strong>The</strong> upper end of the new<br />

rating (40) was based on the two measurements made on the recession<br />

from the peak. 40 merges with upper end of R 38 and extends only 1.30<br />

feet higher than 38. Rating 38 was put into effect on the March 1995<br />

flood peak. <strong>The</strong> rating extension was only 7,400 cfs above the highest<br />

DRAFT 7/22/03<br />

46<br />

<strong>Pájaro</strong> <strong>Watershed</strong> <strong>Flood</strong> Management

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