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DTIS, Volume I - Enhanced Integrated Framework (EIF)

DTIS, Volume I - Enhanced Integrated Framework (EIF)

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Table 4.2: Poverty Gap Ratios per Region, 2004 (in pct.)<br />

Central<br />

Central<br />

Poverty lines North North Central South South Male'<br />

Rf. 7.5 2.2 1.5 1.6 0.6 0.5 0.3<br />

Rf. 10 4.8 3.9 2.9 1.4 0.9 0.3<br />

Rf. 15 13.1 12.3 7.5 4.7 3.5 0.5<br />

Source: VPA-2<br />

While in Male’ the poorest quintile recorded an increase from 6 to 7 per cent of income<br />

in the period 1997 to 2004, regional atolls grew slightly more, in the range from 6 to 8<br />

per cent, with an average of 7 per cent.<br />

To estimate income inequality within and between regions and changes over time, the<br />

VPA-2 analysis shows that at country level the poorest quintile had not progressed (its<br />

share remained at 6 per cent. A similar result is found when using income deciles.<br />

Using Lorenz curves, the VPA-2 reveals no visible change for the years 1997 to 2004 as<br />

the curves overlap, implying a very similar overall household income inequality in the<br />

Maldives. When looking at Lorenz curves for Male’ and atoll level respectively the result<br />

confirms that inequality has shrunk over the period in both cases.<br />

In order to track income inequality between Male’ and the atolls during the period 1997-<br />

2004, Gini coefficient scores indicate that income inequality has increased significantly -<br />

up from 0.12 to 0.18, that is a rate of 50 per cent. In other words, 25 per cent of the<br />

population that lived in Male’ in 1997 earned 38 per cent of total household income. But<br />

in 2004, 30 per cent of the population living in Male’ accounted for 48 per cent of total<br />

household income. It can also be concluded that the overall income distribution in<br />

Maldives is, and remains, relatively unequal compared to neighbouring countries. The<br />

overall income distribution in Maldives, with a Gini coefficient of 0.41 is, and remains<br />

relatively unequal compared to neighbouring countries such as Sri Lanka (0.34), India<br />

(0.33), Pakistan (0.33) and Bangladesh (0.32). The Maldives Gini coefficient is close to<br />

that of Singapore (0.43), Trinidad and Tobago (0.40) and Saint Lucia (0.43), all island<br />

states where trade and/or tourism play an important role.<br />

The dynamic nature of poverty and inequality was established by assessing what changes<br />

in income levels were experienced by a large sample of households participating in both<br />

VPAs. Only a little less than half of these families stayed in the same income group after<br />

the seven years. About 40 per cent graduated to a higher income level and 13 per cent fell<br />

back to a lower level. Twenty-seven per cent had an income lower than the Rf. 15 per<br />

person per day poverty line in 2004. Of these 17 per cent was classified as chronically<br />

poor because their income was also below the Rf.15 line in 1997, while 10 per cent who<br />

were non-poor seven years earlier and had now fallen back into poverty over the period.<br />

42

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