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DTIS, Volume I - Enhanced Integrated Framework (EIF)

DTIS, Volume I - Enhanced Integrated Framework (EIF)

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government, and lawmakers are elected according to universally accepted democratic<br />

principles for a term of five years. Each atoll is represented in the country’s legislature.<br />

Over the years, the country has been politically stable, and in May 2005, the first steps<br />

for introducing a multiparty system were taken.<br />

Buoyant GDP growth of up to 6 – 9 per cent year with negative or very low levels of<br />

inflation is a distinctive feature of the economy in recent years. Significant progress has<br />

also been achieved in human and social development over the past two decades. Prudent<br />

macroeconomic and public investment policies as well as a largely favourable external<br />

environment has facilitated this progress, lifting the Maldives from being one of the 20<br />

poorest countries in the 1970s to one that shares many characteristics of a lower middleincome<br />

country today. The GDP per capita was Rf 30,733 (US$ 2,401 equivalent) in<br />

2004. As a result, the Maldives’ graduation from LDC status is a real possibility.<br />

However, the government would prefer to delay graduation so as not to lose foreign<br />

assistance – including participation in the <strong>Integrated</strong> <strong>Framework</strong> – that is critical to the<br />

country’s recovery from the divesting tsunami that hit the Maldives and other countries in<br />

the region on 26 th December 2004. It is understood that the United Nations Economic<br />

and Social Council (ECOSOC) is sensitive to the government’s need for a carefully<br />

managed graduation programme with appropriate transition arrangements.<br />

Though liberalization of the economy is advanced and economic growth rates are<br />

nominally high, a significant proportion of the jobs created have gone to foreign workers<br />

due to rigidities in the local labour market. For a variety of reasons that is elaborated<br />

upon in the <strong>DTIS</strong>, relatively high levels of unemployment and underemployment are a<br />

distinctive characteristic of the economy. Flexibility in macro-economic policy is<br />

somewhat limited as the country’s currency, the Rufiyaa, is pegged to the US dollar.<br />

Recent developments have had a negative impact on trade and economic performance. In<br />

particular, there has been a dramatic change in 2005 following the tsunami. This resulted<br />

in a downturn in the tourism sector which contributes substantially both to GDP and to<br />

foreign exchange earnings. In addition, the garment and apparel industry literally<br />

collapsed during 2004 as the end of the Multi-Fibre Agreement (MFA) quota system<br />

approached. Rising oil prices throughout 2005 and during the first half of 2006 has<br />

brought about a downward spiral in the terms of trade. The boom years that Maldives<br />

has experienced in recent years up to 2004 may now be at an end. There is therefore an<br />

urgent need to address this situation so that measures can be taken to mitigate the<br />

problems that are now being experienced. To this extent, the <strong>DTIS</strong> exercise for the<br />

Maldives has been more than timely.<br />

III. Social Conditions and Human Development<br />

The recent economic shocks that the country has experienced have exposed the<br />

constraints of an economy that is dependent essentially on the tourism sector and the<br />

limited intra- and inter-sectoral linkages. Moreover, lack of employment opportunities<br />

and insufficient provision of secondary and tertiary education facilities on the atolls, has<br />

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