30.12.2014 Views

Hazar Raporu - Issue 04 - Summer 2013

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

<strong>Hazar</strong> Denizi’nde Güvenlik<br />

İkilemi ve Silahlanma<br />

Yarışı<br />

Doç. Dr. Fatih ÖZBAY<br />

İran’da<br />

Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimi<br />

Doç. Dr. Mehmet ŞAHİN<br />

Çin’de Hızlı Büyüme ve<br />

Balon Ekonomisi<br />

Doç. Dr. K. Ali AKKEMİK<br />

Türkiye-Ermenistan İlişkileri:<br />

Hatalı Öncelik, Hatalı Yaklaşım<br />

Turkish-Armenian Relations:<br />

Wrong Priority, Wrong Approach<br />

Dr. Svante E. CORNELL


CHOICE FOR<br />

ENERGY OF<br />

TURKEY’S<br />

TOMORROW<br />

Turkey’s largest private natural gas importer.<br />

With its PNG and LNG portfolio, supplies major<br />

industrial customers and cities throughout the country.<br />

www.enercoenerji.com


<strong>Hazar</strong> Strateji Enstitüsü<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Efgan Niftiyev<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Emin Akhundzada<br />

Seda Birol<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<strong>Hazar</strong> Strateji Enstitüsü<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Süreli<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

The opinions expressed within are those of the authors


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-


06<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

20<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

34<br />

<br />

<br />

Seçimi<br />

68<br />

<br />

<br />

Balon Etkisi<br />

76 88<br />

<br />

Bir Ekonomik ve Siyasi


46<br />

<br />

<br />

HAZAR RAPORU<br />

IN ENGLISH<br />

108 <br />

<br />

<br />

122 <br />

<br />

144 <br />

<br />

<br />

100<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

156 <br />

<br />

<br />

162


6


7<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<strong>Hazar</strong> De-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

1.


-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

Boris Yeltsin, Rusya<br />

<br />

2. <br />

<br />

3.


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

4. <br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

ülkelerin


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

6<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

5. <br />

<br />

<br />

6.


7 -<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

7. <br />

<br />

8.


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

PRAG<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

9. <br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

10. <br />

11.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<strong>Hazar</strong><br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Bölgedeki<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

12. <br />

<br />

13. <br />

<br />

<br />

14.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-


<strong>Hazar</strong>’da ilk<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

15. <br />

<br />

<br />

16.


-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

17. <br />

<br />

18. <br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

19. <br />

20.


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

21. <br />

<br />

22. <br />

<br />

23. <br />

<br />

24.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

25. <br />

<br />

<br />

26.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

25. <br />

<br />

<br />

26.


ÖZET<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

SINIRLARIN KAPATILMASI<br />

<br />

OLMAMASI KONULARININ AYRI<br />

ELE ALINMASI<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

do-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

1.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Ermenistan<br />

protokolü imza<br />

töreni


-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

protesto gösterisi


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

HATALI VARSAYIMLAR<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

2.


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

3. <br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

ve Türkiye


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

4.<br />

5.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

4.<br />

5.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

1. Anayasa Koruyucular Konseyi


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


Muhammed<br />

Bagher<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

ANAYASAYA GÖRE<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Gholam Ali<br />

Haddad Adel<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

2<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

Muhammed Gharazi<br />

<br />

Hasan Ruhani<br />

<br />

2.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

MUHTEMEL KONULAR<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

1.


<strong>Hazar</strong><br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

6<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

2.<br />

<br />

3. <br />

<br />

4.<br />

<br />

5.<br />

<br />

<br />

6.


-<br />

7<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

7.<br />

8.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

9. <br />

10.<br />

11<br />

12. <br />

13.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

14.<br />

<br />

15


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

16. <br />

17.<br />

<br />

18<br />

19. <br />

<br />

20. <br />

<br />

<br />

21.


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<strong>Hazar</strong><br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

22.<br />

23.<br />

<br />

24. <br />

25.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

26. <br />

27.<br />

28.<br />

29.


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

30.<br />

31<br />

32. <br />

<br />

33. <br />

<br />

34.


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

35<br />

36. <br />

<br />

37. <br />

<br />

38.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

39. <br />

40.<br />

41<br />

42. <br />

43. <br />

44.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

45. <br />

46.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

47. <br />

<br />

48.<br />

<br />

<br />

49<br />

<br />

50.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

51. <br />

52. <br />

53<br />

54. <br />

<br />

<br />

55. <br />

56. <br />

57.


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

58. <br />

59<br />

60. <br />

61. <br />

62. <br />

63.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

66<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

67 <br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

64. <br />

65<br />

<br />

<br />

66. <br />

<br />

67.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

68. <br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

69.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

70. <br />

<br />

71. <br />

72. <br />

73.


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

76 Bir<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

77 -<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

74. <br />

75. <br />

76. <br />

77. <br />

<br />

78.


66<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

79. <br />

80. <br />

<br />

81.


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

67<br />

<br />

82. <br />

<br />

<br />

83. <br />

84. <br />

<br />

85.


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

67<br />

<br />

82. <br />

<br />

<br />

83. <br />

84. <br />

<br />

85.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

1.


KAYNAKLARI<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

YAPISAL SORUNLAR<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

G <br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

2.


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

3.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

BALON<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

%25<br />

%20<br />

<br />

<br />

%5<br />

%0<br />

%-5<br />

<br />

<br />

2000<br />

<br />

2002<br />

<br />

20<strong>04</strong><br />

2005<br />

<br />

2007<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

4.<br />

<br />

5.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

6 <br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

7 -<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

20<strong>04</strong><br />

2005<br />

<br />

2007<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

7000<br />

<br />

5000<br />

4000<br />

<br />

2000<br />

<br />

0<br />

6.<br />

7.<br />

<br />

8.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

5.0<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

4.0<br />

3.0<br />

2.0<br />

1.0<br />

0.0<br />

-1.0<br />

2003 Q1<br />

2003 Q3<br />

20<strong>04</strong> Q1<br />

20<strong>04</strong> Q3<br />

2005 Q1<br />

2005 Q3<br />

2006 Q1<br />

2007 Q1<br />

2007 Q3<br />

2008 Q1<br />

2008 Q3<br />

2009 Q1<br />

2009 Q3<br />

2010 Q1<br />

2010 Q3<br />

-2.0<br />

-3.0<br />

-4.0<br />

<br />

9.<br />

<br />

<br />

10.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

11.


76


77<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

400<br />

<br />

<br />

250<br />

200<br />

<br />

<br />

50<br />

0


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

ENTEGRASYONU<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

BORSALARI<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Suriye<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Ahmedinejad


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

Suriye krizinden


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Amerikan<br />

kuvvetlerinin


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

George Bush,<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Suriye’de iç


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Jintao


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


IN ENGLISH


IN ENGLISH


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

DISTINGUISHING THE BORDER<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

THE 2009 NORMALIZATION<br />

<br />

OBAMA ADMINISTRATION<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

1.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

Signature<br />

<br />

<br />

Turkey and<br />

Armenia


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

ASSUMPTIONS<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

Joint press<br />

<br />

Turkish Prime


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

2.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

Armenian frontline


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Aliyev and Turkish<br />

Prime Minister<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

3.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

4.<br />

5.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

4.<br />

5.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

THE SOVIET UNION<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

1


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

6<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

2<br />

<br />

3<br />

<br />

4<br />

<br />

5<br />

<br />

<br />

6


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

7 <br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

7<br />

<br />

8


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

9<br />

10<br />

11<br />

12


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

13<br />

<br />

14 <br />

<br />

<br />

15


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

16<br />

<br />

17<br />

18<br />

<br />

19<br />

<br />

<br />

20<br />

<br />

21


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

22<br />

<br />

23<br />

24<br />

25


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

THE LITTORAL STATES<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

26<br />

27<br />

28


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

29<br />

30<br />

31<br />

<br />

32<br />

<br />

33 <br />

34


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

1-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

2-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

3-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

and<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

4--<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

35<br />

<br />

36<br />

<br />

37<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

38


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

39<br />

40<br />

41<br />

42<br />

43


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

44 <br />

45


e-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

and<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

46<br />

<br />

47<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

48


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

49<br />

50<br />

51<br />

52<br />

53<br />

<br />

<br />

54<br />

55


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

56<br />

57<br />

58<br />

59<br />

60<br />

61


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

66 <br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

62<br />

63<br />

64<br />

<br />

65<br />

<br />

66


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

67<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

67


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

68<br />

<br />

<br />

69<br />

<br />

70<br />

71


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

76 <br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

77<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

72<br />

73<br />

74<br />

75<br />

76<br />

<br />

77


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

78<br />

79<br />

<br />

80


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Sea Heads of<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

81<br />

<br />

<br />

82<br />

83<br />

<br />

84


FLOW


-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

SYRIA AND LIBERAL<br />

INTERVENTION<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

Syrian President<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Ahmedinejad


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

President


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

ARAB SPRING IN SYRIA AND<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


Russian President<br />

<br />

President Jintao<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

1.


one<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

2.


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

one<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

3


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

VARIABLES<br />

N<br />

Budget Expenditures<br />

<br />

RBE<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

NOTATION


METHODS<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

<br />

rgdpn<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

rbe<br />

<br />

rpi


-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

ESTIMATIONS RESULTS<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

4<br />

3


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

6<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

5<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

6


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-


-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

-

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!