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Caspian Report - Issue: 07 - Spring 2014

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Global shale gas<br />

map.<br />

shale gas reserves would satisfy<br />

Poland’s domestic demand for 35<br />

years.<br />

The government’s proposed taxes<br />

exceeding 40%, for instance, have<br />

raised concerns among energy<br />

companies as they face exceptionally<br />

capital investments. Difficult<br />

geology, a non-competitive service<br />

sector, poor infrastructure, lengthy<br />

permissions processes, an uncertain<br />

regulatory and tax environment<br />

as well as lack of rigs have hindered<br />

development. In addition, preliminary<br />

costs per well have increased to<br />

US$15 million – nearly three times<br />

the cost in the U.S. As a result of the<br />

failure to provide an attractive investment<br />

climate, the uncertainties<br />

and bureaucratic constraints as well<br />

as unrealistic expectations for the<br />

short-term future, the pace of shale<br />

gas exploration in Poland has clearly<br />

slowed down in 2013. For the industry,<br />

287 wells still remain open for<br />

exploration, but at the present rate,<br />

the exploration process may not end<br />

before 2037.<br />

The government and Polish industry<br />

representatives still expect that domestic<br />

shale gas production will be<br />

significantly cheaper than Russian<br />

gas. In contrast to public opinion in<br />

Germany and France, the pro-shale<br />

gas policies are supported by more<br />

than 70%. The government has<br />

In contrast to public opinion in Germany<br />

and France, the pro-shale gas policies<br />

are supported by more than 70%.<br />

promised to change its shale gas regulations<br />

to speed up its exploration<br />

and announced last May that it will<br />

not collect taxes on the production of<br />

shale gas until 2020.<br />

71<br />

CASPIAN REPORT, SPRING <strong>2014</strong>

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