Caspian Report - Issue: 07 - Spring 2014
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the political conflict over fracking,<br />
and weaken political support due<br />
to the “fear of unknown” in rural<br />
communities.<br />
Germany<br />
With an annual gas consumption of<br />
around 100 bcm, Germany’s domestic<br />
production covers just 12% of the<br />
national gas demand 40% of Germany’s<br />
gas consumption is supplied by Gazprom.<br />
With an annual gas consumption<br />
of around 100 bcm, Germany’s domestic<br />
production covers just 12%<br />
of the national gas demand. 40% of<br />
Germany’s gas consumption is supplied<br />
by Gazprom. Despite a moratorium<br />
adopted by the federal states of<br />
North Rhine-Westphalia and strong<br />
opposition to shale gas drilling on<br />
environmental grounds, several<br />
companies, including ExxonMobil,<br />
have acquired exploration licenses in<br />
six of the federal states: Nord Rhine<br />
Westphalia, Thuringia, Lower Saxony,<br />
Saxony-Anhalt, Hessen and Baden-<br />
Wuerttemberg. The state of Hessen<br />
has called for uniform practice and<br />
legal rules across the country, fearing<br />
a competition between federal<br />
states.<br />
But the previous government in<br />
Berlin and its Ministry for Environment<br />
have tried to slow down the<br />
discussions and any governmental<br />
decisions. The Environment Ministry<br />
has generally opposed fossil fuel<br />
resources and instead has always<br />
favoured heavily subsidised support<br />
for re¬new¬able energy projects.<br />
In July 2012, the German Federal<br />
Institute for Geosciences and Natural<br />
Resources (BGR) published its<br />
first estimate for domestic shale gas<br />
reserves and officially described<br />
them as “significant”. The estimates<br />
are considerably higher (up to three<br />
times) than those published by ExxonMobil<br />
in January 2012, and much<br />
higher than Germany’s conventional<br />
gas reserves. The BGR also concluded<br />
that environmentally friendly [fracking]<br />
technology is possible from a<br />
geo-scientific point of view and that<br />
“fracking and drinking-water protection<br />
are fundamentally compatible.”<br />
It also confirmed - together with the<br />
comprehensive environmental study<br />
“Hydrofracking Risk Assessment” -<br />
that the fracking risks can be controlled<br />
and regulated. At present, a<br />
third of Germany’s domestic production<br />
already uses fracking technologies<br />
- some for more than 50 years.<br />
Germany’s energy-intensive and<br />
manufacturing industry (i.e. Bayer,<br />
BASF at al.) has begun to voice its increasing<br />
concern about the implications<br />
of the U.S. unconventional gas<br />
revolution for its future economic<br />
competitiveness, as the reduced gas<br />
prices in the U.S. are an essential<br />
cost factor for petrochemical manufacturing,<br />
in particular ethane. These<br />
cheap feed stocks are reshaping the<br />
global competitive landscape for petrochemicals<br />
with a “quite phenomenal<br />
advantage” for the U.S. industry.<br />
“Cracking” ethane makes ethylene,<br />
which is the major building block for<br />
plastics such as polythene.<br />
In January 2013, the BGR criticised<br />
the lack of geo-scientific expertise<br />
on the deep underground and identified<br />
many instances of inconsistency<br />
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CASPIAN REPORT, SPRING <strong>2014</strong>