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Caspian Report - Issue: 07 - Spring 2014

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Prime Minister<br />

of Turkey Recep<br />

Tayyip Erdogan<br />

and President of<br />

Azerbaijan Ilham<br />

Aliyev after a<br />

meeting during<br />

Aliyev’s official visit<br />

to Turkey in 2013.<br />

struction of the Trans <strong>Caspian</strong> Pipeline<br />

(TCP) it can join the Southern<br />

Gas Corridor and sell its natural<br />

gas directly to Europe and Turkey.<br />

Currently, Iran buys Turkmen gas<br />

fairly cheaply, and then sells it on<br />

at a more expensive price to Turkey,<br />

which is damaging to Turkey’s<br />

energy bill. Through the TCP, more<br />

than 30 bcm/a natural gas can be<br />

transported to Europe and Turkey,<br />

of which 16 bcm/a would remain in<br />

Turkey. But there have been no tangible<br />

steps toward the realisation of<br />

this project. Though it is associated<br />

directly with the legal status of the<br />

<strong>Caspian</strong> Sea, the pipeline can be realised<br />

if it becomes political feasible<br />

and the parties can reach agreement.<br />

gas to Turkey and Europe through<br />

Azerbaijan. To do this, Kazakhstan<br />

has numerous options. First, it can<br />

lay pipeline from Aktau port to Baku<br />

beneath the sea and join the South<br />

Caucasus Pipeline in Baku. Or, it can<br />

construct overland pipeline from Kazakhstan<br />

to the Turkmenbashi port<br />

and join the planned Trans <strong>Caspian</strong><br />

Pipeline. Third, it could export its<br />

reserves as Liquefied Natural Gas<br />

(LNG) and Compressed Natural Gas<br />

(CNG).<br />

Kazakhstan holds 3 trillion cubic meters<br />

of proven and 5-6 trillion cubic metres of<br />

potential natural gas reserves.<br />

113<br />

CASPIAN REPORT, SPRING <strong>2014</strong><br />

Kazakhstan: Kazakhstan holds 3<br />

trillion cubic meters of proven and<br />

5-6 trillion cubic metres of potential<br />

natural gas reserves. It is estimated<br />

that Kazakhstan can produce 75<br />

bcm/a natural gas in the midterm,<br />

of which 40 bcm/a can be exported.<br />

Thus, Kazakhstan can sell its natural<br />

In addition to the above mentioned<br />

resources, natural gas flow can also<br />

be imported from Uzbekistan and<br />

Iran if political conditions improve<br />

in both countries. However, in order<br />

to utilize its geostrategic advantage<br />

and become an energy hub, Turkey<br />

needs to take several steps.

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