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The Learning and Skills Councils Annual Report and Accounts for ...

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15 Financial guarantee: Career Development Loans (defaults)<br />

Career<br />

Development<br />

Loans (defaults)<br />

£’000<br />

Opening balance at 1 April 2008 0<br />

Increase in the year 21,933<br />

Balance at 31 March 2009 21,933<br />

Opening balance at 1 April 2009 21,933<br />

Increase in the year 19,722<br />

Expenditure in the year (10,247)<br />

Unwinding of discount 0<br />

Decrease in the year 0<br />

Balance at 31 March 2010 31,408<br />

Exposure to risk<br />

<strong>The</strong> Professional <strong>and</strong> Career Development Loans (PCDL) programme operates by providing loans to students to enable<br />

them to complete a course of study. High street banks provide the loans to students at a rate of interest below what might<br />

ordinarily be offered to them in such circumstances. <strong>The</strong> LSC had a liability <strong>for</strong> the cost of default on such loans <strong>and</strong> <strong>for</strong><br />

the interest costs of the loans while the students are in learning. <strong>The</strong> majority of the liability is <strong>for</strong> the default on the loans<br />

that, per IAS 39, is classified as a financial guarantee.<br />

Credit risk: exposure at end of period<br />

<strong>The</strong> majority of the liability arises from the credit risk that students will not repay the loans, <strong>and</strong> the values above show<br />

the expected value of this liability at the end of the reporting period. <strong>The</strong> values have been estimated as 15 per cent of the<br />

total <strong>for</strong>ecast value of loans outst<strong>and</strong>ing at the end of the reporting period.<br />

<strong>The</strong> maximum possible value of the guarantee to cover the cost of defaults is capped at 15 per cent of the total loan<br />

portfolio advanced since the beginnning of the programme <strong>and</strong> is estimated to be £37 million.<br />

Liquidity risk<br />

As an NDPB funded mostly by BIS <strong>and</strong> DCSF, it is unlikely that the LSC would have encountered any difficulty meeting<br />

its obligations under this financial guarantee. <strong>The</strong> rate of interest on the loans is fixed (currently at 9.9 per cent), so it is<br />

unlikely that the future cash flows to settle the obligation will change as a result of changes in the market interest rate.<br />

Market risk<br />

<strong>The</strong> rate of interest on the loans is fixed (currently at 9.9 per cent), so it is unlikely that the future cash flows to settle the<br />

obligation will change as a result of changes in the market interest rate. Changes in the general level of market prices or<br />

changes in <strong>for</strong>eign exchange rates are unlikely to impact on the value of the outst<strong>and</strong>ing liability.<br />

72 LSC <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Accounts</strong> 2009–10

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