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Strong business travel kept<br />
premium seat growth ahead<br />
of economy seat growth.<br />
A sign of buoyant air travel<br />
markets in 2011 was the<br />
growth in the sale of first- and<br />
business-class seats, which<br />
expanded 5.5% on international<br />
markets compared with the<br />
growth in economy seat sales<br />
of 5.1%. This, however, was not<br />
apparent in all markets. Within<br />
Europe, where distances are<br />
relatively short, there has been<br />
a structural shift away from<br />
premium seats, resulting in<br />
the faster growth of economy<br />
travel. On the important<br />
transatlantic and transpacific<br />
markets, though, premium travel<br />
continued to grow substantially<br />
faster than economy travel.<br />
This reflected the continuation<br />
of business travel growth<br />
in most regions and the lull in<br />
leisure travel in many developed<br />
economies because of weak<br />
consumer confidence.<br />
Goods worth over $5 trillion<br />
were transported by air in<br />
2011, but air cargo volumes<br />
slipped slightly.<br />
After an exceptionally strong<br />
rebound in 2010, air freight<br />
metric ton kilometers flown fell<br />
0.4% worldwide in 2011. The<br />
air freight market is no bigger<br />
than it was four years ago.<br />
Since air freight volumes have<br />
on average grown from 5% to<br />
6% a year over the past 20 to<br />
30 years, growth in the past<br />
four years has been exceptionally<br />
weak. Even so, with the estimated<br />
value of world trade at<br />
more than $16 trillion in 2011<br />
airlines were still responsible<br />
for carrying more than $5 trillion<br />
worth of the world economy’s<br />
internationally traded goods.<br />
International passengers by seat class<br />
(source: <strong>IATA</strong>)<br />
12<br />
Airline load factors exceeded<br />
78%, close to historic highs,<br />
and the fleet continued to expand,<br />
with 1,268 new aircraft<br />
delivered.<br />
Worldwide passenger capacity<br />
accelerated in 2011, growing<br />
6.6% as measured by available<br />
passenger kilometers in international<br />
and domestic markets.<br />
That exceeds the expansion of<br />
4% in 2010.<br />
There was a substantial difference<br />
between domestic and international<br />
markets. In domestic<br />
markets, slightly less capacity<br />
was added than growth in the<br />
market: 4.0% versus 4.1%. The<br />
opposite prevailed in international<br />
markets, where the pace<br />
of capacity expansion was in<br />
excess of the expansion of<br />
demand: 8.1% versus 6.9%.<br />
But the excess of capacity<br />
growth was not too large, and<br />
so load factors remained close<br />
to historic highs in 2011, with<br />
a worldwide average of 78.3%.<br />
Domestic markets saw load<br />
factors rise even further, to a<br />
new high of 79.6%. This was<br />
an important factor leading to<br />
stronger airline profitability in<br />
the US and Chinese domestic<br />
markets in 2011.<br />
The delivery of new aircraft<br />
picked up in 2011, with 1,268<br />
new aircraft delivered to<br />
airlines. Taking into account<br />
aircraft retirements, which typically<br />
involve around 400 to 500<br />
aircraft, hull losses because<br />
of accidents, and movements<br />
in and out of storage, the inservice<br />
fleet of the commercial<br />
airline industry expanded 763<br />
aircraft to 24,605 aircraft by<br />
year-end 2011.<br />
Passenger and cargo load factors<br />
(source: <strong>IATA</strong>)