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Retail Banking in CEE: Exploiting the Potential of ... - Roland Berger

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RISK MANAGEMENT – MANAGING RISK COST WITH FAST PROCESSES 29<br />

SOLUTION DEPENDING ON THE APPLIED SEGMENTATION<br />

The recommendations to avoid an unexpected growth <strong>of</strong> NPL rates can be grouped<br />

<strong>in</strong>to two major topics:<br />

A. Segment-specific risk assessment and scor<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Generally banks assume: one client group with a high NPL is not a problem if it<br />

was priced accord<strong>in</strong>gly. To be able to price accord<strong>in</strong>gly, however, banks need to<br />

forecast <strong>the</strong> risks as exactly as possible before a loan becomes an NPL. Thus<br />

elaborat<strong>in</strong>g a proper risk assessment (scor<strong>in</strong>g) tool for micro sub-segments has a<br />

huge added value but was not found <strong>in</strong> many participat<strong>in</strong>g banks. Sett<strong>in</strong>g up such<br />

a tool requires <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g steps:<br />

Homogeneous risk groups <strong>of</strong> micro<br />

sub-segments allow an efficient<br />

scor<strong>in</strong>g model and a fast lend<strong>in</strong>g<br />

process<br />

1. Hav<strong>in</strong>g def<strong>in</strong>ed suitable target sub-segments, create a proper scor<strong>in</strong>g database<br />

for micros<br />

2. Analyze <strong>the</strong> exist<strong>in</strong>g loan portfolio <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> targeted sub-segments with <strong>the</strong>ir loan<br />

volumes (m<strong>in</strong>, median, max) and NPL ratio<br />

3. Incorporate <strong>the</strong> identified risk cost <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> normal pric<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> lend<strong>in</strong>g products<br />

for <strong>the</strong> targeted sub-segments<br />

B. Fast and transparent processes to assess loan requests<br />

Loan request assessments usually take time because <strong>the</strong> evaluation processes and<br />

criteria are not properly def<strong>in</strong>ed. That means, standardization is not possible and<br />

each request is evaluated on a case-by-case basis. The root cause is <strong>the</strong> non-proper<br />

scor<strong>in</strong>g system, thus each process weakness is <strong>in</strong> reality a workaround to compensate<br />

for <strong>the</strong> weaknesses <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> scor<strong>in</strong>g model. Establish<strong>in</strong>g a sub-segment based<br />

micro scor<strong>in</strong>g model allows a fast and automatic evaluation <strong>of</strong> loan requests <strong>in</strong> a<br />

standardized form. This satisfies <strong>the</strong> clients <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> process<strong>in</strong>g speed and helps<br />

<strong>the</strong> bank avoid non-planned NPL growth.

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