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lecture 1 - Myweb @ CW Post

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Developed countries overall experience much higher monetary losses and low human<br />

losses. Developing countries have high casualties and more modest monetary<br />

losses due to less development.<br />

Definitions<br />

Hazard (H) refers to the possibility of a dangerous event. Hazard can be expressed as<br />

a statistical probability of a given magnitude event occurring in a specific area within<br />

a specified length of time.<br />

Vulnerability (V): the level of loss expected from an extreme event (of a given<br />

magnitude). It can be quantified from 0 (no loss) to 1 (total loss).<br />

Specific Risk (Rs): the probability of a loss. Quantitatively, is is the product of Hazard<br />

and Vulnerability (Rs = H x V).<br />

Net Impact: the difference between disaster losses and the benefits of using the<br />

hazardous area.<br />

Medical Consequences<br />

Mortality: number of deaths<br />

Morbidity: number of injured<br />

Traumas: numbers of burns, contusions, fractures, lesions, etc.<br />

morbidity > mortality in earthquakes and hurricanes<br />

mortality > morbidity in landslides, floods, volcanic eruptions<br />

Types of Disasters<br />

geophysical origin: earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, landslides, etc.<br />

climatic origin: hurricanes tornadoes, severe thunderstorms, floods, drought, fire, etc.<br />

biological origin: epidemics, parasite invasions, etc.<br />

human origin: warfare, terrorism, urban fires, building collapse, etc.<br />

Recurrence Intervals<br />

Low or moderate magnitude events generally occur frequently while large magnitude, or<br />

extreme events generally occur rarely.<br />

The Disaster Cycle<br />

Impact - Response - Recovery - Mitigation - Preparation - Next Impact

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