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BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA, S.A. AND ... - BBVA

BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA, S.A. AND ... - BBVA

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Below are the average interest rate risk exposure levels in terms of sensitivity of the main financial<br />

institutions of the <strong>BBVA</strong> Group for the six months ended June 30, 2010, in millions of euros:<br />

Average Impact on Net Interest<br />

Income (*)<br />

Average Impact on Economic<br />

Value (**)<br />

June 2010<br />

100 Basis-Point<br />

Increase<br />

100 Basis-Point<br />

Decrease<br />

100 Basis-Point<br />

Increase<br />

100 Basis-Point<br />

Decrease<br />

Europe -7.63% +8.64% +0.34% -0.46%<br />

<strong>BBVA</strong> Bancomer +0.95% -0.76% -2.64% +2.29%<br />

<strong>BBVA</strong> Compass +4.05% -4.22% +3.81% -7.60%<br />

<strong>BBVA</strong> Puerto Rico +3.47% -2.88% -2.26% +1.94%<br />

<strong>BBVA</strong> Chile -1.58% +1.52% -8.42% +7.86%<br />

<strong>BBVA</strong> Colombia +2.30% -2.32% +0.26% -0.47%<br />

<strong>BBVA</strong> Banco Continental +2.72% -2.77% -5.45% +5.97%<br />

<strong>BBVA</strong> Banco Provincial +0.35% -0.36% -1.49% +1.59%<br />

<strong>BBVA</strong> Banco Francés +0.56% -0.57% -0.69% +0.68%<br />

<strong>BBVA</strong> Group -1.86% +2.28% -0.20% -0.44%<br />

(*) Percentage relating to "1 year" net Interest margin forecast in each entity.<br />

(**) Percentage relating to each entity's Capital Base.<br />

As part of the measurement process, the Group established the assumptions regarding the movement and<br />

behavior of certain items, such as those relating to products with no explicit or contractual maturity. These<br />

assumptions are based on studies that estimate the relationship between the interest rates on these<br />

products and market rates and enable specific balances to be classified into trend-based balances maturing<br />

at long term and seasonal or volatile balances with short-term residual maturity.<br />

c) Structural currency risk<br />

Structural foreign exchange risk is basically caused by exposure to variations in foreign exchange rates that<br />

arise in the Group’s foreign subsidiaries and the provision of funds to foreign branches financed in a different<br />

currency to that of the investment.<br />

The ALCO is responsible for arranging hedging transactions to limit the capital impact of fluctuations in<br />

exchange rates, based on their projected trend, and to guarantee the equivalent euro value of the foreign<br />

currency earnings expected to be obtained from these investments.<br />

Structural currency risk management is based on the measurements performed by the Risk Area. These<br />

measurements use a foreign exchange rate scenario simulation model which quantifies possible changes in<br />

value for a given confidence interval and a pre-established time horizon. The Executive Committee<br />

authorizes the system of limits and alerts for these risk measurements, which include a limit on the economic<br />

capital or unexpected loss arising from the foreign exchange risk of the foreign-currency investments.<br />

As of June 30, 2010, the aggregate figure of asset exposure sensitivity to 1% depreciation in exchange rates<br />

stood at €121 million, with the following concentration: 40% in the Mexican peso, 27% in other South<br />

American currencies and 22% in the US dollar.<br />

d) Structural equity risk<br />

The Group’s exposure to structural equity risk comes largely from its holdings in industrial and financial<br />

companies with medium- to long-term investment horizons, reduced by the short net positions held in<br />

derivative instruments on the same underlying assets, in order to limit portfolio sensitivity to potential price<br />

cuts. The aggregate sensitivity of the Group's consolidated equity to a 1% fall in the price of shares stood, on<br />

June 30, 2010, at €46.1 million, while the sensitivity of the consolidated earnings to the same change in price<br />

on the same date is estimated at €3.6 million. This figure is determined by considering the exposure on<br />

shares measured at market price or, if not available, at fair value, including the net positions in options on the<br />

same underlyings in delta equivalent terms. Treasury Area portfolio positions are not included in the<br />

calculation.<br />

The Risk Area measures and effectively monitors structural risk in the equity portfolio. To do so, it estimates<br />

the sensitivity figures and the capital necessary to cover possible unexpected losses due to the variations in<br />

the value of the equity portfolio at a confidence level that corresponds to the institution’s target rating, and<br />

taking account of the liquidity of the positions and the statistical performance of the assets under<br />

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