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Derivation of a fundamental diagram for urban traffic flow

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D. Helbing: <strong>Derivation</strong> <strong>of</strong> a <strong>fundamental</strong> <strong>diagram</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>urban</strong> <strong>traffic</strong> <strong>flow</strong> 9<br />

(u i −σ i u 0 i ) ̂Q i kT cyc < 0ineachcycle<strong>of</strong>lengthT cyc .Counting<br />

the number <strong>of</strong> cycles since the re-entering into the<br />

congested regime by k ′ ,wehave<br />

ΔNi<br />

min (u i ,k ′ )=ΔN jam<br />

i +(u i − σ i u 0 i ) ̂Q i k ′ T cyc , (71)<br />

and considering equation (15), the maximum number <strong>of</strong><br />

delayed vehicles is<br />

ΔNi<br />

max (u i ,k ′ )=ΔNi min (u i ,k ′ )+u i (1 − σ i u 0 i ) ̂Q i T cyc .<br />

(72)<br />

As soon as ΔNi<br />

min (u i ,k ′ ) reaches zero, the road section<br />

used by vehicle stream i enters the undersaturated regime.<br />

Be<strong>for</strong>e, the number <strong>of</strong> stops <strong>of</strong> vehicles joining the end <strong>of</strong><br />

the vehicle queue are expected to experience an number<br />

n s + 1 <strong>of</strong> stops with<br />

⌊<br />

n s (k ′ ui k ′ ⌋<br />

)=<br />

σ i u 0 , (73)<br />

i<br />

compare equation (58).<br />

Fig. 4. Schematic illustration <strong>of</strong> the service <strong>of</strong> vehicle queues,<br />

when the road section is fully congested. The lower horizontal<br />

line indicates the location <strong>of</strong> the upstream end <strong>of</strong> the road section.<br />

It can be seen that vehicles are stopped several times, and<br />

that new vehicles can only enter when some vehicles have been<br />

served by the <strong>traffic</strong> light located at the t-axis, and the space<br />

freed up by this has reached the end <strong>of</strong> the vehicle queue. For<br />

similar considerations see reference [35]. Note that the characteristic<br />

speed c 0 <strong>of</strong> the shock fronts (which corresponds to<br />

the slope <strong>of</strong> the congested <strong>flow</strong>-density relationship <strong>for</strong> a road<br />

section without the consideration <strong>of</strong> <strong>traffic</strong> lights) is different<br />

from the slope <strong>of</strong> the <strong>urban</strong> <strong>fundamental</strong> <strong>diagram</strong>, because <strong>of</strong><br />

the effect <strong>of</strong> signal <strong>of</strong>fsets and delays [31]. There<strong>for</strong>e, c 0 should<br />

be understood as fit parameter, here.<br />

and the average delay time Ti av = T i −Ti<br />

0 as<br />

T av<br />

i<br />

(u i ,σ i ,L i )= L iρ jam<br />

i<br />

σ i u 0 ̂Q<br />

− L i<br />

i i<br />

V 0<br />

i<br />

. (70)<br />

Note that these values are now independent <strong>of</strong> both, the<br />

utilization and the average density, as soon as the latter<br />

assumes the value ρ av<br />

i = ρ jam<br />

i , corresponding to a fully<br />

congested road section.<br />

5.1 Transition from oversaturated to undersaturated<br />

<strong>traffic</strong> conditions<br />

If the arrival <strong>flow</strong> A i after the rush hour drops below<br />

the value <strong>of</strong> σ i u 0 i T cyc max , the vehicle queue will eventually<br />

shrink, and the road section used by vehicle stream i enters<br />

from the oversaturated into the congested regime.<br />

The <strong>for</strong>mulas <strong>for</strong> the evolution <strong>of</strong> the number <strong>of</strong> delayed<br />

vehicles are analogous to equations (53) and(54).<br />

The queue length starts with ΔN jam<br />

i<br />

and is reduced by<br />

6 Summary and outlook<br />

Based on a few elementary assumptions, we were able to<br />

derive <strong>fundamental</strong> relationships <strong>for</strong> the average travel<br />

time Ti<br />

av and average velocity Vi<br />

av . These relationships<br />

are functions <strong>of</strong> the utilization u i <strong>of</strong> the service capacity<br />

<strong>of</strong> a cyclically signalized intersection and/or the average<br />

number ΔNi<br />

av <strong>of</strong> delayed vehicles (or the average density<br />

ρ av<br />

i <strong>of</strong> vehicles in the road section <strong>of</strong> length L i reserved <strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>traffic</strong> stream i). We found different <strong>for</strong>mulas, (1) <strong>for</strong> the<br />

undersaturated regime, (2) <strong>for</strong> the congested regime, and<br />

(3) <strong>for</strong> the oversaturated regime. While we also discussed<br />

situations, where fixed cycle times Tcyc 0 are applied, we primarily<br />

focussed on situations, where the cycle time is adjusted<br />

to the utilization u i (in the undersaturated regime)<br />

and to the effectively usable green time fraction σ i (in the<br />

oversaturated regime). Our results are summarized in Figure<br />

5, where also a comparison with the capacity restraint<br />

function (1) ismade.<br />

The <strong>for</strong>mulas <strong>for</strong> the non-congested regime can be either<br />

expressed as non-trivial functions <strong>of</strong> the utilization<br />

u i or the average queue length ΔNi<br />

av (or the average density<br />

ρ max<br />

i ). They contain a fit parameter ɛ i , which reflects<br />

effects <strong>of</strong> variations in the arrival <strong>flow</strong> and relates to the<br />

efficiency <strong>of</strong> <strong>traffic</strong> signal operation in terms <strong>of</strong> synchronizing<br />

with vehicle platoons. In the best case, delay times<br />

are zero, which shows the great optimization potential <strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>traffic</strong> control in this regime.<br />

In the congested regime, the number <strong>of</strong> delayed vehicles<br />

grows in time, and the majority <strong>of</strong> vehicles is stopped several<br />

times by the same <strong>traffic</strong> light. There<strong>for</strong>e, the average<br />

travel time does not only depend on the utilization u i , but<br />

also on the average vehicle queue ΔNi<br />

av (or the average<br />

density ρ av<br />

i ). Although the <strong>traffic</strong> light control can still improve<br />

the average travel times by synchronizing with the<br />

arrival <strong>of</strong> vehicles, the related efficiency effect is rather<br />

limited.

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