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Derivation of a fundamental diagram for urban traffic flow

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D. Helbing: <strong>Derivation</strong> <strong>of</strong> a <strong>fundamental</strong> <strong>diagram</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>urban</strong> <strong>traffic</strong> <strong>flow</strong> 5<br />

It also makes sense to define an efficiencies not only <strong>for</strong> the<br />

<strong>traffic</strong> phases, but also <strong>for</strong> the operation <strong>of</strong> a <strong>traffic</strong> light<br />

(i.e. the full cycle). This can be done by averaging over<br />

all efficiencies ɛ i (and potentially weighting them by the<br />

number u i ̂Qi T cyc <strong>of</strong> vehicles arriving in one cycle. There<strong>for</strong>e,<br />

it makes sense to define the intersection efficiency as<br />

ɛ =<br />

∑<br />

i ɛ iu i ̂Qi<br />

∑i u i ̂Q i<br />

. (30)<br />

Note that, particularly in cases <strong>of</strong> pulsed rather than uni<strong>for</strong>m<br />

arrivals <strong>of</strong> vehicles, the efficiencies ɛ i depend on the<br />

cycle time T cyc and, there<strong>for</strong>e, also on the utilizations u i .<br />

Increasing the efficiency ɛ i <strong>for</strong> one <strong>traffic</strong> stream i will <strong>of</strong>ten<br />

(but not generally) reduce the efficiency ɛ j <strong>of</strong> another<br />

<strong>traffic</strong> stream j, which poses a great challenge to <strong>traffic</strong><br />

optimization.<br />

The exact value <strong>of</strong> the efficiency ɛ i depends on many<br />

details such as the time-dependence <strong>of</strong> the arrival <strong>flow</strong><br />

A i (t) and its average value A i , the length L i <strong>of</strong> the road<br />

section, and the signal control scheme (fixed cycle time<br />

or not, adaptive green phases or not, signal <strong>of</strong>fsets, etc.).<br />

These data and the exact signal settings are <strong>of</strong>ten not fully<br />

available and, there<strong>for</strong>e, it is reasonable to consider ɛ i as<br />

fit parameters rather than deriving complicated <strong>for</strong>mulas<br />

<strong>for</strong> them. Nevertheless, we will demonstrate the general<br />

dependence on the utilization u i in the following.<br />

For this, we will study the case <strong>of</strong> excess green times<br />

(δ i > 0), which are usually chosen to cope with the<br />

stochasticity <strong>of</strong> vehicle arrivals, i.e. the fact that the number<br />

<strong>of</strong> vehicles arriving during one cycle time is usually<br />

fluctuating. The choice δ i > 0, i.e. f i >u i , also implies<br />

A i T cyc<br />

T cyc<br />

= u i ̂Qi 0maybe<br />

derived from equations (21) and(28). We obtain<br />

1 − ɛ i = (1 − f i) 2<br />

(1 − u i ) 2 (1 − ∑ j u j)<br />

(1 − ∑ j f j) , (32)<br />

where f i (u i ,δ i )=(1+δ i )u i according to equation (7).<br />

The efficiency ɛ i is usually smaller than in the case, where<br />

the <strong>traffic</strong> light is turned red as soon as a vehicle queue<br />

has been dissolved (<strong>for</strong> exceptions see Ref. [41]). Then,<br />

ɛ i < 0<strong>for</strong>δ i > 0. Formula (32) also allows one to treat the<br />

case where the green time fractions f i and the cycle time<br />

T cyc are not adapted to the respective <strong>traffic</strong> situation,<br />

but where a fixed cycle time T cyc = Tcyc 0 andfixedgreen<br />

time fractions fi<br />

0 are implemented. This corresponds to<br />

constant green times<br />

fi 0 Tcyc({f 0 j 0 }) =<br />

f i 0T los<br />

1 − ∑ j f j<br />

0 . (33)<br />

In case <strong>of</strong> uni<strong>for</strong>m vehicle arrivals, we just have to insert<br />

the corresponding value f i = f 0 i into equation (32) to<br />

obtain ɛ i . In the case <strong>of</strong> non-uni<strong>for</strong>m arrivals, ɛ i can be<br />

understood as fit parameter <strong>of</strong> our model, which allows us<br />

to adjust our <strong>for</strong>mulas to empirical data and to quantify<br />

the efficiency <strong>of</strong> <strong>traffic</strong> light operation. In this way, we<br />

can also absorb effects <strong>of</strong> stochastic vehicle arrivals into<br />

the efficiency coefficients ɛ i , which simplifies our treatment<br />

alot.<br />

3 Fundamental relationships<br />

<strong>for</strong> undersaturated <strong>traffic</strong><br />

The travel time is generally given by the sum <strong>of</strong> the free<br />

travel time Ti 0 = L i /Vi<br />

0 and the average delay time Ti av ,<br />

where L i denotes the length <strong>of</strong> the road section used by<br />

vehicle stream i and Vi<br />

0 the free speed (or speed limit).<br />

With equation (24), we get<br />

T i ({u j },ɛ i )=T 0<br />

i<br />

+ T av<br />

i<br />

({u j },ɛ i )= L av<br />

i ΔNi ({u j },ɛ i )<br />

Vi<br />

0 + .<br />

u i ̂Qi<br />

(34)<br />

Inserting equation (29), we can express the travel time<br />

solely in terms <strong>of</strong> the utilization u i , and we have<br />

T i ({u j },ɛ i )= L i<br />

Vi<br />

0 +(1− ɛ i ) (1 − u i)T los<br />

2(1 − ∑ j u j) . (35)<br />

The <strong>for</strong>mula (35) constitutes a <strong>fundamental</strong> relationship<br />

between the average travel time Ti<br />

av on the capacity utilization<br />

u i under the assumptions made (mainly cyclical<br />

operation with certain efficiencies ɛ i ). Of course, one still<br />

needs to specify the factor (1 − ɛ i ). In case <strong>of</strong> constant arrival<br />

rates A i ,thisfactorisgivenbyequation(32), which<br />

finally results in<br />

T i (u i , {f j })= L i<br />

Vi<br />

0 + (1 − f i) 2<br />

(1 − u i )<br />

After insertion <strong>of</strong> equation (7), we get<br />

T i ({u j }, {δ j })= L i<br />

V 0<br />

i<br />

T los<br />

2(1 − ∑ j f j) . (36)<br />

[1 − (1 + δ i )u i ] 2 T los<br />

+<br />

(1 − u i )2[1 − ∑ j (1 + δ j)u j ] . (37)<br />

Sometimes, it is desireable to express the <strong>fundamental</strong> relationships<br />

in terms <strong>of</strong> the density rather than the utility.<br />

Inserting equation (35) intoTi<br />

av (u i ,ɛ i )=T i (u i ,ɛ i ) −<br />

L i /Vi 0 , and this into equation (26), we obtain the equation<br />

ρ av<br />

i<br />

({u j },ɛ i ,L i )= u i ̂Q i<br />

(1 − ɛ i ) (1 − u i)T los<br />

L i 2(1 − ∑ j u j) , (38)<br />

which can be numerically inverted to give the utilization u i<br />

as a function <strong>of</strong> the scaled densities ρ av<br />

j L j/(1−ɛ j ). The calculations<br />

are simpler in case <strong>of</strong> a fixed cycle time Tcyc 0 and<br />

an uni<strong>for</strong>m arrival <strong>of</strong> vehicles. By inserting equation (20)

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