Strategic Thought Transformation - The IIPM Think Tank
Strategic Thought Transformation - The IIPM Think Tank
Strategic Thought Transformation - The IIPM Think Tank
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S T R A T E G I C I N S I G H T<br />
not go back into a negative WTF<br />
profile in the future. Investment<br />
decisions (especially capital assets<br />
decisions) might skew the WTF<br />
Tally curves of the MetaSBU from<br />
positive to negative, from time to<br />
time. This in no way should signify<br />
that the MetaSBU has again become<br />
a dangerous proposition. But prudent<br />
managers would generally not<br />
prefer becoming negative on the<br />
WTF profile, after having attained<br />
a positive Wealth Time Frontier.<br />
Instead, the management should<br />
focus on how to keep on increasing<br />
the WTF Tally of the MetaSBU and<br />
how to keep on reducing the WTF<br />
Tallies of the various shareholder<br />
groups. <strong>The</strong> Wealth Payback Sculpt<br />
annexures that the management<br />
develops should necessarily mention<br />
details of how the WTF Tally<br />
has been calculated and the negative<br />
or positive<br />
figures<br />
thereon of<br />
Net Cluster<br />
Wealth.<br />
<strong>The</strong>refore,<br />
whenever<br />
any<br />
intelligent<br />
investor has<br />
to invest in<br />
a business<br />
unit, the<br />
WTF & WTF<br />
Tally position<br />
of the business<br />
would be vital benchmarks.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Net Cluster Wealth Flow is<br />
what gets added or negated from<br />
the WTF Tally every year after all<br />
adjustments are attempted.<br />
Any MetaSBU that has a negative<br />
Wealth Time Frontier associated<br />
with it in any period is consequently<br />
called a WTF Negative<br />
MetaSBU. <strong>The</strong> WTF box in the<br />
Magnitude Narrative Body of the<br />
WPS would be coloured in a combination<br />
of Red & Orange for all<br />
those periods when the MetaSBU<br />
is WTF Negative. Any MetaSBU<br />
with a positive Wealth Time Frontier<br />
is called a WTF Positive MetaSBU. <strong>The</strong><br />
WTF box in the Magnitude Narrative<br />
Body of the WPS would be coloured<br />
in a combination of Black & Blue for<br />
all those periods that the MetaSBU<br />
remains WTF Positive. In those rare<br />
cases when the MetaSBU is WTF Neutral<br />
(wealth break-even period), the<br />
WTF box is coloured in a combination<br />
of Green & Yellow.<br />
How long or short is<br />
a ‘period’<br />
One period does not necessarily mean<br />
one year. With respect to these constructs,<br />
a period could be a day, a<br />
week, one fortnight, a month, a quarter,<br />
a year or any duration convenient<br />
for relevant analysis of MetaSBU performance.<br />
<strong>The</strong> longevity of a period depends<br />
totally on the industry dynamics.<br />
For example, the computers & fashion<br />
industries display faster dynamics<br />
than say the steel<br />
or cement industry; hence<br />
would have shorter periods<br />
to analyze. When day<br />
traders are attempting to<br />
use these constructs to<br />
analyze wealth scenarios<br />
of their various stock investment<br />
portfolios, each<br />
hour (or even shorter)<br />
becomes a period. Even<br />
though for simplicity sake<br />
In this model, if a<br />
group of<br />
shareholders has<br />
not been paid in<br />
any period, then<br />
they get increased<br />
returns later on<br />
we have only covered limited periods,<br />
in reality, the WPS and m-PIPE constructs<br />
have been known to be developed<br />
for as large as 50 periods and<br />
above.<br />
If management has to promise returns<br />
to even shareholders, then what is the<br />
difference between loan giving entities<br />
and shareholders<br />
<strong>The</strong> difference is historic. If the<br />
company is not making wealth, the<br />
management is not obliged to payback<br />
the equity shareholders. That is<br />
the risk being taken by shareholders.<br />
No shareholder can go to the courts<br />
to force management to release the<br />
sunken investment. But a creditor can<br />
take legal recourse to recovering loans<br />
provided to the corporation. <strong>The</strong>se constructs<br />
also handle such unpaid equity<br />
shareholders extremely logically. In<br />
case one group of shareholders has not<br />
received dividends for some years; the<br />
WPS construct calculates the future<br />
value of dividends to be paid by management<br />
to this group by increasing the<br />
amount of payable dividends using the<br />
AIR (Augment Interest Rate) that in<br />
turn is the actual compounded return<br />
on investment that shareholders are<br />
expecting. Thus, if a group of shareholders<br />
has not been paid in any period,<br />
then the shareholder group gets<br />
increased returns in the subsequent<br />
periods. <strong>The</strong>se returns are increased<br />
with the exact (or more) amount to<br />
take care of the unpaid periods.<br />
What about those shareholder<br />
groups that have already reached the<br />
positive side of wealth payback, that<br />
is, whose wealth investments have already<br />
been returned with profit margins<br />
Don’t these shareholders get any<br />
more dividends<br />
Obviously they do continue to get<br />
more dividends. But their dividend<br />
payout ratio would depend upon the<br />
Augment Interest Rates & DWACC calculated<br />
on the basis of other shareholder<br />
groups and creditors whose<br />
investments have still not been paid<br />
back.<br />
What if the management has succeeded<br />
in paying back all shareholder<br />
48<br />
STRATEGIC INNOVATORS<br />
An <strong>IIPM</strong> Intelligence Unit Publication