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Strategic Thought Transformation - The IIPM Think Tank

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S T R A T E G I C I S S U E S<br />

Source : UNDP & Company reports<br />

Country<br />

Real Per Capita<br />

Income<br />

Trip per<br />

capita<br />

Ethopia INR 32,206.74 0.011<br />

Congo INR 43,712.38 0.001<br />

Nigeria INR 47,562.69 0.007<br />

Vietnam INR 112,791.52 0.08<br />

India INR 131,001.24 0.0125<br />

Indonesia INR 152,245.91 0.017<br />

Philippines INR 195,731.79 0.06<br />

China INR 226,624.89 0.09<br />

Ukraine INR 248,730.22 0.0125<br />

Ukraine INR 248,730.22 0.014<br />

Columbia INR 303,585.86 0.14<br />

Turkey INR 306,756.70 0.1<br />

Turkey INR 306,756.70 0.115<br />

Dominican Rep INR 309,066.89 0.0012<br />

Thailand INR 344,036.79 0.145<br />

Mexico INR 415,290.23 0.13<br />

Chile INR 465,389.60 0.16<br />

Poland INR 515,443.67 0.017<br />

Portugal INR 520,924.70 0.84<br />

Saudi Arabia INR 599,108.70 0.8<br />

Oman INR 615,325.32 0.9<br />

Bahrain INR 791,760.25 3<br />

Brunei INR 792,711.50 5.1<br />

South Korea INR 814,046.76 0.82<br />

Qatar INR 815,360.40 2<br />

Cyprus INR 850,511.49 2.5<br />

Slovenia INR 867,452.87 0.15<br />

Greece INR 903,872.30 0.8<br />

Israel INR 907,450.83 0.86<br />

UAE INR 928,604.90 4.1<br />

New Zealand INR 1,022,914.92 4<br />

Sweden INR 1,211,716.15 2.1<br />

Italy INR 1,228,431.04 0.17<br />

UK INR 1,229,699.38 0.95<br />

Hong Kong INR 1,231,148.91 2.8<br />

Germany INR 1,257,285.74 0.85<br />

Japan INR 1,266,843.57 0.96<br />

Austria INR 1,363,191.99 0.82<br />

Switzerland INR 1,383,938.39 4.5<br />

Canada INR 1,389,600.61 0.9<br />

Denmark INR 1,425,295.28 1.04<br />

USA INR 1,701,475.96 5.2<br />

Norway INR 1,706,368.13 6<br />

Ireland INR 1,709,448.38 5.5<br />

aspect of flying. But with the opening up of<br />

the Indian economy in the early nineties,<br />

certain modifications were witnessed in the<br />

commercial aviation space. Most important<br />

of them all was that the Air Corporation Act<br />

was repealed to end the monopoly of the<br />

public sector and private airlines saw the<br />

light of the Indian skies. With this, began<br />

a new morning for the Indian aviation industry<br />

– one that promised a bagful of good<br />

tidings – for the operators and customers<br />

alike in the Indian sub-continent.<br />

And of course, the rest is history. Today,<br />

with air travel becoming increasingly<br />

popular at the cost of railways and roads<br />

(owing to the fall in prices of air tickets, despite<br />

fuel price increase), policy-makers too<br />

seem to have understood that much needs<br />

to be done before world-class standards are<br />

reached. What is most interesting about<br />

the current state of affairs is the fact that<br />

these national leaders seem to have fully<br />

understood the magical spill-over benefits<br />

Trend Line Equation R 2<br />

Value<br />

Linear y=0.0665x 0.3815<br />

Logarithmic y= 1.0873ln(x) – 1.7611 0.2922<br />

Trinomial y=0.0001x 3 -0.0062x 2<br />

+0.1563x+0.6525<br />

0.4469<br />

Power y=0.0007x 2.1239 0.6383<br />

Exponential y=0.0108e 0.1465x 0.6468<br />

to other sectors that privatization in the<br />

aviation industry has caused and are today<br />

oriented towards improving the state of affairs<br />

in various domestic and international<br />

terminals across the country. <strong>The</strong> recent<br />

changes that have been made in the Airports<br />

Authority of India Act to permit the<br />

privatization of the two Metro airports of<br />

Delhi and Mumbai stand as strong evidence<br />

to that belief. To add to this, the Government<br />

has also taken an important step in<br />

setting-up an ambitious committee under<br />

the guidance of Naresh Chandra, with the<br />

prime task of examining the irregularities<br />

in the aviation sector and make suggestions<br />

for its rapid and effective up-gradation.<br />

Estimation of Demand<br />

With the Indian economy all set to grow<br />

with ever-increasing vigour and swell in<br />

GDP value expected, the purchasing power<br />

of Indians is also expected to rise proportionately.<br />

With Assocham’s prediction of<br />

the Indian GDP doubling by the year 2010,<br />

we can prudently postulate that the disposable<br />

income (and therefore the purchasing<br />

power) of Indians will also double by the<br />

year 2010, hence an effective surge in the<br />

frequency of travel, which will infallibly<br />

be accompanied by an augmentation in<br />

number of air passengers.<br />

It has also been empirically observed<br />

that when the per capita income of any<br />

country is taken during certain time-intervals,<br />

the per capita income in that coun-<br />

14<br />

STRATEGIC INNOVATORS<br />

An <strong>IIPM</strong> Intelligence Unit Publication

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