26.12.2014 Views

Professor Philip Taylor - Older workers in a sustainable society ...

Professor Philip Taylor - Older workers in a sustainable society ...

Professor Philip Taylor - Older workers in a sustainable society ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

www.monash.edu<br />

Def<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g public policy for older<br />

<strong>workers</strong>: An ill-def<strong>in</strong>ed group<br />

<strong>Professor</strong> <strong>Philip</strong> <strong>Taylor</strong><br />

Director of Research and Graduate Studies,<br />

Monash University, Gippsland Campus<br />

<strong>Older</strong> Workers <strong>in</strong> a Susta<strong>in</strong>able<br />

Society<br />

Oslo<br />

June 2010<br />

www.monash.edu


www.monash.edu<br />

Content<br />

• Exam<strong>in</strong>es changes <strong>in</strong> work and retirement aga<strong>in</strong>st a<br />

background of population age<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

• Reviews the status of policymak<strong>in</strong>g concerned with age<br />

and employment and how this needs to be adapted to<br />

align with the needs of different <strong>in</strong>dividuals and societies.<br />

• Considers trends <strong>in</strong> the employment of older <strong>workers</strong>, how<br />

policymakers are envision<strong>in</strong>g a flexible end to work<strong>in</strong>g life<br />

and their prospects of success.


www.monash.edu<br />

<strong>Older</strong> <strong>workers</strong> <strong>in</strong> context<br />

• To understand the present situation of older <strong>workers</strong> some<br />

context is required.<br />

• Policy development s<strong>in</strong>ce the late-1990s has been the of<br />

prolongation of work<strong>in</strong>g lives, presented as a means of<br />

reduc<strong>in</strong>g pressures on social welfare systems.<br />

• Contrasts with previous approaches which focused on the<br />

need to remove older <strong>workers</strong> from the labour market <strong>in</strong><br />

response to high unemployment.<br />

• In the 1980s and 1990s the restructur<strong>in</strong>g of <strong>in</strong>dustrialised<br />

economies was accompanied by a dramatic fall <strong>in</strong> labour<br />

force participation among older <strong>workers</strong>.


www.monash.edu<br />

The labour market and older <strong>workers</strong><br />

• Research po<strong>in</strong>ts to the disadvantaged status of older <strong>workers</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong> the labour markets of the <strong>in</strong>dustrialised economies. Their<br />

position is summarised <strong>in</strong> a review of OECD countries:<br />

– Labour market mobility <strong>in</strong> terms of new hires is lower for older<br />

<strong>workers</strong>.<br />

– While rates of job loss are similar for younger and older <strong>workers</strong>,<br />

the latter are more prone to experience long-term unemployment.<br />

– A shift to economic <strong>in</strong>activity is generally permanent across older<br />

age groups (OECD 2006).<br />

• On the other hand, after decades of <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly early labour<br />

market withdrawal, important changes have been underway.


www.monash.edu<br />

Employment/population ratios, men and<br />

women aged 55-64, 1979-2008<br />

Men<br />

Women<br />

1979 1983 1990 1995 2000 2008 1979 1983 1990 1995 2000 2008<br />

Australia 67.4 59.6 59.2 55.3 58.3 65.7 19.8 19.9 24.2 27.4 35.3 49.1<br />

F<strong>in</strong>land 54.3 51.4 46.3 34.9 43.7 57 39.0 44.1 39.7 33.1 40.9 55.8<br />

Germany 63.2 57.4 52.0 47.2 46.4 61.7 26.8 24.0 22.4 24.4 29.0 46<br />

Netherlands 63.2 46.1 44.5 39.9 49.9 60.2 14.0 13.2 15.8 18.0 25.8 41.1<br />

Japan 81.5 80.5 80.4 80.8 78.4 81.4 44.8 45.1 46.5 47.5 47.9 51.7<br />

UK - 64.3 62.4 56.1 59.8 67.7 - - 36.7 39.3 41.4 49<br />

USA 70.8 65.2 65.2 63.6 65.7 67.7 40.4 39.4 44.0 47.5 50.6 57<br />

EU-15 - - 52.3 47.2 48.9 56 - - 24.3 25.6 28.4 38.9<br />

Source: OECD Employment Outlook (various)


www.monash.edu<br />

New consensus on ‘active age<strong>in</strong>g’<br />

• Emerg<strong>in</strong>g consensus around the notion of ‘active age<strong>in</strong>g’,<br />

def<strong>in</strong>ed by the WHO (2002) as ‘the process of optimiz<strong>in</strong>g<br />

opportunities for health, participation and security <strong>in</strong> order to<br />

enhance quality of life as people age’.<br />

• Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the OECD (1998), this requires:<br />

‣ emphasis<strong>in</strong>g prevention, mak<strong>in</strong>g policy <strong>in</strong>terventions at an<br />

earlier life stage, reduc<strong>in</strong>g the need for later remedial action<br />

‣ less fragmented actions, concentrated at critical transition<br />

po<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>in</strong> life<br />

‣ and enabl<strong>in</strong>g less constra<strong>in</strong>ed choices and greater<br />

responsibility at the level of <strong>in</strong>dividuals.


The Times, 12 May 2006, p.28


www.monash.edu<br />

Life course perspectives on work<strong>in</strong>g longer<br />

www.monash.edu


www.monash.edu<br />

The Life Course Perspective<br />

Fundamental pr<strong>in</strong>ciples characterize the life course approach:<br />

1. socio-historical and geographical context<br />

2. tim<strong>in</strong>g of lives<br />

3. heterogeneity or variability<br />

4. ‘l<strong>in</strong>ked lives’ and social ties to others<br />

5. human agency and personal control and<br />

6. how the past shapes the future.


www.monash.edu<br />

Socio-historical and geographical context<br />

• Individual developmental pathways embedded <strong>in</strong> and<br />

transformed by conditions and events occurr<strong>in</strong>g dur<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

historical period and their geographical location e.g.<br />

geopolitical events, economic cycles, and social and cultural<br />

ideologies shape perceptions and choices.


www.monash.edu<br />

Tim<strong>in</strong>g of lives<br />

3 types: <strong>in</strong>dividual, generational, and historical<br />

• Individual time - periods of life, such as childhood, adolescence, and old<br />

age, and access to roles and rights <strong>in</strong> <strong>society</strong>; based on culturally shared<br />

def<strong>in</strong>itions.<br />

• Generational time - age groups or cohorts, based upon their age e.g. baby<br />

boom generation.<br />

• Historical time - societal or large-scale changes or events and how these<br />

affect <strong>in</strong>dividuals and families e.g. political and economic changes, war<br />

and technological <strong>in</strong>novation.


www.monash.edu<br />

Heterogeneity or variability<br />

• Recognition of not only modal or average developmental and transitional<br />

trends, but also variability.<br />

• Generations or cohorts not homogeneous, differ on critical dimensions<br />

e.g. gender, social-economic group, family structure, ethnicity.<br />

• Ability to adapt to life course events varies with the resources or supports<br />

<strong>in</strong>herent <strong>in</strong> these elements <strong>in</strong> the form of economic or cultural capital (e.g.<br />

wealth, education) or social capital (e.g. family social support).<br />

• Increas<strong>in</strong>g variability associated with age<strong>in</strong>g. Longer lives br<strong>in</strong>g with them<br />

greater exposure to factors that affect the age<strong>in</strong>g process.


www.monash.edu<br />

L<strong>in</strong>ked lives and social ties<br />

• Lives are <strong>in</strong>terdependent and reciprocally connected on different<br />

levels. Societal and <strong>in</strong>dividual experiences l<strong>in</strong>ked thorough family and<br />

networks of shared relationships.<br />

• As a result, macro-level events e.g. economic recession, could affect<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividual behaviours (e.g. forced to rema<strong>in</strong> economically active), and<br />

this can significantly affect other familial relationships e.g. car<strong>in</strong>g<br />

responsibilities.


www.monash.edu<br />

Human agency and personal control<br />

• Individuals are active agents who not only mediate the effect of social<br />

structures but also make decisions and set goals that shape their<br />

biographies.<br />

• Have the capacity to engage <strong>in</strong> planful competence, the thoughtful,<br />

proactive, and self-controlled processes that underlie choices about<br />

<strong>in</strong>stitutional <strong>in</strong>volvements and social relationships.<br />

• But, choices are <strong>in</strong>fluenced by opportunities and constra<strong>in</strong>ts.<br />

• And <strong>in</strong>dividuals modify their expectations and behaviour <strong>in</strong> response to<br />

changes <strong>in</strong> either needs or resources.


www.monash.edu<br />

The past shapes the future<br />

• Life course choices, opportunities, and conditions affect later outcomes<br />

which can be envisioned as ripple or dom<strong>in</strong>o effects.<br />

• Occur at the cohort/generational level and the <strong>in</strong>dividual/familial level e.g.<br />

one generation can transmit to the next the reverberations of the historical<br />

circumstances that shaped its history (e.g. experienc<strong>in</strong>g recession).<br />

• Tim<strong>in</strong>g and conditions of life events and behaviours occur (e.g. job loss,<br />

occupational <strong>in</strong>jury) can set up a cha<strong>in</strong> reaction of experiences for<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividuals and their families (e.g. reproduction of poverty).<br />

• Thus, the past can significantly affect later life outcomes and recognis<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

role of cumulative advantage or disadvantage is valuable <strong>in</strong> consider<strong>in</strong>g<br />

policymak<strong>in</strong>g.


www.monash.edu<br />

Consider<strong>in</strong>g the life course from an labour<br />

market perspective<br />

• Destandardisation of transitions from school to old age.<br />

• Chang<strong>in</strong>g skill demands and greater emphasis on ‘employability’.<br />

• Labour market deregulation :<br />

‣Decorporatisation of <strong>in</strong>dustrial relations.<br />

‣Volatile labour market dynamics.<br />

‣Core/periphery employment and the casualisation of work.<br />

‣Internal labour markets versus contractual work.<br />

• Chang<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stitutional frameworks.<br />

www.monash.edu


www.monash.edu<br />

New policies for older <strong>workers</strong><br />

Policy measures <strong>in</strong>clude:<br />

– Closure of or limits on use of early retirement pathways<br />

– Increas<strong>in</strong>g retirement ages<br />

– ‘Active’ labour market measures<br />

– Rewards for pension deferral<br />

– End<strong>in</strong>g mandatory retirement<br />

– More flexible approach to retirement e.g. gradual retirement.<br />

But, mixed evidence on the success of the various measures e.g.<br />

– End<strong>in</strong>g mandatory retirement appears not to have been effective.<br />

– Gradual retirement schemes appear to have had limited <strong>in</strong>fluence,<br />

although early days <strong>in</strong> terms of evaluation.<br />

– Gradual retirement schemes may even have promoted early retirement.<br />

– Evidence of cream<strong>in</strong>g, deadweight effects and occupational<br />

downshift<strong>in</strong>g.


www.monash.edu<br />

Flexible retirement or <strong>in</strong>flexible work<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Surveys f<strong>in</strong>d that older <strong>workers</strong> are will<strong>in</strong>g to work on if they<br />

can reduce or work flexible hours.<br />

• But what are the realities of flexible work<strong>in</strong>g<br />

• Flexibility may benefit some, but for others a gradual switch<br />

from work to non-work is not an option.<br />

• Data suggestive of significant constra<strong>in</strong>ts on older <strong>workers</strong>’<br />

choices.<br />

• S<strong>in</strong>gular public policy position of one-way transitions from<br />

full-time to part-time work and on to retirement is misguided,<br />

perhaps driven by ageist assumptions.


Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics<br />

www.monash.edu


Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics<br />

www.monash.edu


Percent<br />

February<br />

Quarter 1978<br />

February<br />

Quarter 1983<br />

February<br />

Quarter 1988<br />

February<br />

Quarter 1993<br />

February<br />

Quarter 1998<br />

February<br />

Quarter 2003<br />

February<br />

Quarter 2008<br />

www.monash.edu<br />

Underemployment Rates: Australia<br />

Males by Age<br />

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics<br />

14<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

M 15 - 24<br />

M 25 - 34<br />

M 35 - 44<br />

M 45 - 54<br />

M 55 and over<br />

Quarter / Year


Percent<br />

February<br />

Quarter 1978<br />

February<br />

Quarter 1983<br />

February<br />

Quarter 1988<br />

February<br />

Quarter 1993<br />

February<br />

Quarter 1998<br />

February<br />

Quarter 2003<br />

February<br />

Quarter 2008<br />

www.monash.edu<br />

Underemployment Rates: Australia<br />

Females by Age<br />

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics<br />

18<br />

16<br />

14<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

15 - 24<br />

25 - 34<br />

35 - 44<br />

45 - 54<br />

55 and over<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

Quarter / Year


Percent<br />

www.monash.edu<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

1 to 12 Weeks<br />

13 to 51 Weeks<br />

52 Weeks and Over<br />

0<br />

15 - 19 20 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 years<br />

and over<br />

Age Group / Duration of Underemployment<br />

Australian Underemployment Rates by Duration. Men by Age (Australian<br />

Bureau of Statistics)<br />

23


Percent<br />

www.monash.edu<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

1 to 12 Weeks<br />

13 to 51 Weeks<br />

52 Weeks and Over<br />

10<br />

0<br />

15 - 19 20 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 years<br />

and over<br />

Age Group / Duration of Underemployment<br />

Australian Underemployment Rates by Duration. Women by Age (Australian<br />

Bureau of Statistics)<br />

24


www.monash.edu<br />

Summary<br />

• Policymak<strong>in</strong>g has had a s<strong>in</strong>gular focus on delay<strong>in</strong>g<br />

retirement, ignor<strong>in</strong>g the the diversity of older people’s<br />

lived lives.<br />

• Narrow economic imperatives are overrid<strong>in</strong>g wider<br />

social ones such as the work/care nexus.<br />

• Neglect of such scenarios risks expos<strong>in</strong>g older<br />

people to the now familiar problem of dim<strong>in</strong>ish<strong>in</strong>g<br />

opportunities and <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g constra<strong>in</strong>ts and with<br />

them, reduced prospects for ‘active age<strong>in</strong>g’.<br />

www.monash.edu


www.monash.edu<br />

New policies for older <strong>workers</strong><br />

• Realistic stance on older <strong>workers</strong>’ employment<br />

– Extend<strong>in</strong>g work<strong>in</strong>g lives depends on a range of <strong>in</strong>dividual,<br />

organisational, economic and societal factors and while<br />

this may be achievable for some, for others it might be<br />

remote.<br />

• Integrated and strategic policymak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

– Need for a matrix of public policies which respond to the<br />

heterogeneity of older people’s lives, not devise policy<br />

accord<strong>in</strong>g to chronological age.<br />

• Preventative<br />

– A shift to a life course approach, emphasis<strong>in</strong>g long-term<br />

measures.


www.monash.edu<br />

Summary<br />

• Integrated and strategic approaches aim<strong>in</strong>g to produce susta<strong>in</strong>able<br />

workforces and which move beyond a static view of older <strong>workers</strong> will:<br />

‣ Support a diverse workforce to balance work and non-work<br />

obligations.<br />

‣ Be sensitive to the need to empower <strong>workers</strong> to rema<strong>in</strong> competitive<br />

over the long-term.<br />

‣ Challenge age-based and other stereotypes, not reflect them.<br />

‣ Accept that some <strong>workers</strong>’ lifecourse trajectories leave them illequipped<br />

to compete <strong>in</strong> a modern economy.<br />

‣ Take the long view, plann<strong>in</strong>g for the older workforce of the future.<br />

www.monash.edu


www.monash.edu<br />

Thank you<br />

<strong>Philip</strong>.taylor@adm.monash.edu.<br />

au<br />

www.monash.edu

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!