REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS AND REGIONAL COOPERATION Sectors Table 3: The GL index in 2006 Bosnia and Herzegovina Croatia Macedonia Serbia and Montenegro Machinery 0.72 0.51 0.24 0.24 Base metal 0.72 0.58 0.50 0.62 Textiles 0.82 0.79 0.89 0.81 Foodstuffs 0.18 0.79 0.97 0.86 Wood 0.42 0.77 0.45 0.74 Mineral 0.69 0.55 0.58 0.26 Miscellaneous manufactured articles 0.54 0.74 0.44 0.59 Vehicles 0.19 0.24 0.13 0.15 Plastics 0.31 0.52 0.05 0.78 Chemical 0.40 0.29 0.09 0.28 Footwear 0.67 0.99 0.77 0.85 Skins, leather 0.90 1.00 0.54 0.29 Pulp of wood, paper 0.36 0.44 0.05 0.23 Stone, plaster, cement 0.12 0.52 0.40 0.21 Animal products 0.07 0.35 0.58 0.29 Precision instruments 0.27 0.05 0.08 0.12 Vegetable products 0.28 0.38 0.93 0.39 Natural or cultured pearls 0.62 0.33 - 0.62 Animal or vegetable fats and oils 0.38 0.41 - 0.57 Arms and ammunition 0.25 - - 0.80 Source: COMEXT, own calculations. As seen from the table, all countries have a higher level of intra-industry trade specialization in labour-intensive sectors: textiles, base metal, wood, footwear, skins and leather. At the same time, inter-industry trade prevails for capital intensive sectors and high technology sectors: vehicles, chemical, precision instruments. Intra-industry trade can be separated into horizontal and vertical types based on the unit value of exports and imports (Algieri 2004; Reganati and Pittiglio 2005). The unit value of exports is calculated as the value of exports divided by the quantity and the unit value of imports as the value of imports divided by the import quantity. If RUV is within the interval 0.85- 1.15, intra-industry trade is horizontal; conversely if it is outside of this interval it is vertical. In table 4 the first three products at the three digit level of SITC 7 concerning the calculated RUV values are shown. At the same time, for every product its related export share is noted. 8 SITC is the shortcut for Standard international trade classification 83
PART I: Table 4: The indicator of the ratio between unit value of exports and imports (RUV) in 2005 SITC PRODUCTS RUV RCA % EXPORTS Bosnia and Herzegovina 048 Cereal 1.40 -0.49 0.59870 285 Aluminum 1.36 0.13 4.83567 713 Piston engines and parts 1.30 0.11 7.82918 Croatia 272 Fertilizers 16.39 -3.99 0.00005 613 Fur 9.27 0.02 0.03013 515 Organic compounds 7.48 -0.58 0.12720 Macedonia 012 Meat 4.28 -0.62 0.71033 048 Cereal 2.19 -0.34 0.69073 676 Iron and steel 1.46 -0.85 0.71033 Serbia and Montenegro 248 Wood 1.74 -0.03 1.48370 061 Sugars, molasses and honey 1.65 0.59 4.22487 Source: COMEXT, own calculations. The analysis of the results leads to the conclusion that the great majority of products in which the observed countries realize the highest values of the RUV indicator belong to the sphere of raw materials or labour-intensive products. Compared to other analyzed countries, Croatia has the largest number of the products at the three digit level of SITC which have the values of the RUV indicators above 1.15 (vertical specialization with high value added products). At the same time common characteristics for all countries are a domination of horizontal specialization and vertical specialization with low value added products in the trade structures. Also, it is noted that for Croatia and Macedonia none of the first three products have an export share higher than 1.0%. On the other hand, the first three products according to the RUV indicator for Bosnia and Herzegovina and Serbia and Montenegro have a significant role in their exports structures. However, the values of the RUV indicator in these countries are pretty low. The analysis of comparative advantages, intra-industry trade and trade specialization does not reveal an unambiguous conclusion for overall trade patterns. On the one hand, there are sectors with comparative advantage, while on the other hand there are sectors which do not have comparative advantage. At first sight the unfavourable ratio on behalf of the sectors without comparative advantage does not have to necessary lead to a conclusion about unfavourable trade structures. The reason is a characteristic of small countries where it is expected that comparative advantages and trade specialization will be found in a smaller number of sectors and products. However, the results of the correlation analysis for all products at the three digit level of SITC show that products with a higher level of comparative advantage do not have a higher ratio between the unit value of exports and imports. This points to unfavourable trade patterns. 84
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PART I:<br />
Table 4: The indicator of the ratio between unit value of<br />
exports and imports (RUV) in 2005<br />
SITC PRODUCTS RUV RCA % EXPORTS<br />
Bosnia and Herzegovina<br />
048 Cereal 1.40 -0.49 0.59870<br />
285 Aluminum 1.36 0.13 4.83567<br />
713 Piston engines and parts 1.30 0.11 7.82918<br />
Croatia<br />
272 Fertilizers 16.39 -3.99 0.00005<br />
613 Fur 9.27 0.02 0.03013<br />
515 Organic compounds 7.48 -0.58 0.12720<br />
Macedonia<br />
012 Meat 4.28 -0.62 0.71033<br />
048 Cereal 2.19 -0.34 0.69073<br />
676 Iron and steel 1.46 -0.85 0.71033<br />
Serbia and Montenegro<br />
248 Wood 1.74 -0.03 1.48370<br />
061 Sugars, molasses and honey 1.65 0.59 4.22487<br />
Source: COMEXT, own calculations.<br />
The analysis of the results leads to the conclusion that the great majority of products in<br />
which the observed countries realize the highest values of the RUV indicator belong to<br />
the sphere of raw materials or labour-intensive products. Compared to other analyzed<br />
countries, Croatia has the largest number of the products at the three digit level of SITC<br />
which have the values of the RUV indicators above 1.15 (vertical specialization with high<br />
value added products). At the same time common characteristics for all countries are a<br />
domination of horizontal specialization and vertical specialization with low value added<br />
products in the trade structures. Also, it is noted that for Croatia and Macedonia none of<br />
the first three products have an export share higher than 1.0%. On the other hand, the first<br />
three products according to the RUV indicator for Bosnia and Herzegovina and Serbia and<br />
Montenegro have a significant role in their exports structures. However, the values of the<br />
RUV indicator in these countries are pretty low.<br />
The analysis of comparative advantages, intra-industry trade and trade specialization does<br />
not reveal an unambiguous conclusion for overall trade patterns. On the one hand, there<br />
are sectors with comparative advantage, while on the other hand there are sectors which<br />
do not have comparative advantage. At first sight the unfavourable ratio on behalf of the<br />
sectors without comparative advantage does not have to necessary lead to a conclusion<br />
about unfavourable trade structures. The reason is a characteristic of small countries where<br />
it is expected that comparative advantages and trade specialization will be found in a<br />
smaller number of sectors and products. However, the results of the correlation analysis<br />
for all products at the three digit level of SITC show that products with a higher level of<br />
comparative advantage do not have a higher ratio between the unit value of exports and<br />
imports. This points to unfavourable trade patterns.<br />
84