REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
EU candidate countries (Croatia, Macedonia and Turkey) in the period 1999-2007 using a gravity model. We have tested the significance of a number of determinants of FDI to the EU candidate countries: classical determinants (market size, labour costs, quality of labour force, infrastructure and transaction costs), policy variables (macroeconomic stability and external liberalization), non-economic factors (governance), agglomeration effect and the EU accession effect. We have found out that agglomeration economies and the achieved progress in the EU accession process are the key determinants of foreign direct investment from the EU member states to the EU candidate countries. Also important is the governance, proxied by the Euromoney country ranking. Our findings suggest a need for concentrated policy efforts between the EU and the EU candidate countries furthest behind in the EU accession process (Macedonia) to speed-up the start of the formal EU negotiations. In this regard, Macedonia’s government should accelerate the harmonization of its laws with the EU laws as a basis for formal start of negotiations and should further improve the general investment environment. The other party in the negotiations, the EU can also encourage more FDI flows to Macedonia by more rigorous analysis and objective assessment of the progress achieved, allowing greater flexibility in sequencing of reforms and accession tasks and extending additional financial aid and political support to Macedonia (Bevan et.al., 2001). Failure to do that, could deteriorate further Macedonia’s position in the EU integration process and may cause a vicious circle where the stagnation in the EU enlargement process decreases FDI inflows to Macedonia and slows down economic reforms and as a consequence negatively influences future progress of the country on the way to EU integration. REFERENCES FDI FLOWS IN SOUTH EASTERN EUROPE Basar, M. and Tosunoglu, S. (2005), The dilemma of foreign direct investments in developing countries through the process of globalization: The case of Turkey, Paper presented at the 4 th Annual Conference of the European Economics and Finance Society on ‘Economic and Financial Issues in an Enlarged Europe’, Coimbra, Portugal, 19-22 May. Bevan, A., Estrin, S. and Grabbe, H. (2001), The impact of EU accession prospects on FDI inflows to Central and Easter Europe, Policy paper, ESRC „One Europe or several”, Programme Nr. 06/01, University of Sussex, Brigton, p.11 Bevan, A.A. and Estrin S. (2004), The determinants of foreign direct investment into European transition economies, Journal of Comparative Economics, 32(4), pp. 775-787. Bevan, A.A. and Estrin, S. (2000), The determinants of foreign direct investment in transition economies, CEPR Discussion Papers 2638. Botric, V. and Skuflic, L.( 2005), Main determinants of foreign direct investment in South East European countries”, Paper presented at the 2 nd Euroframe Conference on Economic Policy Issues in the European Union “Trade, FDI and Relocation; Challenges for Employment and Growth in the European Union”, June 3 rd ,Vienna, Austria. Brenton, P., Di Mauro, F. and Luecke, M. (1999), Economic Integration and FDI: An Empirical Analysis of Foreign Investment in the EU and in Central and Eastern Europe, Empirica 26, pp. 95-121. Campos, N. and Y. Kinoshita (2003). “Why does FDI go where it goes New evidence from the transitional economies”, IMF Working Paper, WP/03/228. Caves, R. (1996), Multinational enterprise and economic analysis, 2 nd ed. Cambridge 285
PART V: University Press. Deichmann, J.I. (2001), Distribution of foreign direct investment among transition economies in central and eastern Europe, Post-Soviet Geography and Economics, 42, pp.142-52. Egger, P. and Pfaffermayr, M. (2004), Distance, trade and FDI: A Hausman-Taylor SUR approach, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(2), pp. 227- 246. Estrin, S., Hughes, K. and Todd, S. (1997), Foreign direct Investment in Central and Eastern Europe, Royal Institute of International Affairs. European Commission, The enlargement website of the European Commission, http:// ec.europa.eu/enlargement/candidate-countries/index_en.htm, Brussels. European Commission (2009), Eurostat Pocketbook on Candidate and Potential Candidate Countries 2009 edition, Brussels. Eurostat (2008), Statistics in focus 68/2008, Brussels. Grosse, R. and Trevino, L.J. (2005), New institutional economics and FDI location in Central and Eastern Europe, Management International Review, 45(2), pp. 123-145. Holland, D. and Pain, N. (1998), The diffusion of innovation in Central and Eastern Europe. A study of the determinants and impact of foreign direct investments, National Institute of Social and Economic Research Discussion Paper, no. 137. Kinoshita, Y. and Campos, N.F. (2002), The location determinants of foreign direct investment in transition economies, University of Michigan William Davidson Institute and CERP. Lankes, H.P. and Venables, A. (1996), Foreign direct investment in economic transition: The changing pattern of investments, Economics of Transition vol. 4, pp. 331-347. Lansbury, M., Pain, N. and Smidkova, K. (1996), Foreign direct investment in Central Europe since 1990: an econometric study, National Institute Economic Review, 156, pp. 104-114. Meyer, K.E. (1998), Direct Investments in Economies in Transition,Edward Elgar. National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia, www.nbrm.gov.mk. Resmini, L. (2000), The determinants of foreign direct investment in the CEECs, Economics of Transition, Vol. 8 (3), 665-689. Singh, H. and Jun, K (1996), The determinants of foreign direct investment in developing countries, Transnational Corporations vol. 5 no. 2, August, pp. 67-105. United Nations (2008), World investment report 2008, Geneva. World Bank (2008), World development indicators 2008, Washington. Zakharov, V. and Kusic, S. (2003), The Role of FDI in the EU Accession Process; The Case of the Western Balkans, Paper prepared for the ETSGs Fifth Annual Conference in Madrid, September 11 th -13 th . 286
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EU candidate countries (Croatia, Macedonia and Turkey) in the period 1999-2007 using a<br />
gravity model. We have tested the significance of a number of determinants of FDI to the<br />
EU candidate countries: classical determinants (market size, labour costs, quality of labour<br />
force, infrastructure and transaction costs), policy variables (macroeconomic stability and<br />
external liberalization), non-economic factors (governance), agglomeration effect and the<br />
EU accession effect. We have found out that agglomeration economies and the achieved<br />
progress in the EU accession process are the key determinants of foreign direct investment<br />
from the EU member states to the EU candidate countries. Also important is the governance,<br />
proxied by the Euromoney country ranking.<br />
Our findings suggest a need for concentrated policy efforts between the EU and the EU<br />
candidate countries furthest behind in the EU accession process (Macedonia) to speed-up<br />
the start of the formal EU negotiations. In this regard, Macedonia’s government should<br />
accelerate the harmonization of its laws with the EU laws as a basis for formal start of<br />
negotiations and should further improve the general investment environment. The other<br />
party in the negotiations, the EU can also encourage more FDI flows to Macedonia by<br />
more rigorous analysis and objective assessment of the progress achieved, allowing greater<br />
flexibility in sequencing of reforms and accession tasks and extending additional financial<br />
aid and political support to Macedonia (Bevan et.al., 2001). Failure to do that, could<br />
deteriorate further Macedonia’s position in the EU integration process and may cause a<br />
vicious circle where the stagnation in the EU enlargement process decreases FDI inflows to<br />
Macedonia and slows down economic reforms and as a consequence negatively influences<br />
future progress of the country on the way to EU integration.<br />
REFERENCES<br />
FDI FLOWS IN SOUTH EASTERN EUROPE<br />
Basar, M. and Tosunoglu, S. (2005), The dilemma of foreign direct investments in developing<br />
countries through the process of globalization: The case of Turkey, Paper presented at the<br />
4 th Annual Conference of the European Economics and Finance Society on ‘Economic and<br />
Financial Issues in an Enlarged Europe’, Coimbra, Portugal, 19-22 May.<br />
Bevan, A., Estrin, S. and Grabbe, H. (2001), The impact of EU accession prospects on<br />
FDI inflows to Central and Easter Europe, Policy paper, ESRC „One Europe or several”,<br />
Programme Nr. 06/01, University of Sussex, Brigton, p.11<br />
Bevan, A.A. and Estrin S. (2004), The determinants of foreign direct investment into<br />
European transition economies, Journal of Comparative Economics, 32(4), pp. 775-787.<br />
Bevan, A.A. and Estrin, S. (2000), The determinants of foreign direct investment in<br />
transition economies, CEPR Discussion Papers 2638.<br />
Botric, V. and Skuflic, L.( 2005), Main determinants of foreign direct investment in<br />
South East European countries”, Paper presented at the 2 nd Euroframe Conference on<br />
Economic Policy Issues in the European Union “Trade, FDI and Relocation; Challenges<br />
for Employment and Growth in the European Union”, June 3 rd ,Vienna, Austria.<br />
Brenton, P., Di Mauro, F. and Luecke, M. (1999), Economic Integration and FDI: An<br />
Empirical Analysis of Foreign Investment in the EU and in Central and Eastern Europe,<br />
Empirica 26, pp. 95-121.<br />
Campos, N. and Y. Kinoshita (2003). “Why does FDI go where it goes New evidence<br />
from the transitional economies”, IMF Working Paper, WP/03/228.<br />
Caves, R. (1996), Multinational enterprise and economic analysis, 2 nd ed. Cambridge<br />
285