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REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

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PART I:<br />

ratio could ultimately raise per-capita income by five percent (cautiously taking the lower<br />

bound of the estimates by Frankel and Romer), and one would in general also expect a five<br />

percent rise in the income of the different society segments; owners of labouer and owners<br />

of capital for instance. .<br />

But it is important to underline that there is nothing guaranteed about this outcome in<br />

relation to the open trade benefits among the people in the nation. Many factors can<br />

influence both growth and distribution of open trade effects. Further, the success of a trade<br />

opening is itself often affected by the macroeconomic climate, the quality of institutions<br />

and other factors.<br />

One part of neoclassical trade theory gives some evidence on the potential problem of<br />

non equal distribution of the open trade environment benefits among the society groups<br />

or segments. The distribution of gains in case of fully employed and open economy<br />

following neoclassical approach developed by Heckser -Ohlin and specified by Stolper-<br />

Samuelson theorem shows uneven distribution of the open trade benefits among social<br />

population groups. The theorem is one of basic concepts in the theory of trade, describing<br />

relation between the relative prices of goods’ output, in the situation of with open trade,<br />

and relative factor rewards, specifically, real wages real and real returns to capital. More<br />

abundant and more intensively used production factor creates exports. The owners of such<br />

production factor experience relative increase of their incomes in relation to the owners<br />

of the other production factor. Free and open trade inside the society according to the<br />

theorem distributes benefits of open trade unevenly among domestic society groups. In<br />

spite of restrictive assumptions; like total trade openness, full employment of factors in the<br />

economy and perfect factor mobility within the nation and none towards other countries,<br />

still the theorem delivers an important message for real trade environment today. It shows<br />

that expected general benefits of trade opening might not been evenly distributed among the<br />

groups in the society. Such fact suggests that discussion on further trade opening whether<br />

on multilateral or regional – FTAs- bases might not be evenly acceptable and supported by<br />

all society groups. Uneven distribution of trade benefits might lead to the use of economic<br />

policies and measures which could try to “correct” the “unacceptable” distribution of the<br />

free trade benefits inside the society. Further more the interest to intervene by economic<br />

policy measures could be further stimulated and increased by the next theoretically known<br />

inequality created by free trade in distribution of the benefits.<br />

Classical and neoclassical trade theory show (under usual assumptions) that expected<br />

trade benefits when trade is free or liberalized will create as analyses show an increase<br />

in GDP growth. Even in the most theoretical case when as a result of trade liberalization<br />

all countries will experience 1,5% point higher GDP growth, actual benefits measured by<br />

the size of GDP increase will substantially differ amng the countries. Explanation of that<br />

fact is obvious. But the message is that because of the similar liberalization efforts actual<br />

GDP increases are strongly different than interest for trade liberalization among countries<br />

might be strongly different. Obviously nations with higher GDP levels could expect larger<br />

increase in the absolute value of GDP as poorer or less developed countries.<br />

If we connect such potential reservation to the trade liberalization process among differently<br />

developed countries (developed and less developed) with the actual differences in the society<br />

8

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