REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

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CEFTA-2006 TRADE COOPERATION Biljana Sekulovska-Gaber, Ph.D. Associate professor Ss Cyril and Methodius University, Faculty of Economics - Skopje, Macedonia TRADE LINKS BETWEEN THE COUNTRIES IN THE REGION OF SOUTHEAST EUROPE: ARE THE NEIGHBORS OF THE REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA BACK Abstract: The year 2009 marks a historic double anniversary in the European continent. Twenty years ago, the Iron Curtain crumbled, and peaceful democratic change transformed Central and Eastern Europe. In May this year, EU celebrated the 5 th anniversary of the latest enlargement that brought altogether 12 new Member States. The latest enlargement is a win-win situation. Trade between the old and new member states grew almost threefold in less than 10 years. An even more illustrative is the fivefold growth of trade among new member states. But, what is the situation like in the “rest” of Europe – in the Region of Southeast Europe (SEE) and precisely in the Republic of Macedonia What is the trade structure like and is the level and development of regional trade integration such (especially after the lastly signed CEFTA 2006 agreement), so it can promote regional cooperation between neighbours These are the main questions and concerns that this paper tries to answer, providing detailed statistical analysis of the level of trade and the level of participation of each country in the Region in international trade relationships, the level of regional integration, as well as the concentration of imports and exports of the Republic of Macedonia in the period 2000-2008. Key words: trade flows, geographical concentration of imports and exports, regional cooperation, CEFTA 2006, Southeast Europe, Republic of Macedonia INTRODUCTION The region of SEE encompasses the “Eastern Balkans” (Bulgaria and Romania) and the “Western Balkans” (including all successor states of the former SFR Yugoslavia minus Slovenia, plus Albania). Since Romania and Bulgaria are already members of the EU, they are not taken as members of “our SEE group”. So, in this article we are practically dealing with the countries which formed the so called SEE-5 group (which incorporates Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Montenegro, the Republic of Macedonia and Serbia, plus Albania), making the difference between the concept of “Western Balkans” and the SEE-5 group of countries inexistent. (European Commission, 2006, p. 41). As a direct product of the Stability Pact of 1999, the European Commission recommended a new strategy with reference to the countries from the “region” of Southeast Europe - the Stabilization and Association Process (SAP), with their basic legal instruments - the Stabilization and Association Agreements (SAA). Those agreements which contain a substantial trade liberalization component, are already signed between EU and all 171

PART II: countries in the Region, apart from Kosovo 1 , pointing out that among other things, “the speed of accession will depend upon the progress that each country will make in regional cooperation”. A new path to intensify economic activity and liberalization of the intra-regional trade in SEE is provided by the Agreement on the Amendment of and Accession to the Central European Free Trade Agreement – CEFTA, signed on 19.12.2006 in Bucharest. The new CEFTA 2006, which should help the establishment of a free trade area among member countries 2 , entered into force on 21.11.2007 3 and along with the SAA process provides a spur to further reduction of national obstacles to trade and investment and opening up of markets to competition and growth. It also implies greater responsibility of countries in the region for fostering trade and implementation of relevant economic policies (Qerimi, Qerim and Sergi, Bruno, S., 2007, p.65). The CEFTA Joint Committee on 08.10.2008 in Chisinau under the Moldovan chair-inoffice endorsed measures which contributed to the efforts of abolition of all import duties on agricultural products, including tariff quotas, except for a list of very sensitive agricultural products. Further it called for elimination of non-trade barriers and updating quarterly the matrix on specific activities/measures affecting trade; facilitation in the application of the diagonal cumulation of origin; promotion of cooperation among customs administrations, and taking further actions on the possible conclusions of multilateral and bilateral agreements on harmonization of technical regulations and standards and mutual recognition of conformity assessment procedures. (Commission of the European Communities 2009, p.31), The CEFTA agreement was implemented smoothly in 2008 and trade volumes exchanged between the neighbors appear to be increasing. However, problems relating to the status of Kosovo have arisen recently, in particular concerning acceptance of products originating from the customs territory of Kosovo. But, what do real data actually show and has the situation in trade relations between the countries in Southeast Europe 4 really improved after signing the CEFTA 2006 agreement In order to try to find answers to these questions, as well as develop an understanding of the latest level of openness of each of the economies in question, in the next section we present country-by country analysis of the level of 1 The first was signed between the Republic of Macedonia and the European Union (09.04.2001), the second between the Croatia and EU (29.10.2001), the third between EU and Albania (12.06.2006), the fourth between EU and Montenegro (15.10.2007), the fifth with Serbia (29.04.2008) and the last with Bosnia and Herzegovina (16.06.2008). For Kosovo, a partially recognized breakaway province of Serbia, negotiations on a Stabilisation Tracking Mechanism began in 2003 and are still ongoing. The EU is still divided on how exactly to continue the SAP with Kosovo, as some of its members remain opposed to Kosovo’s independence. 2 The member countries are: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Moldova, Montenegro, Republic of Macedonia, Serbia and UNMIK/Kosovo. Among the signatory states were Romania and Bulgaria too, but since Romania and Bulgaria entered the EU in 2007, they are no more members of CEFTA, thus they are not taken as members of SEE-8 “group” either. 3 The Agreement entered into force on 26.07.2007 for Albania, Moldova, Montenegro, Republic of Macedonia and UNMIK/Kosovo, for Serbia on 24.10.2007 and for Bosnia and Herzegovina on 22.11.2007. 4 We are actually concentrating on the group SEE-8, but omitting Romania, Bulgaria and Moldova since at present, Romania and Bulgaria are already members of EU and Moldova’s participation in regional trade relationships is negligible. So, the member countries of SEE in this analysis are: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Montenegro, Republic of Macedonia, Serbia and UNMIK/Kosovo (whenever data is available). 172

CEFTA-2006 TRADE <strong>COOPERATION</strong><br />

Biljana Sekulovska-Gaber, Ph.D.<br />

Associate professor<br />

Ss Cyril and Methodius University,<br />

Faculty of Economics - Skopje,<br />

Macedonia<br />

TRADE LINKS BETWEEN THE COUNTRIES IN THE REGION<br />

OF SOUTHEAST EUROPE: ARE THE NEIGHBORS OF THE<br />

REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA BACK<br />

Abstract:<br />

The year 2009 marks a historic double anniversary in the European continent. Twenty<br />

years ago, the Iron Curtain crumbled, and peaceful democratic change transformed<br />

Central and Eastern Europe. In May this year, EU celebrated the 5 th anniversary of the<br />

latest enlargement that brought altogether 12 new Member States. The latest enlargement<br />

is a win-win situation. Trade between the old and new member states grew almost threefold<br />

in less than 10 years. An even more illustrative is the fivefold growth of trade among new<br />

member states. But, what is the situation like in the “rest” of Europe – in the Region<br />

of Southeast Europe (SEE) and precisely in the Republic of Macedonia What is the<br />

trade structure like and is the level and development of regional trade integration such<br />

(especially after the lastly signed CEFTA 2006 agreement), so it can promote regional<br />

cooperation between neighbours These are the main questions and concerns that this<br />

paper tries to answer, providing detailed statistical analysis of the level of trade and the<br />

level of participation of each country in the Region in international trade relationships,<br />

the level of regional integration, as well as the concentration of imports and exports of the<br />

Republic of Macedonia in the period 2000-2008.<br />

Key words: trade flows, geographical concentration of imports and exports, regional<br />

cooperation, CEFTA 2006, Southeast Europe, Republic of Macedonia<br />

INTRODUCTION<br />

The region of SEE encompasses the “Eastern Balkans” (Bulgaria and Romania) and the<br />

“Western Balkans” (including all successor states of the former SFR Yugoslavia minus<br />

Slovenia, plus Albania). Since Romania and Bulgaria are already members of the EU, they<br />

are not taken as members of “our SEE group”. So, in this article we are practically dealing<br />

with the countries which formed the so called SEE-5 group (which incorporates Bosnia and<br />

Herzegovina, Croatia, Montenegro, the Republic of Macedonia and Serbia, plus Albania),<br />

making the difference between the concept of “Western Balkans” and the SEE-5 group of<br />

countries inexistent. (European Commission, 2006, p. 41).<br />

As a direct product of the Stability Pact of 1999, the European Commission recommended<br />

a new strategy with reference to the countries from the “region” of Southeast Europe -<br />

the Stabilization and Association Process (SAP), with their basic legal instruments - the<br />

Stabilization and Association Agreements (SAA). Those agreements which contain<br />

a substantial trade liberalization component, are already signed between EU and all<br />

171

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