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Gordon Reichert

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Crop Condition and Assessment<br />

Regional and National Capability<br />

<strong>Gordon</strong> <strong>Reichert</strong><br />

Remote Sensing and Geospatial Applications<br />

Statistics Canada<br />

CGEO Workshop on Soil Moisture Monitoring<br />

Analysis and Prediction in Agricultural Landscapes<br />

Saskatoon<br />

June 19 - 20, 2007


Crop Condition Assessment Program (CCAP)<br />

• Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)<br />

• The CCAP is maintained by Statistics Canada.<br />

• Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada through the<br />

National Land and Water Information Service<br />

(NLWIS) and National Agroclimate Information<br />

Service (NAIS) has partnered with Statistics<br />

Canada to provide this product free of charge to<br />

the public-at-large.<br />

• 2007-08: Last year of funding


Crop Condition Assessment Program (CCAP)<br />

Regional Capability: 1987 – 2007<br />

• 7 day composite from MRSC<br />

•GeoComp!<br />

• area as shown<br />

• Yield model<br />

http://www26.statcan.ca/ccap/map.jsflang=en<br />

http://www26.statcan.ca/ccap/map.jsflang=fr


National Capability : Milestone - 2007<br />

For the first time, using software developed by<br />

CCRS, Statistics Canada is now able to produce<br />

in-house national scale products at all stages of<br />

production, from data reception to value-added<br />

distribution !<br />

• EODM_NRT software (CCRS)<br />

• Agricultural mask<br />

• Historical data (1987 -2006)<br />

• 10-day composites


STC developed an agriculture<br />

mask based on Landsat data.<br />

• Two separate classes for<br />

the Prairies (Cropland and<br />

Grassland)<br />

• One class for the rest of<br />

Canada


Graphical User Interface:<br />

• STC website has been modified to accommodate<br />

the National CCAP application


Crop Conditions Compared to the Price of Wheat Futures<br />

Large increase in wheat future prices over the growing season<br />

Crop conditions<br />

$<br />

Information is Money !!!


• Mid-July to mid-August<br />

• 2006<br />

Spring Wheat Yield Model<br />

• ‘Prairie farmers expect to harvest 18.6 million<br />

tonnes of spring wheat’ Source: STC August 25, 2006 Field Crop<br />

Reporting Series<br />

• The CCAP spring wheat forecast at week 32 (July<br />

31 – August 6) was 18.512 million tonnes, that is<br />

within less than one-half of one percent of the<br />

statistical estimate released by Statistics Canada on<br />

August 25, 2006!!!


However,<br />

• depending on the year, the CCAP spring<br />

wheat yield forecasts can vary by as much<br />

as ± 9% but usually is within 4 to 5 per cent<br />

on a regional basis.<br />

Therefore,<br />

• although it has been discussed over the years, it<br />

is imperative that the ag-met / soil moisture data<br />

be integrated to improve the agricultural<br />

monitoring capability.


Summary / Invitation<br />

The Crop Condition Assessment Program:<br />

• has been operational for over 20 years<br />

•3 rd generation compositing software<br />

•3 rd generation delivery mechanism for web<br />

dissemination<br />

• dynamic and versatile interactive application for:<br />

• crop condition assessment (within and between<br />

years)<br />

• drought monitoring (aerial extent and severity)<br />

• pasture insurance application (AFSC)


Opportunities:<br />

• I firmly believe that the regional and national<br />

CCAP provide excellent opportunities for the<br />

extended integration of many soil moisture<br />

monitoring applications for Canada and beyond !<br />

• I look forward to the interaction and discussion<br />

between everyone as we address the<br />

opportunities for advancing soil moisture<br />

monitoring.


Questions

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