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Carlo Zorzoli - IASS Potsdam

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Enel Green Power<br />

EGP Geothermal Experience in Latin America.<br />

Status and Lessons Learnt<br />

<strong>IASS</strong> Workshop – Renewable Energy Perspectives in Latin America<br />

<strong>Carlo</strong> <strong>Zorzoli</strong> – Head of Business Development – Latin America<br />

October 1 st , 2012


Enel Green Power<br />

International footprint as of December 31st, 2011<br />

Operation<br />

7,079 MW<br />

Generation 22,480 GWh<br />

Operation<br />

3,583 MW<br />

Construction 1,913 MW<br />

Generation12,584 GWh<br />

Construction 386 MW<br />

Operation<br />

Generation<br />

Construction<br />

1,010 MW<br />

2,921 GWh<br />

681 MW<br />

Installed capacity<br />

EGP presence in 16 countries<br />

Operation 2,486 MW<br />

Generation 6,975 GWh<br />

Construction 846 MW<br />

2,540 MW Hydro<br />

3,541 MW Wind<br />

769 MW Geothermal (*)<br />

101 MW Solar<br />

2<br />

128 MW Other<br />

(*) Not including strategic participation in LaGeo (204 MW installed<br />

capacity in El Salvador


Market scenario: Technology<br />

Global Renewables Installed Capacity – GW (2000 – 2030)<br />

CAGR:<br />

+5.0%<br />

YoY:<br />

+6.8%<br />

YoY:<br />

+8.5%<br />

CAGR:<br />

+7.3%<br />

CAGR:<br />

+5.9%<br />

TOTAL<br />

792 1,230 1,313 1,425<br />

2,687<br />

4.770<br />

Geo<br />

Biomass<br />

CSP<br />

745 979 <br />

1,005 <br />

1,034 <br />

1,339 <br />

1.543<br />

1.511<br />

PV<br />

2000 <br />

157 <br />

58 <br />

2009 <br />

194 60 <br />

39 <br />

2010 <br />

234 <br />

71 <br />

69 <br />

2011 <br />

686<br />

408 <br />

2020 <br />

133 <br />

1.200 <br />

181 <br />

Wind Off.<br />

Wind On.<br />

Hydro<br />

2030 <br />

Ø 250 bn € of investments in over 110GW of new renewable capacity in 2011<br />

Ø Solar PV plants accounted for 45%, wind for 25% of global investments in 2011<br />

Source: Enerdata, WEO 2011 (World Energy Outlook published annually by the International Energy Agency), EER (Emerging Energy Research), GWEC<br />

(Global Wind Energy Council), EWEA (European Wind Energy Association), EPIA (European Photovoltaic Industry Association), NREAPs (National<br />

Renewable Energy Action Plans), REN 21, National targets, EGP estimates


Geothermal value chain<br />

Enel Green Power<br />

Project Development/<br />

Finance<br />

Resource Confirmation<br />

Exploration &<br />

Drilling<br />

Plant<br />

design/<br />

construction<br />

Plant<br />

operation<br />

R&D<br />

• Land/Concessions<br />

• Interconnection<br />

• Low Enthalpy<br />

• Permitting<br />

• PPAs ()<br />

• Drilling target<br />

identification<br />

• Reservoir<br />

evaluation<br />

• Vertical and<br />

deviated wells<br />

• Flow testing<br />

• Design<br />

• Procurement<br />

• Construction<br />

• Optimized georesource<br />

management<br />

(reservoir and<br />

power plant) for<br />

sustainable<br />

exploitation<br />

• Hybrid<br />

system<br />

• Plant<br />

improvement<br />

• Acid gas<br />

components<br />

abatement<br />

• Production wells<br />

drilling<br />

• Standardization<br />

4


The Italian Larderello example<br />

Italy is the only country to<br />

generate geothermal<br />

electricity until 1958, date of<br />

the New Zeland’s Wairakey<br />

power plant startup<br />

Innovative technics:<br />

• Deep drilling 3000-4000 m<br />

• Reinjection / Injection<br />

• Wells stimulation<br />

Steady generation increase<br />

5


The US Geysers example<br />

Source: FIFTY YEARS OF POWER GENERATION AT THE GEYSERS GEOTHERMALFIELD, CALIFORNIA – THE LESSONS LEARNED<br />

Subir k. Sanyal, Steven l. Enedy<br />

Thirty-Sixth Workshop on Geothermal Reservoir Engineering Stanford University, Stanford, California, January 31 - February 2, 2011<br />

6


Geothermal in LatAm<br />

Significant potential across the<br />

region<br />

Significant installed capacity in<br />

Mexico and selected Central<br />

American countries<br />

Lack of capacity in South America<br />

despite significant development<br />

activities in Chile and Peru and, to a<br />

lesser extent in Ecuador and<br />

Colombia<br />

Source: IGA<br />

7


Chile<br />

Cumulative number of concessions granted<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

Exploitation<br />

Exploration<br />

• Over 70 concessions granted<br />

• Average concession extension:<br />

• 430 km 2 (exploration)<br />

• 50 km 2 (exploitation)<br />

• Total concessions area:<br />

• ~ 31,000 km 2<br />

10<br />

0<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

An outstanding number of concessions granted in the last few years<br />

8


Chile<br />

Cumulative number of concessionaires<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

Number of deep commercial size wells<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014<br />

0<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

• Number of concessionaires increases<br />

• Just few (2) of them drilled deep<br />

commercial size wells<br />

• Only 7 deep commercial size wells<br />

drilled to date in just 3<br />

exploitation concessions<br />

• 5 out of 7 drilled by EGP<br />

• Slim holes drilled to date 15<br />

Out of 11 concessionaires, just 2 of them have actually drilled commercial size<br />

wells in order to confirm feasibility of the resource, the so called Exploration &<br />

Drilling phase<br />

9


Chile<br />

1 potential project, three<br />

concessionaires<br />

Despite an important number of concessions awarded, the way they have<br />

been defined does create potential conflicts and paves the way for a<br />

repetition of the tragedy of the commons<br />

10


EGP Geo program Chile: status (I)<br />

Deep exploration: two projects<br />

1. Cerro Pabellón<br />

• Drilled four exploratory wells è Resource confirmed.<br />

• Environmental permit for power plant granted<br />

• Environmental permit for interconnection line on going.<br />

2. El Zoquete<br />

• Drilled one exploratory deep well in 2009 with great results.<br />

• Project suspended by the authorities following an accident at reinjection “Well 10”. A<br />

subsequent investigation accredited EGP with having resolved the issue correctly and<br />

with not having damaged either the environment or the local geysers. Development<br />

still on hold due to expected permitting problems.<br />

11


EGP in Chile: Pioneer in Geothermal exploration<br />

A new industry for the country<br />

Developing a sustainable local market for<br />

geothermal supplies …<br />

Principle materials &<br />

services<br />

Wellheads<br />

Present Sourcing …<br />

Being an industry PIONEER<br />

involves at the beginning higher<br />

costs and longer time.<br />

Casing<br />

Casing accessoriess<br />

Perforation equipment<br />

… in a climatic & logistical challenge …<br />

>350km from Antofagasta<br />

4500 m a.s.l.<br />


El Salvador<br />

LaGeo Strategic Investor<br />

2002 EGP awarded an international public<br />

tender to select the strategic investor<br />

in El Salvador state owned geothermal<br />

generator LaGeo<br />

.<br />

2002-2006 thanks to EGP involvement in<br />

LaGeo management and know-how<br />

and best practices transfers La Geo<br />

sees an improved performance<br />

2007 EGP delivers the Berlin III 44MW<br />

unit in exchange of shares in<br />

LaGeo<br />

2008 INE/CEL does not recognize EGP<br />

right to subscribe capitalk<br />

increases in LaGeo – International<br />

arbitration<br />

2011 EGP wins arbitration, INE/CEL still<br />

does not comply pending appeal<br />

Production Installed<br />

capacity<br />

2002 740GWh 150MW<br />

2011 1,4TWh 204MW<br />

13


How to accelerate geothermal development<br />

q Why<br />

- Market fails to price geothermal benefits<br />

- Market tends to uniform capacity expansion<br />

q How<br />

- Appropriate mix of supporting schemes<br />

- Not just a matter of “how much” but predictability,<br />

stability, ease of permitting process, efficiency of public<br />

administration, risk mitigation<br />

q Who<br />

- Energy mix is a strategic long term decision that should<br />

be set at national level and have bypartisan support<br />

- Initial support by the state helps the industry to take-off<br />

- Private sector more efficient in implementing the national<br />

strategy, letting market forces work<br />

An appropriate<br />

regulatory framework<br />

and support policies<br />

can promote<br />

geothermal energy in<br />

an effective way and<br />

with long term benefits<br />

14


Concrete measures to accelerate geothermal development<br />

RISK<br />

MITIGATION/ACTIONS<br />

Long term<br />

remuneration<br />

Permitting<br />

Concessions<br />

Selection of<br />

concessionaires<br />

Support<br />

schemes<br />

Facilitate long term PPAs to support upfront investments.<br />

Government needs not to be the offtaker, but rules shall be in<br />

place to allow proper diversification of energy mix (e.g. tenders<br />

for technologies, quota for technology, etc.)<br />

Simpler process, strategic EIA to permit a long term plan of<br />

development of geothermal fields with flexibility in lay-out and<br />

size in order to take into account information gathered during<br />

drilling phase<br />

Increase size of concessions in order to have one<br />

concessionaire for possible reservoir<br />

More stringent selection criteria, based on actual MW developed<br />

and operated<br />

Grants for the first projects in order to start a new industry<br />

Risk sharing mechanisms, for instance via “insurance” for dry<br />

wells during construction phase<br />

Infrastructure public funding (roads, interconnection lines)<br />

15


Enel Green Power<br />

Thank You!<br />

<strong>Carlo</strong> <strong>Zorzoli</strong><br />

Head of Business Development – Latin America<br />

Enel Green Power S.p.A.<br />

carlo.zorzoli@enel.com<br />

16

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