Carlo Zorzoli - IASS Potsdam
Carlo Zorzoli - IASS Potsdam
Carlo Zorzoli - IASS Potsdam
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Enel Green Power<br />
EGP Geothermal Experience in Latin America.<br />
Status and Lessons Learnt<br />
<strong>IASS</strong> Workshop – Renewable Energy Perspectives in Latin America<br />
<strong>Carlo</strong> <strong>Zorzoli</strong> – Head of Business Development – Latin America<br />
October 1 st , 2012
Enel Green Power<br />
International footprint as of December 31st, 2011<br />
Operation<br />
7,079 MW<br />
Generation 22,480 GWh<br />
Operation<br />
3,583 MW<br />
Construction 1,913 MW<br />
Generation12,584 GWh<br />
Construction 386 MW<br />
Operation<br />
Generation<br />
Construction<br />
1,010 MW<br />
2,921 GWh<br />
681 MW<br />
Installed capacity<br />
EGP presence in 16 countries<br />
Operation 2,486 MW<br />
Generation 6,975 GWh<br />
Construction 846 MW<br />
2,540 MW Hydro<br />
3,541 MW Wind<br />
769 MW Geothermal (*)<br />
101 MW Solar<br />
2<br />
128 MW Other<br />
(*) Not including strategic participation in LaGeo (204 MW installed<br />
capacity in El Salvador
Market scenario: Technology<br />
Global Renewables Installed Capacity – GW (2000 – 2030)<br />
CAGR:<br />
+5.0%<br />
YoY:<br />
+6.8%<br />
YoY:<br />
+8.5%<br />
CAGR:<br />
+7.3%<br />
CAGR:<br />
+5.9%<br />
TOTAL<br />
792 1,230 1,313 1,425<br />
2,687<br />
4.770<br />
Geo<br />
Biomass<br />
CSP<br />
745 979 <br />
1,005 <br />
1,034 <br />
1,339 <br />
1.543<br />
1.511<br />
PV<br />
2000 <br />
157 <br />
58 <br />
2009 <br />
194 60 <br />
39 <br />
2010 <br />
234 <br />
71 <br />
69 <br />
2011 <br />
686<br />
408 <br />
2020 <br />
133 <br />
1.200 <br />
181 <br />
Wind Off.<br />
Wind On.<br />
Hydro<br />
2030 <br />
Ø 250 bn € of investments in over 110GW of new renewable capacity in 2011<br />
Ø Solar PV plants accounted for 45%, wind for 25% of global investments in 2011<br />
Source: Enerdata, WEO 2011 (World Energy Outlook published annually by the International Energy Agency), EER (Emerging Energy Research), GWEC<br />
(Global Wind Energy Council), EWEA (European Wind Energy Association), EPIA (European Photovoltaic Industry Association), NREAPs (National<br />
Renewable Energy Action Plans), REN 21, National targets, EGP estimates
Geothermal value chain<br />
Enel Green Power<br />
Project Development/<br />
Finance<br />
Resource Confirmation<br />
Exploration &<br />
Drilling<br />
Plant<br />
design/<br />
construction<br />
Plant<br />
operation<br />
R&D<br />
• Land/Concessions<br />
• Interconnection<br />
• Low Enthalpy<br />
• Permitting<br />
• PPAs ()<br />
• Drilling target<br />
identification<br />
• Reservoir<br />
evaluation<br />
• Vertical and<br />
deviated wells<br />
• Flow testing<br />
• Design<br />
• Procurement<br />
• Construction<br />
• Optimized georesource<br />
management<br />
(reservoir and<br />
power plant) for<br />
sustainable<br />
exploitation<br />
• Hybrid<br />
system<br />
• Plant<br />
improvement<br />
• Acid gas<br />
components<br />
abatement<br />
• Production wells<br />
drilling<br />
• Standardization<br />
4
The Italian Larderello example<br />
Italy is the only country to<br />
generate geothermal<br />
electricity until 1958, date of<br />
the New Zeland’s Wairakey<br />
power plant startup<br />
Innovative technics:<br />
• Deep drilling 3000-4000 m<br />
• Reinjection / Injection<br />
• Wells stimulation<br />
Steady generation increase<br />
5
The US Geysers example<br />
Source: FIFTY YEARS OF POWER GENERATION AT THE GEYSERS GEOTHERMALFIELD, CALIFORNIA – THE LESSONS LEARNED<br />
Subir k. Sanyal, Steven l. Enedy<br />
Thirty-Sixth Workshop on Geothermal Reservoir Engineering Stanford University, Stanford, California, January 31 - February 2, 2011<br />
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Geothermal in LatAm<br />
Significant potential across the<br />
region<br />
Significant installed capacity in<br />
Mexico and selected Central<br />
American countries<br />
Lack of capacity in South America<br />
despite significant development<br />
activities in Chile and Peru and, to a<br />
lesser extent in Ecuador and<br />
Colombia<br />
Source: IGA<br />
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Chile<br />
Cumulative number of concessions granted<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
Exploitation<br />
Exploration<br />
• Over 70 concessions granted<br />
• Average concession extension:<br />
• 430 km 2 (exploration)<br />
• 50 km 2 (exploitation)<br />
• Total concessions area:<br />
• ~ 31,000 km 2<br />
10<br />
0<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
An outstanding number of concessions granted in the last few years<br />
8
Chile<br />
Cumulative number of concessionaires<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
Number of deep commercial size wells<br />
4<br />
3<br />
2<br />
1<br />
0<br />
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014<br />
0<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
• Number of concessionaires increases<br />
• Just few (2) of them drilled deep<br />
commercial size wells<br />
• Only 7 deep commercial size wells<br />
drilled to date in just 3<br />
exploitation concessions<br />
• 5 out of 7 drilled by EGP<br />
• Slim holes drilled to date 15<br />
Out of 11 concessionaires, just 2 of them have actually drilled commercial size<br />
wells in order to confirm feasibility of the resource, the so called Exploration &<br />
Drilling phase<br />
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Chile<br />
1 potential project, three<br />
concessionaires<br />
Despite an important number of concessions awarded, the way they have<br />
been defined does create potential conflicts and paves the way for a<br />
repetition of the tragedy of the commons<br />
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EGP Geo program Chile: status (I)<br />
Deep exploration: two projects<br />
1. Cerro Pabellón<br />
• Drilled four exploratory wells è Resource confirmed.<br />
• Environmental permit for power plant granted<br />
• Environmental permit for interconnection line on going.<br />
2. El Zoquete<br />
• Drilled one exploratory deep well in 2009 with great results.<br />
• Project suspended by the authorities following an accident at reinjection “Well 10”. A<br />
subsequent investigation accredited EGP with having resolved the issue correctly and<br />
with not having damaged either the environment or the local geysers. Development<br />
still on hold due to expected permitting problems.<br />
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EGP in Chile: Pioneer in Geothermal exploration<br />
A new industry for the country<br />
Developing a sustainable local market for<br />
geothermal supplies …<br />
Principle materials &<br />
services<br />
Wellheads<br />
Present Sourcing …<br />
Being an industry PIONEER<br />
involves at the beginning higher<br />
costs and longer time.<br />
Casing<br />
Casing accessoriess<br />
Perforation equipment<br />
… in a climatic & logistical challenge …<br />
>350km from Antofagasta<br />
4500 m a.s.l.<br />
El Salvador<br />
LaGeo Strategic Investor<br />
2002 EGP awarded an international public<br />
tender to select the strategic investor<br />
in El Salvador state owned geothermal<br />
generator LaGeo<br />
.<br />
2002-2006 thanks to EGP involvement in<br />
LaGeo management and know-how<br />
and best practices transfers La Geo<br />
sees an improved performance<br />
2007 EGP delivers the Berlin III 44MW<br />
unit in exchange of shares in<br />
LaGeo<br />
2008 INE/CEL does not recognize EGP<br />
right to subscribe capitalk<br />
increases in LaGeo – International<br />
arbitration<br />
2011 EGP wins arbitration, INE/CEL still<br />
does not comply pending appeal<br />
Production Installed<br />
capacity<br />
2002 740GWh 150MW<br />
2011 1,4TWh 204MW<br />
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How to accelerate geothermal development<br />
q Why<br />
- Market fails to price geothermal benefits<br />
- Market tends to uniform capacity expansion<br />
q How<br />
- Appropriate mix of supporting schemes<br />
- Not just a matter of “how much” but predictability,<br />
stability, ease of permitting process, efficiency of public<br />
administration, risk mitigation<br />
q Who<br />
- Energy mix is a strategic long term decision that should<br />
be set at national level and have bypartisan support<br />
- Initial support by the state helps the industry to take-off<br />
- Private sector more efficient in implementing the national<br />
strategy, letting market forces work<br />
An appropriate<br />
regulatory framework<br />
and support policies<br />
can promote<br />
geothermal energy in<br />
an effective way and<br />
with long term benefits<br />
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Concrete measures to accelerate geothermal development<br />
RISK<br />
MITIGATION/ACTIONS<br />
Long term<br />
remuneration<br />
Permitting<br />
Concessions<br />
Selection of<br />
concessionaires<br />
Support<br />
schemes<br />
Facilitate long term PPAs to support upfront investments.<br />
Government needs not to be the offtaker, but rules shall be in<br />
place to allow proper diversification of energy mix (e.g. tenders<br />
for technologies, quota for technology, etc.)<br />
Simpler process, strategic EIA to permit a long term plan of<br />
development of geothermal fields with flexibility in lay-out and<br />
size in order to take into account information gathered during<br />
drilling phase<br />
Increase size of concessions in order to have one<br />
concessionaire for possible reservoir<br />
More stringent selection criteria, based on actual MW developed<br />
and operated<br />
Grants for the first projects in order to start a new industry<br />
Risk sharing mechanisms, for instance via “insurance” for dry<br />
wells during construction phase<br />
Infrastructure public funding (roads, interconnection lines)<br />
15
Enel Green Power<br />
Thank You!<br />
<strong>Carlo</strong> <strong>Zorzoli</strong><br />
Head of Business Development – Latin America<br />
Enel Green Power S.p.A.<br />
carlo.zorzoli@enel.com<br />
16