Efforts in Tropical Storm Modeling, Prediction and Projection
Efforts in Tropical Storm Modeling, Prediction and Projection
Efforts in Tropical Storm Modeling, Prediction and Projection
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25km HiRAM Seasonal hurricane predictions –<br />
<strong>in</strong>itialized July 1<br />
1990-2010 (Jul-Nov)<br />
Resolution: 25 km, 32 levels<br />
• 5-members <strong>in</strong>itialized on July 1 with<br />
NCEP analysis<br />
• SST anomaly is held constant<br />
dur<strong>in</strong>g the 5-month predictions<br />
• Climatology O3 & greenhouse<br />
gases are used<br />
0.78<br />
0.88<br />
0.94<br />
1. Chen <strong>and</strong> L<strong>in</strong> 2011, GRL<br />
2. Chen et al., submitted
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