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RESPONSIBILITY FOR DELAY 91<br />

fresh outbreak. If they had had any such idea they<br />

would certainly have made it known to the Ministry, and<br />

would not have made speeches that were so well calculated<br />

to stir up discontent in the fleet. Obviously their<br />

motive in asking for information was simply to provoke<br />

a discussion which would benefit their party and discredit<br />

the government.<br />

The ministry had little reason to anticipate the second<br />

mutiny, and it would be unjust to blame them because<br />

they had not the gift of prophecy. 1 Moreover, if the Act<br />

had been passed at an earlier date, the authors of the<br />

disturbances might still have found other pretexts for<br />

renewing the mutiny. 2 In all probability historians<br />

would have found no fault with the government if the<br />

Whigs had not set the example by making the second<br />

mutiny an occasion for moving a vote of censure.<br />

If any blame is to be assigned for the delay of the Act,<br />

it must rest with the Lords of the Admiralty for their<br />

lack of judgement, because they had information which<br />

was not known to other people. They knew that the<br />

seamen in the " total and final answer " of 22 April had<br />

given warning that they would not put to sea until the<br />

And this warning was confirmed by a<br />

act was passed.<br />

letter from a captain in Plymouth saying that the crews<br />

which had mutinied there "would return to their duty<br />

and wait the event of three or four days, by which time<br />

they had no doubt of having that confirmation they<br />

wished for,"—that is the Act of Parliament. 3 And Sir<br />

John Orde added a note which ought to have aroused<br />

1. Cf . Pitt's defence in the debate on the vote of censure :<br />

" The<br />

question before the House was, whether there were grounds to believe<br />

that government ought to have been possessed of the opinion, that unless<br />

they had used considerable dispatch, those consequences which had<br />

since happened would have been produced" (Pari. Hist., xxxiii, 405).<br />

2. This argument was used by Dundas :<br />

" Was the right hon. gentleman<br />

(Fox) certain that the same diabolical tongues would not have<br />

invented some other story calculated to promote the confusion which<br />

they desired?" (ibid., 515).<br />

3. Captain Squire to Sir John Orde, 27 April, enclosed with Orde's<br />

letter, B 305, A.S.I. 311.

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