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Weeks et al. 3<br />

WCMC 2007], MPA Global [Wood 2007]), and peerreviewed<br />

and gray literature. We compiled <strong>the</strong>se data<br />

<strong>in</strong>to a new geodatabase <strong>of</strong> Philipp<strong>in</strong>e MPAs with ArcGIS<br />

(version 9.2; ESRI, Redlands, Cali<strong>for</strong>nia). We removed<br />

duplicate records, comb<strong>in</strong>ed records that were dist<strong>in</strong>ct<br />

zones with<strong>in</strong> a s<strong>in</strong>gle protected area (e.g., core and buffer<br />

zones), and used <strong>the</strong> rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g 985 MPAs <strong>in</strong> our analyses.<br />

We split MPAs <strong>in</strong>to two categories on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

governance. Community-based MPAs were those designated<br />

under local or municipal level ord<strong>in</strong>ances and governed<br />

by community organizations with or without assistance<br />

from local government units (White et al. 2006a).<br />

Nationally designated sites were those designated under<br />

<strong>the</strong> National Integrated <strong>Protected</strong> <strong>Areas</strong> System (NIPAS)<br />

Act (1992) or Ramsar Convention or declared as World<br />

Heritage Sites under <strong>the</strong> United Nations Educational, Scientific,<br />

and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) legislation<br />

and governed primarily by a national government agency.<br />

Many database records were <strong>in</strong>complete, with miss<strong>in</strong>g<br />

data values <strong>for</strong> one or more data fields. Ra<strong>the</strong>r than exclud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

sites without all spatial <strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>mation (n = 385),<br />

which would have resulted <strong>in</strong> an underestimate <strong>of</strong> MPA<br />

extent, we substituted <strong>in</strong>complete records <strong>of</strong> MPA size<br />

with median values <strong>for</strong> that MPA type (nationally designated<br />

= 64.57 km 2 , community-based = 0.12 km 2 ).<br />

Geographical coord<strong>in</strong>ates were available <strong>for</strong> 43% <strong>of</strong> sites;<br />

<strong>the</strong> location <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r sites was only available to municipality<br />

(56%) or prov<strong>in</strong>cial (1%) level. We estimated <strong>the</strong><br />

locations <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong>se sites us<strong>in</strong>g a gazetteer.<br />

Conservation <strong>Effectiveness</strong><br />

A gap analysis provides a framework <strong>for</strong> assess<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

extent to which biodiversity features are represented<br />

with<strong>in</strong> a protected-area network (Jenn<strong>in</strong>gs 2000). We<br />

used this approach to determ<strong>in</strong>e how well exist<strong>in</strong>g MPAs<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Philipp<strong>in</strong>es represent mar<strong>in</strong>e bioregions, conservation<br />

priority areas, and mar<strong>in</strong>e corridors identified by<br />

<strong>the</strong> Philipp<strong>in</strong>e Biodiversity Conservation Priority-Sett<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Program (Ong et al. 2002). Six mar<strong>in</strong>e bioregions, 35<br />

<strong>in</strong>tegrated priority areas, and n<strong>in</strong>e mar<strong>in</strong>e biodiversity<br />

corridors were identified through a series <strong>of</strong> expert workshops.<br />

Bioregion del<strong>in</strong>eation was determ<strong>in</strong>ed on <strong>the</strong> basis<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> geology <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Philipp<strong>in</strong>e archipelago and extant<br />

reef fish assemblages. Priority areas were identified on<br />

<strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> biogeographic representativeness, ecosystem<br />

diversity, ecosystem function, threat status, species richness,<br />

and endemism. <strong>Areas</strong> identified as priorities <strong>for</strong> 11<br />

taxonomic groups (cetaceans, dugongs, seagrasses, seaweed,<br />

corals, mangroves, molluscs, reef fishes, turtles,<br />

elasmobranchs, and whale sharks) were <strong>in</strong>tegrated and<br />

classified <strong>in</strong>to extremely high (n = 13), very high (n =<br />

12), and high (n = 10) priorities. <strong>Mar<strong>in</strong>e</strong> biodiversity<br />

corridors were identified as <strong>the</strong> areas <strong>of</strong> importance <strong>for</strong><br />

connectivity between bioregions (Ong et al. 2002).<br />

We overlaid polygon feature layers <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> bioregions,<br />

priority areas, and corridors with a po<strong>in</strong>t-feature shapefile<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> locations <strong>of</strong> MPAs. To quantify <strong>the</strong> degree to<br />

which each feature was represented by exist<strong>in</strong>g MPAs,<br />

we identified MPAs occurr<strong>in</strong>g with<strong>in</strong> each feature polygon<br />

and summed <strong>the</strong>ir area and no-take area from <strong>the</strong><br />

MPA attribute table. We determ<strong>in</strong>ed levels <strong>of</strong> representation<br />

as <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> area <strong>of</strong> each biodiversity<br />

feature with<strong>in</strong> MPAs.<br />

In addition to quantify<strong>in</strong>g current levels <strong>of</strong> representation,<br />

we estimated whe<strong>the</strong>r exist<strong>in</strong>g MPAs represent<br />

biodiversity better than would be expected by chance.<br />

We compared <strong>the</strong> observed number and area <strong>of</strong> MPAs<br />

occurr<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> each bioregion with <strong>the</strong> expected number<br />

on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> null hypo<strong>the</strong>sis that <strong>the</strong> distribution <strong>of</strong><br />

MPAs is proportional to <strong>the</strong> area <strong>of</strong> municipal waters <strong>in</strong><br />

each bioregion. We also compared <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> MPAs<br />

with<strong>in</strong> priority regions with <strong>the</strong> mean number occurr<strong>in</strong>g<br />

with<strong>in</strong> 100 random distributions generated with Hawth’s<br />

Analysis random po<strong>in</strong>ts tool <strong>for</strong> ArcGIS (Beyer 2004).<br />

We used a size–frequency distribution to identify <strong>the</strong><br />

proportion <strong>of</strong> MPAs that meet m<strong>in</strong>imum size requirements<br />

on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> recommendations <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> literature.<br />

We <strong>the</strong>n per<strong>for</strong>med a simple analysis <strong>of</strong> connectivity between<br />

MPAs by calculat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> Euclidean distance to <strong>the</strong><br />

nearest MPA <strong>for</strong> each site. The observed <strong>in</strong>ter-MPA distances<br />

were compared with recommendations <strong>for</strong> MPA<br />

network design taken from Shanks (2003) and Jones<br />

et al. (2008).<br />

Feasibility <strong>of</strong> Atta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Conservation Targets<br />

We assessed <strong>the</strong> feasibility <strong>of</strong> meet<strong>in</strong>g MPA coverage targets<br />

under a best-case scenario <strong>of</strong> one no-take MPA designated<br />

<strong>for</strong> every coastal barangay (<strong>the</strong> smallest political<br />

unit with<strong>in</strong> a city or municipal government). Although<br />

optimistic, this scenario is <strong>the</strong>oretically viable given that<br />

at least four municipalities have achieved this target. Annual<br />

growth rates <strong>of</strong> MPA implementation used to predict<br />

target atta<strong>in</strong>ment dates were assumed to be <strong>the</strong> maximum<br />

historical rate (97 MPAs per year <strong>in</strong> 2002). The<br />

future MPAs were assumed to be <strong>the</strong> current median size<br />

<strong>of</strong> community-based MPAs and to be located on coral<br />

reefs.<br />

Results<br />

MPA Extent<br />

As <strong>of</strong> 2008 at least 985 MPAs had been established <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> Philipp<strong>in</strong>es (Fig. 1), and <strong>the</strong>y covered approximately<br />

14,943 km 2 . Of <strong>the</strong>se, 942 MPAs had a no-take component,<br />

with a comb<strong>in</strong>ed no-take area <strong>of</strong> 1459 km 2 .<br />

Thus, 4.9% <strong>of</strong> coastal municipal waters (with<strong>in</strong> 15 km<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> coastl<strong>in</strong>e) were protected with<strong>in</strong> MPAs, with 0.5%<br />

with<strong>in</strong> no-take areas. Estimates <strong>of</strong> coral reef area <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

Conservation Biology<br />

Volume **, No. *, 2009

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