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Focus Report on Regulation - Going through a seismic shift - Ogier

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IV <str<strong>on</strong>g>Focus</str<strong>on</strong>g> report: Sp<strong>on</strong>sored Article<br />

September<br />

24, 2012<br />

Europe’s markets have had<br />

a torrid few years but while<br />

many investors have run<br />

for the exits, others have<br />

recognised the moment<br />

to be a major buying<br />

opportunity. For foreign<br />

private equity managers<br />

looking to invest in Europe,<br />

the Channel Islands provide<br />

a tried and tested route,<br />

write Jane Pearce, Group<br />

Director of <strong>Ogier</strong> Fund<br />

Services<br />

and Tim<br />

Morgan,<br />

Partner of<br />

<strong>Ogier</strong> in<br />

Jersey<br />

A Haven for<br />

an Industry<br />

Under Siege<br />

Feature Article<br />

Sp<strong>on</strong>sored by<br />

Despite the c<strong>on</strong>stant stream of negative news from<br />

Europe, the unrelenting threat of downgrades from<br />

the rating agencies, the attenti<strong>on</strong> of the IMF and<br />

social unrest, Europe remains an attractive place for<br />

internati<strong>on</strong>al investors.<br />

The single biggest reas<strong>on</strong> for this is valuati<strong>on</strong>s:<br />

markets are often known to overshoot <strong>on</strong> bad news,<br />

and there has been plenty of bad news to overshoot in<br />

Europe. After years of pummelling in the equity markets,<br />

valuati<strong>on</strong>s in Europe now look cheap and private equity<br />

managers with an eye for an opportunity are moving in<br />

to pick up companies that could look real bargains <strong>on</strong>ce<br />

sentiment turns.<br />

Private equity has proved to be a safe haven for<br />

internati<strong>on</strong>al investors and c<strong>on</strong>tinues to perform<br />

str<strong>on</strong>gly. This combined with the relative strength of<br />

the U.S. dollar against currencies, provides U.S. dollar<br />

investors with an opportunity to diversify their portfolios<br />

to include U.K. and European assets.<br />

Analysis of price-to-earnings ratios either side of the<br />

Atlantic support this claim. European price-to-earnings<br />

ratios are about 75% of U.S. ratios. Relative valuati<strong>on</strong><br />

over the decade has oscillated between 60% 130%.<br />

The Preqin All private Equity Index showed<br />

that private equity as a whole had c<strong>on</strong>siderably<br />

outperformed the S&P500 index since the 2007<br />

fi nancial crisis. Preqin further reported that “the majority<br />

of LPs expect returns in excess of 400 basis points over<br />

the public markets”. With Europe selling at a discount<br />

from the U.S., historical patterns suggest that so<strong>on</strong>er<br />

or later, it will outperform its American counterpart,<br />

diminishing the valuati<strong>on</strong> gap.<br />

Add in the funding crisis and regulatory tightening<br />

of capital adequacy requirements for European banks<br />

and it is likely that some existing leveraged structures<br />

will be sold at a discount to intrinsic value. As European<br />

banks c<strong>on</strong>tinue to be under pressure to shrink their<br />

balance sheets, well-funded purchasers with access<br />

to equity or debt fi nance will be well placed to take<br />

advantage of opportunities in the U.K. and Europe.<br />

This all suggests that managers willing to take a<br />

l<strong>on</strong>g-term view, who are able to ride out some short<br />

term volatility, should be – and are – looking at Europe.<br />

Having taken that decisi<strong>on</strong>, the questi<strong>on</strong> is how to<br />

structure the fund to ensure the best blend of effi ciency<br />

and protecti<strong>on</strong>.<br />

N<strong>on</strong>-European managers looking at Europe will be<br />

struck by the Alternative Investment Fund Manager<br />

By basing a fund in the Channel<br />

Islands a manager can c<strong>on</strong>tinue to be<br />

regulated with the light touch, pre-AIFMD<br />

regulati<strong>on</strong> bey<strong>on</strong>d 2013, and perhaps<br />

until 2018

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