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FEATURE<br />
lesser extent Dreyfus, <strong>the</strong>y have not had extensive<br />
ownership <strong>of</strong> grain-handling facilities in <strong>the</strong><br />
GHTS so, <strong>the</strong>y will now have to secure Canadian<br />
wheat through ei<strong>the</strong>r a trading relationship<br />
with a Canadian supplier (necessarily one that is<br />
not a competitive threat internationally), or, <strong>the</strong><br />
acquisition <strong>of</strong> a direct source <strong>of</strong> supply.<br />
Trading relationships are not unheard <strong>of</strong>, though <strong>the</strong><br />
majors have previously shown a strong tendency<br />
towards acquisition <strong>of</strong> direct supply. Following <strong>the</strong><br />
deregulation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Australian industry in 2008 (which<br />
had a wheat board – <strong>the</strong> AWB – very similar to <strong>the</strong><br />
CWB) <strong>the</strong> bulk <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> marketing business was taken<br />
over by multinationals, including Bunge, Cargill and<br />
Swiss-based Glencore International PLC (a mining<br />
giant with 2011 revenues <strong>of</strong> $182bn that is seeking to<br />
expand its footprint in <strong>the</strong> global grain trade).<br />
The world’s grain and oilseed trade is dominated<br />
by a tiny handful <strong>of</strong> huge multinationals, <strong>the</strong> four<br />
biggest <strong>of</strong> which have recently been estimated to<br />
control 90 percent <strong>of</strong> that trade. The so-called “ABCD”<br />
companies are: Cargill, $119.5bn in revenues in<br />
2011 and operating in 66 countries; ADM, $80.7bn<br />
in 75 countries; Louis Dreyfus, $59.6bn in 55; and<br />
Bunge, $58.7bn in 40 1. Far and away <strong>the</strong> biggest<br />
Canadian company, Viterra, Inc. (with 91 elevators<br />
across <strong>the</strong> Prairies and port access on both coasts),<br />
had revenues <strong>of</strong> $11.8bn CAD in 2011 and operated<br />
in four countries outside <strong>of</strong> Canada. The next tier <strong>of</strong><br />
Canadian companies, Richardson/Pioneer, Paterson<br />
Global Foods and Parish & Heimbecker are all<br />
privately held, family businesses. Their revenues are<br />
not published. Although two <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m have small<br />
trading <strong>of</strong>fices in fewer than a half-dozen o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
countries, none <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m has any foreign operations.<br />
The remaining companies are almost all one- or tw<strong>of</strong>acility<br />
entities with only a local reach.<br />
Building assets to source grain isn’t likely; <strong>the</strong> Prairie<br />
GHTS already has excess handling capacity and <strong>the</strong><br />
construction <strong>of</strong> port facilities is cost-prohibitive. That<br />
leaves buying existing companies as <strong>the</strong> most likely<br />
option. The moves in Canada have already begun. In<br />
March <strong>of</strong> this year Glencore commenced a takeover<br />
bid <strong>of</strong> Viterra. Federal regulators approved <strong>the</strong> deal<br />
in July. According to <strong>the</strong> Financial Times, that is<br />
not <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> restructuring <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> global grain<br />
trade. 2 Although to date <strong>the</strong> current generation <strong>of</strong><br />
Canadian owners has expressed no interest in selling,<br />
policy-makers and o<strong>the</strong>rs involved in, or affected<br />
by this industry must accept <strong>the</strong> prospect that this<br />
may change. If it does, <strong>the</strong>re could be significant<br />
implications for <strong>the</strong> Prairies generally and for <strong>the</strong><br />
communities that would experience <strong>the</strong> loss <strong>of</strong> head<br />
<strong>of</strong>fices in particular. It is highly unlikely – as evidenced<br />
by <strong>the</strong> recent federal approval <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Glencore/Viterra<br />
deal that <strong>the</strong> government would intervene to prevent<br />
foreign acquisition <strong>of</strong> Canadian grain companies.<br />
What else can or should be done to prepare<br />
for <strong>the</strong> possibility?<br />
The world needs Canadian wheat. Until August 1 st<br />
<strong>of</strong> this year <strong>the</strong> major grain traders sourced all <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong>ir Canadian wheat through <strong>the</strong> CWB. For various<br />
business reasons, o<strong>the</strong>r than Cargill and to a much<br />
1 All amounts are in U.S. dollars and all are renue estimates for 2011<br />
2 March 30, 2012, Financial Times, “Grain traders set for wave <strong>of</strong><br />
takeovers”.