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FEATURE<br />

lesser extent Dreyfus, <strong>the</strong>y have not had extensive<br />

ownership <strong>of</strong> grain-handling facilities in <strong>the</strong><br />

GHTS so, <strong>the</strong>y will now have to secure Canadian<br />

wheat through ei<strong>the</strong>r a trading relationship<br />

with a Canadian supplier (necessarily one that is<br />

not a competitive threat internationally), or, <strong>the</strong><br />

acquisition <strong>of</strong> a direct source <strong>of</strong> supply.<br />

Trading relationships are not unheard <strong>of</strong>, though <strong>the</strong><br />

majors have previously shown a strong tendency<br />

towards acquisition <strong>of</strong> direct supply. Following <strong>the</strong><br />

deregulation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Australian industry in 2008 (which<br />

had a wheat board – <strong>the</strong> AWB – very similar to <strong>the</strong><br />

CWB) <strong>the</strong> bulk <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> marketing business was taken<br />

over by multinationals, including Bunge, Cargill and<br />

Swiss-based Glencore International PLC (a mining<br />

giant with 2011 revenues <strong>of</strong> $182bn that is seeking to<br />

expand its footprint in <strong>the</strong> global grain trade).<br />

The world’s grain and oilseed trade is dominated<br />

by a tiny handful <strong>of</strong> huge multinationals, <strong>the</strong> four<br />

biggest <strong>of</strong> which have recently been estimated to<br />

control 90 percent <strong>of</strong> that trade. The so-called “ABCD”<br />

companies are: Cargill, $119.5bn in revenues in<br />

2011 and operating in 66 countries; ADM, $80.7bn<br />

in 75 countries; Louis Dreyfus, $59.6bn in 55; and<br />

Bunge, $58.7bn in 40 1. Far and away <strong>the</strong> biggest<br />

Canadian company, Viterra, Inc. (with 91 elevators<br />

across <strong>the</strong> Prairies and port access on both coasts),<br />

had revenues <strong>of</strong> $11.8bn CAD in 2011 and operated<br />

in four countries outside <strong>of</strong> Canada. The next tier <strong>of</strong><br />

Canadian companies, Richardson/Pioneer, Paterson<br />

Global Foods and Parish & Heimbecker are all<br />

privately held, family businesses. Their revenues are<br />

not published. Although two <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m have small<br />

trading <strong>of</strong>fices in fewer than a half-dozen o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

countries, none <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m has any foreign operations.<br />

The remaining companies are almost all one- or tw<strong>of</strong>acility<br />

entities with only a local reach.<br />

Building assets to source grain isn’t likely; <strong>the</strong> Prairie<br />

GHTS already has excess handling capacity and <strong>the</strong><br />

construction <strong>of</strong> port facilities is cost-prohibitive. That<br />

leaves buying existing companies as <strong>the</strong> most likely<br />

option. The moves in Canada have already begun. In<br />

March <strong>of</strong> this year Glencore commenced a takeover<br />

bid <strong>of</strong> Viterra. Federal regulators approved <strong>the</strong> deal<br />

in July. According to <strong>the</strong> Financial Times, that is<br />

not <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> restructuring <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> global grain<br />

trade. 2 Although to date <strong>the</strong> current generation <strong>of</strong><br />

Canadian owners has expressed no interest in selling,<br />

policy-makers and o<strong>the</strong>rs involved in, or affected<br />

by this industry must accept <strong>the</strong> prospect that this<br />

may change. If it does, <strong>the</strong>re could be significant<br />

implications for <strong>the</strong> Prairies generally and for <strong>the</strong><br />

communities that would experience <strong>the</strong> loss <strong>of</strong> head<br />

<strong>of</strong>fices in particular. It is highly unlikely – as evidenced<br />

by <strong>the</strong> recent federal approval <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Glencore/Viterra<br />

deal that <strong>the</strong> government would intervene to prevent<br />

foreign acquisition <strong>of</strong> Canadian grain companies.<br />

What else can or should be done to prepare<br />

for <strong>the</strong> possibility?<br />

The world needs Canadian wheat. Until August 1 st<br />

<strong>of</strong> this year <strong>the</strong> major grain traders sourced all <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>ir Canadian wheat through <strong>the</strong> CWB. For various<br />

business reasons, o<strong>the</strong>r than Cargill and to a much<br />

1 All amounts are in U.S. dollars and all are renue estimates for 2011<br />

2 March 30, 2012, Financial Times, “Grain traders set for wave <strong>of</strong><br />

takeovers”.

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