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THE STATE OF AMERICA'S CHILDREN YEARBOOK 1998 for a family of three (see figure 1.4). Although the minimum wage needs to be boosted further to reach the above-poverty levels that existed during most ofthe 1960s and 1970s, the 1996-97 increase was well-targeted. According to the Economic Policy Institute, 10 million workers (almost 9 percent of the U.S. labor force) will benefit from the 90­ cent increase phased in over two years. These are largely adult breadwinners in the lowest brackets of the income scale. (Contrary to the assertion by opponents of the increase that most minimum wage workers are teens, more than 70 percent are over 18.) Tax relief. In 1997 Congress passed a child tax credit that is worth $400 per child in 1998 and rises to $500 per child in subsequent years. Some 45 million children in 27 million families are expected to benefit from this credit. However, another 20 million children in families with too little income to have a tax liability will not be helped. Efforts by the Clinton Administration and Democratic leaders in Congress succeeded in making the new credit available to some moderateincome working families who would not have benefited from earlier House and Senate versions. As enacted, the child tax credit is computed before the Earned Income Tax Credit. Thus a two-parent family with two children and an income of $23,000 in 1997 will get $675 from the credit to wipe out its income tax liability and will still qualify for a $1,668 refund through the EITC. Families with three or more children can receive a higher child tax credit, available as a refund, to the extent that their Social Security payroll taxes exceed their EITC. Ifthe credit had also been made refundable for low-income families with fewer children, it would have reached more poor children in working families. As it stands, two-parent families with incomes as high as $110,000 and single-parent families with incomes up to $75,000 will benefit from the credit. As noted earlier, the EITC continues to be one of the most significant forms of assistance to lowincome working families. In 1996 the EITC was worth $25 billion to 18.7 million low-income families-eonsiderably more than the $16 billion disbursed each year through the Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) block grant, the successor to AFDC. In 1997 families with two or more children received a maximum EITC of $3,656 if their earnings were between $9,140 and Figure 1.4 Inadequacy of the Minimum Wage Even after the 1997 increase in the minimum wage, earnings from a 130 120 110 100 Annual minimum wage earnings for full-time, year-round work as a percentage of the poverty level for a family of three Poverty line full-time, year-round, 90 minimum wage job do not come close to 80 70 60 lifting a three-person family out of poverty. o 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 1998 Source: U.S. Deportment of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. Calculations by Children's Defense Fund. 6 CHILDREN'S DEFENSE FUND

FAMILY INCOME $11,930. Above that threshold, the credit gradually diminishes, phasing out when the family's income reaches $29,290. The value of the EITC will be adjusted upward for inflation annually. Welfare-to-work funding. The new federal welfare-ta-work grant program provides $3 billion in 1998 and 1999 for employment-related services targeted to those welfare recipients likely to have the most trouble finding stable jobs on their own. States can use the funds to create or subsidize jobs and to support work through child care, transportation, and counseling or training services. Implementing the 1996 Welfare Law The welfare law enacted in August 1996 radically changed cash assistance programs for millions of families when it replaced AFDC with TANF. It also eliminated food stamp benefits for immigrant families and restricted eligibility for Supplemental Security Income (SSI)-eash assistance for low-income seniors and persons with disabilities. A great deal of attention in 1997 was focused on the precipitous drop in welfare caseloads across the nation. Between January 1993 and August 1997, caseloads plunged 27 percent, a drop of 1.35 million families. Many argue that the caseload decline means the new TANF program is working. However, if the goal of the welfare changes is to help families with children move into work and out ofpoverty, we must take a closer look at what states have actually done under the new law and what happens to families when they leave the public assistance rolls. Little movement from welfare to work. Few states track families when they leave welfare. We do know that in the quarter ending June 30, 1997, states reported that only 15 percent of closed cases were due to the increased earnings of recipients. This figure understates earnings because some parents may not inform welfare agencies of their employment after they leave welfare. Even so, it is clear-and alarming to anyone concerned about children's well-being-that most ofthose losing welfare benefits are not gaining paychecks that can support a family. Stringent sanctions. Many families are losing benefits because of stiff penalties for failure to • One in five American children lives in poverty. Poor children numbered almost 14.5 million in 1996. • In 1996, 69 percent of poor children lived in families where someone worked-up from 61 percent just three years earlier. • Among young families (headed by a parent under 30), median income plunged 33 percent between 1973 and 1994, and the child poverty rate doubled from 20 to 41 percent. • More than 1.3 million families have lost welfare benefits since 1993-a drop of 27 percent. Former welfare recipients who find jobs typically earn less than $10,000 a year. • Families with children accounted for more than a third of the homeless Americans in urban areas who sought shelter in 1997. • Work alone is not always a ladder out of poverty. For young mothers who began the 1980s on welfare and later worked, average hourly wages rose only 6 cents per year-reaching just $6.85 in 1990. CHILDREN'S DEFENSE FUND 7

THE STATE OF AMERICA'S CHILDREN YEARBOOK 1998<br />

for a family of three (see figure 1.4). Although the<br />

minimum wage needs to be boosted further to<br />

reach the above-poverty levels that existed during<br />

most ofthe 1960s and 1970s, the 1996-97 increase<br />

was well-targeted. According to the Economic Policy<br />

Institute, 10 million workers (almost 9 percent<br />

of the U.S. labor force) will benefit from the 90­<br />

cent increase phased in over two years. These are<br />

largely adult breadwinners in the lowest brackets of<br />

the income scale. (Contrary to the assertion by<br />

opponents of the increase that most minimum<br />

wage workers are teens, more than 70 percent are<br />

over 18.)<br />

Tax relief. In 1997 Congress passed a <strong>child</strong> tax<br />

credit that is worth $400 per <strong>child</strong> in 1998 and<br />

rises to $500 per <strong>child</strong> in subsequent years. Some<br />

45 million <strong>child</strong>ren in 27 million families are expected<br />

to benefit from this credit. However, another<br />

20 million <strong>child</strong>ren in families with too little<br />

income to have a tax liability will not be helped.<br />

Efforts by the Clinton Administration and<br />

Democratic leaders in Congress succeeded in making<br />

the new credit available to some moderateincome<br />

working families who would not have benefited<br />

from earlier House and Senate versions. As<br />

enacted, the <strong>child</strong> tax credit is computed before the<br />

Earned Income Tax Credit. Thus a two-parent family<br />

with two <strong>child</strong>ren and an income of $23,000 in<br />

1997 will get $675 from the credit to wipe out its<br />

income tax liability and will still qualify for a<br />

$1,668 refund through the EITC. Families with<br />

three or more <strong>child</strong>ren can receive a higher <strong>child</strong><br />

tax credit, available as a refund, to the extent that<br />

their Social Security payroll taxes exceed their<br />

EITC. Ifthe credit had also been made refundable<br />

for low-income families with fewer <strong>child</strong>ren, it<br />

would have reached more poor <strong>child</strong>ren in working<br />

families. As it stands, two-parent families with incomes<br />

as high as $110,000 and single-parent families<br />

with incomes up to $75,000 will benefit from<br />

the credit.<br />

As noted earlier, the EITC continues to be one<br />

of the most significant forms of assistance to lowincome<br />

working families. In 1996 the EITC was<br />

worth $25 billion to 18.7 million low-income families-eonsiderably<br />

more than the $16 billion disbursed<br />

each year through the Temporary Assistance<br />

for Needy Families (TANF) block grant, the<br />

successor to AFDC. In 1997 families with two or<br />

more <strong>child</strong>ren received a maximum EITC of<br />

$3,656 if their earnings were between $9,140 and<br />

Figure 1.4<br />

Inadequacy of the Minimum Wage<br />

Even after the 1997<br />

increase in the<br />

minimum wage,<br />

earnings from a<br />

130<br />

120<br />

110<br />

100<br />

Annual minimum wage earnings for full-time, year-round work<br />

as a percentage of the poverty level for a family of three<br />

Poverty line<br />

full-time, year-round,<br />

90<br />

minimum wage job<br />

do not come close to<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

lifting a three-person<br />

family out of poverty.<br />

o<br />

1960<br />

1965<br />

1970<br />

1975<br />

1980<br />

1985<br />

1990<br />

1995 1998<br />

Source: U.S. Deportment of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. Calculations by Children's<br />

Defense Fund.<br />

6 CHILDREN'S DEFENSE FUND

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