3. Compensation Film - Displaybank
3. Compensation Film - Displaybank
3. Compensation Film - Displaybank
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Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Industry Trend Analysis<br />
Chapter 1. Polarizer Market<br />
Polarizer Market/Capacity/Demand&Supply<br />
Price/Polarizer Maker Trends<br />
Chapter 2. Market Analysis of 6 Types for Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
PVA <strong>Film</strong>/TAC <strong>Film</strong> /<br />
<strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong>s / Surface Treatment/<br />
Protection <strong>Film</strong> / Release <strong>Film</strong><br />
Jun.2009<br />
<strong>Displaybank</strong>’s Component Division<br />
TEL : +82-31-704-7188 | FAX : +82-31-704-7187<br />
URL : www.displaybank.com
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Industry Trend Analysis<br />
Jun.2009<br />
<strong>Displaybank</strong> Co. Ltd.<br />
8F 810, Yatap Leaders Bldg. 342-1 1 Yatap-dong, Bundangp-gu, gu, Seongnam-si,<br />
Gyeonggi-do, Korea (463-828)<br />
Tel: (82) 31-704<br />
704-7188, 7188, Fax: (82) 32-704<br />
704-71877187<br />
E-mail:<br />
irene@displaybank.com<br />
Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (2)
Copyright<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
Copyright © 2009 <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd.<br />
All rights reserved.<br />
No material contained in this report may be reproduced in whole or in part without the express written permission of <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd.<br />
This report is intended for the sole and exclusive use of the original purchaser and may not be distributed or transferred in any form to any<br />
other person or entity.<br />
<strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. provides the information in this report for informational purposes only and does not grant any express or implied<br />
warranty, guarantee, or representation concerning the information contained in this report, its merchantability, or its fitness for a particular<br />
purpose or function. Any reference to any specific commercial product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or<br />
otherwise, does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. Neither<br />
<strong>Displaybank</strong> nor any of its affiliates shall be liable to you or any third party in damages of whatever kind that may result from any reliance on<br />
(or use of) any information contained in this report. By receiving this report, you acknowledge that any reliance on information contained in<br />
this report shall be at your sole risk and that no representations have been made to you that are inconsistent with the foregoing.<br />
Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (3)
Contents<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
Chapter 1. Polarizer Market and Industry<br />
1. Overview<br />
2. Polarizer Market Forecast<br />
<strong>3.</strong> Mid to Long-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />
4. Short-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />
5. Polarizer Capacity Analysis<br />
6. Major Polarizer Maker Trend (Sales and Shipment)<br />
7. Polarizer Supply Chain Status<br />
8. Polarizer Supply & Demand and Price Trend<br />
Chapter 2. Polarizer Optical <strong>Film</strong> Market and Industry<br />
1. PVA <strong>Film</strong><br />
2. PVA Protection <strong>Film</strong><br />
<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />
4. Anti-Reflective <strong>Film</strong><br />
5. PET Protection <strong>Film</strong> and Release <strong>Film</strong><br />
Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (4)
Contents<br />
Chapter 1. Polarizer Market and Industry<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
1. Overview<br />
1.1. Research Purpose<br />
1.2. Research Method<br />
1.<strong>3.</strong> Research Range and Definition<br />
2. Polarizer Market Forecast<br />
2.1. Overall Market(2008~2013)<br />
2.2. Market Forecast by Display Type<br />
2.<strong>3.</strong> Market Forecast by Application<br />
2.4. Market Forecast by Region<br />
<strong>3.</strong> Mid to Long-term Polarizer Demand<br />
Forecast<br />
<strong>3.</strong>1. Overall Demand Forecast (2008~2013)<br />
<strong>3.</strong>2. Demand Forecast by Display Type<br />
<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong> Demand Forecast by Application<br />
<strong>3.</strong>4. Demand Forecast by Drive Mode<br />
<strong>3.</strong>5. Market Forecast by Region<br />
4. Short-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />
4.1. Overall Demand Forecast (1Q'08~4Q'09)<br />
4.2. Demand Forecast by Display Type<br />
4.<strong>3.</strong> Demand Forecast by Application<br />
5. Polarizer Capacity Analysis<br />
5.1. Mid-term Design Forecast (2005~2010)<br />
5.2. Short-term Supply Capacity Analysis (1Q'08~4Q'09)<br />
6. Major Polarizer Maker Trend (Sales and<br />
Shipment)<br />
6.1. Nitto Denko<br />
6.2. Sumitomo<br />
6.<strong>3.</strong> LG Chem<br />
6.4. Optimax<br />
6.5. ACE Digitech<br />
6.6. Sanritz<br />
6.7. Daxon<br />
6.8. Sales Result by Polarizer Maker<br />
6.9. Sales Growth by Polarizer Maker<br />
6.10. Sales Market Share by Polarizer Maker<br />
6.11. Shipment Result by Polarizer Maker<br />
7. Polarizer Supply Chain Status<br />
7.1. Note PC<br />
7.2. Monitor<br />
7.<strong>3.</strong> TV<br />
8. Polarizer Supply & Demand and Price Trend<br />
8.1. Polarizer Supply and Demand Analysis<br />
8.2. Polarizer Price Trend<br />
8.<strong>3.</strong> Polarizer Cost Trend<br />
Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (5)
Contents<br />
Chapter 2. Polarizer Optical <strong>Film</strong> Market and Industry<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
1. PVA <strong>Film</strong><br />
1.1. Overview<br />
1.2. PVA <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast<br />
1.<strong>3.</strong> PVA <strong>Film</strong> Production Capacity<br />
1.4. PVA <strong>Film</strong> Supply & Demand Analysis<br />
1.5. Supply Chain Status<br />
1.6. Price Trend<br />
2. PVA Protection <strong>Film</strong><br />
2.1. Overview<br />
2.2 PVA Protection <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast<br />
2.<strong>3.</strong> PVA Protection <strong>Film</strong> Production Capacit<br />
y<br />
2.4. TAC <strong>Film</strong> Supply & Demand Analysis<br />
2.5. Supply Chain Status<br />
2.6. Price Trend<br />
<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />
<strong>3.</strong>1. Overview<br />
<strong>3.</strong>2. <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast<br />
<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Maker Trend<br />
<strong>3.</strong>4. Price Trend<br />
4. Anti-Reflective <strong>Film</strong><br />
4.1. Overview<br />
4.2. Anti-Reflective <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast<br />
4.<strong>3.</strong> Anti-Reflective <strong>Film</strong> Maker Trend<br />
4.4. Price Trend<br />
5. PET Protection <strong>Film</strong> and Release <strong>Film</strong><br />
5.1. Overview<br />
5.2. Protection <strong>Film</strong> and Release <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast<br />
5.<strong>3.</strong> Protection <strong>Film</strong> and Release <strong>Film</strong> Production Capac<br />
ty<br />
5.4. Supply Chain Status<br />
5.5. Price Trend<br />
Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (6)
Chapter 1. Polarizer Market and Industry<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
1. Overview<br />
2. Polarizer Market Forecast<br />
<strong>3.</strong> Mid to Long-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />
4. Short-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />
5. Polarizer Capacity Analysis<br />
6. Major Polarizer Maker Trend (Sales and<br />
Shipment)<br />
7. Polarizer Supply Chain Status<br />
8. Polarizer Supply & Demand and Price Trend<br />
Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (7)
1. Overview<br />
1.1. Research Objectives<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
Polarizer is a key part in LCD panel and its market shows a rapid growth as a large-size LCD panel market rapidly grows.<br />
Polarizer makers competed against each other and increased their production capacity in order to correspond to the increasing<br />
LCD panel demand. Moreover, new polarizer makers emerged in Korean and Taiwan to make the competition in the polarizer<br />
market more severe. Accordingly, polarizer price has been declining average of 30 to 50% annually. <strong>Film</strong>s like polarizer are<br />
designed by application sizes that their production cost are largely reduced upon the production volume and such characteristic<br />
can possibly have an effect on the polarizer price. The issue here is that there is a limit to reduce price by improving a process<br />
yield of the polarizer. Moreover, prices of films that compose the polarizer rarely changed for the past three years.<br />
In other words, the polarizer makers’ operating profit remained the same due to four disheartening factors including large-scale<br />
investment, rapid price decline, pressure of raw material price, and demand market shrinkage due to an economic slump. Last Q4<br />
especially showed a vicious circle of global economic recession, demand market shrinkage, panel makers’ production cut, and<br />
shipment decrease. Such phenomenon hurt Taiwanese panel makers badly. This report targets to analyze effects of Taiwanese<br />
panel makers’ slowed result and Korean panel makers’ good fights on the polarizer market.<br />
Moreover, polarizer plays a key role in adjusting LCD display product requirement (contrast ratio, brightness, and etc.) since it<br />
directly adjusts light source. In order to regulate such optical requirements, applying high specifications on various sub-film used<br />
in polarizer. Along with a hard fighting of the panel market, the polarizer market also suffers double from a price pressure by price<br />
decline and insecure sub-film supply factor of panel makers. Also, full HD market expands to require various performances from<br />
the related polarizer. Hence, the future polarizer market is expected to undergo lots of change.<br />
In a situation like this, <strong>Displaybank</strong> collected and analyzed market forecast, production line status by maker, supply chain, and<br />
price trend of the polarizer from 2008 to 201<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Displaybank</strong> attempts to provide an insight in a correspondence of the polarizer<br />
market after 2008 through a market industry analysis of key sub-films including TAC film, PVA film, PET protection film, release<br />
film, anti-reflective film, and compensation film.<br />
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1. Overview<br />
1.2. Research Methodology<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
The data from this report was collected and analyzed by various methods. The most important and basic data from a supplier’s<br />
perspective was collected through Q&A with major suppliers. <strong>Displaybank</strong> collects information at all times through various<br />
conference data, display industry related exhibition data, corporation result data and analysis data, press release data, and<br />
internet search. Q&A with suppliers surely is am important foundation data as well.<br />
<strong>Displaybank</strong> collects information by various methods mentioned above and estimates supply & demand through the information. It<br />
forecasts future supply and demand to present price trend and cost analysis accordingly.<br />
<strong>Displaybank</strong> is a market research company specialized in display and possesses broad research range from materials and<br />
equipments to finished products including LCD panel, PDP panel, OLED panel, parts, equipment, LCD TV, PDP TV, CRT TV,<br />
monitor, and notebook PC. It secures about 20 kinds of periodical reports regarding display related industry. <strong>Displaybank</strong><br />
analyzed and forecasts market more organically and accurately through professional data accumulated in various fields.<br />
Moreover, it organized and holds international conferences such as KDC, Korea Display Conference, and domestic display<br />
industry issue forums more than 10 times per year in Korea, a center of global display industry. Through this, <strong>Displaybank</strong> closely<br />
observes the persistent industry flaw and contributes to rich infra and human network of the related industry.<br />
* Demand of Polarizer and Optical <strong>Film</strong><br />
This was prepared on a basis of panel makers’ shipment result and future plan of production capacity<br />
enlargement. It was researched through various methods and courses of data collection targeting panel<br />
makers and polarizer makers.<br />
* Supply of Polarizer and Optical <strong>Film</strong><br />
This was prepared on a basis of panel makers’ shipment result and future plan of production capacity<br />
enlargement. It was researched by collecting data through shipment result and supply chain of polarizer<br />
optical film makers.<br />
* Market and Price of Polarizer and Optical <strong>Film</strong><br />
This researched global polarizer and optical film market prices by quarter. It collected polarizer shipment<br />
volume by quarter and supply price by product to estimate an average price and total price market.<br />
Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (9)
1. Overview<br />
1.<strong>3.</strong> Research Scope and Definition<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
* Research Range: Polarizer is offered in a shape of film that all market was estimated based on dimension.<br />
* Research Item: Polarizer<br />
* Research Company: Companies that manufacture above item and its raw material<br />
* Research Period: From 4Q’08 to 1Q’09<br />
* Long-term Forecast: From 2008 market to 2013 market<br />
* Supply Chain: Calculated based on 4Q’08<br />
* Unit:<br />
- Ksqm: thousand square meter<br />
- Msqm: million square meter<br />
- Mil. USD million<br />
- Yen: Japanese Yen<br />
- Mil. Yen: million Japanese Yen<br />
- Y/Y Growth: annual growth rate<br />
- Q/Q Growth: quarter growth rate<br />
- CAGR: average annual growth rate<br />
* Abbreviation:<br />
- L.TFT: Large TFT (10.4” and larger)<br />
- S/M TFT: S/M TFT<br />
- Dongwoo: Dongwoo Fine Chem.<br />
- LGD: LG Display<br />
- SEC: Samsung Electronics<br />
- CMM: Chie Mei Material Technology<br />
- DCC: DC Chemical<br />
Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (10)
2. Polarizer Market Forecast<br />
2.1. Overall Market (2008~2013)<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
7,000<br />
50%<br />
6,000<br />
30%<br />
5,000<br />
18%<br />
Mil.USD<br />
4,000<br />
3,000<br />
-3%<br />
1%<br />
1% -1% -1%<br />
10%<br />
-10%<br />
2,000<br />
-30%<br />
1,000<br />
0<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />
-50%<br />
Market 6,321 6,131 6,204 6,265 6,196 6,159<br />
Y/Y Growth 18% -3% 1% 1% -1% -1%<br />
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2. Polarizer Market Forecast<br />
2.<strong>3.</strong> Market Forecast by Application _ 10.4” and Larger Large TFT-LCD<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
6,000<br />
100%<br />
5,000<br />
5,348<br />
5,201<br />
5,191<br />
5,195<br />
5,036 4,913<br />
90%<br />
80%<br />
Mil.USD<br />
4,000<br />
3,000<br />
2,000<br />
1,000<br />
0<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />
Others 54 51 52 61 64 63<br />
NotePC 651 573 567 567 567 559<br />
Monitor 1,951 1,786 1,601 1,428 1,279 1,163<br />
LCD TV 2,702 2,791 2,971 3,140 3,127 3,128<br />
70%<br />
60%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />
Others 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%<br />
NotePC 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11%<br />
Monitor 36% 34% 31% 27% 25% 24%<br />
LCD TV 50% 54% 57% 60% 62% 64%<br />
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<strong>3.</strong> Mid to Long-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />
<strong>3.</strong>1. Overall Demand Forecast (2008~2013)<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
450,000<br />
50%<br />
400,000<br />
350,000<br />
24%<br />
30%<br />
Ksqm<br />
300,000<br />
250,000<br />
200,000<br />
15%<br />
18%<br />
19%<br />
15%<br />
12%<br />
10%<br />
-10%<br />
150,000<br />
100,000<br />
-30%<br />
50,000<br />
0<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />
Demand 192,618 221,028 260,179 309,107 355,269 397,314<br />
Y/Y Growth 24% 15% 18% 19% 15% 12%<br />
-50%<br />
Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (13)
<strong>3.</strong> Mid to Long-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />
<strong>3.</strong>2. Demand Forecast by Display Type (2008~2013)<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
450,000<br />
100%<br />
Ksqm<br />
400,000<br />
350,000<br />
300,000<br />
250,000<br />
200,000<br />
150,000<br />
192,618<br />
221,028<br />
260,179<br />
309,107<br />
355,269<br />
397,314<br />
90%<br />
80%<br />
70%<br />
60%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
100,000<br />
20%<br />
50,000<br />
10%<br />
0<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />
TN LCD 1,548 1,471 1,350 1,206 1,062 937<br />
STN LCD 1,013 748 736 644 562 476<br />
S/M TFT-LCD 8,112 8,288 9,378 10,307 11,613 12,879<br />
OLED 53 77 94 141 207 325<br />
Large TFT-LCD 181,892 210,444 248,620 296,809 341,825 382,696<br />
0%<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />
TN LCD 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%<br />
STN LCD 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%<br />
S/M TFT-LCD 4.2% <strong>3.</strong>7% <strong>3.</strong>6% <strong>3.</strong>3% <strong>3.</strong>3% <strong>3.</strong>2%<br />
OLED 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%<br />
Large TFT-LCD 94.4% 95.2% 95.6% 96.0% 96.2% 96.3%<br />
Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (14)
4. Short-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />
4.1. Overall Demand Forecast (2Q’08~1Q’10)_Area<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
70,000<br />
50%<br />
60,000<br />
50,000<br />
33%<br />
30%<br />
Ksqm<br />
40,000<br />
30,000<br />
1%<br />
4%<br />
-3%<br />
9%<br />
5%<br />
10%<br />
-9%-10%<br />
-16%<br />
20,000<br />
-30%<br />
10,000<br />
0<br />
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />
2008 2009 2010<br />
Demand 49,349 51,310 43,112 41,670 55,558 60,455 63,344 57,516<br />
Q/Q Growth 1% 4% -16% -3% 33% 9% 5% -9%<br />
-50%<br />
Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (15)
5. Polarizer Production Capacity Analysis<br />
5.1. Line and Production Capacity Status<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (16)
5. Polarizer Production Capacity Analysis<br />
5.2. Mid-term Production Capacity Forecast (2005~2010)<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
‣ Production Capacity by Polarizer Maker<br />
600000<br />
546,280<br />
Sumitomo<br />
Sumica<br />
100%<br />
90%<br />
500000<br />
455,280<br />
STHC<br />
Skypolar<br />
80%<br />
Ksqm<br />
400000<br />
300000<br />
301,880<br />
360,480<br />
410,280<br />
Shinwha-<br />
Opla<br />
Sanritz<br />
QIAOYE<br />
Polatechno<br />
Other<br />
70%<br />
60%<br />
50%<br />
212,580<br />
Optimax<br />
40%<br />
200000<br />
166,380<br />
Nitto Denko<br />
LG Chem.<br />
30%<br />
100000<br />
0<br />
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />
DAXON<br />
CMO<br />
Ace<br />
Digitech<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />
The above described production capacity by maker correspond to capacity based on year-end. Based on the end of 2008, Nitto<br />
Denko secure over 32% capacity globally followed by Taiwan-based Optimax in No.2 ranking with 15% share globally. But<br />
Optimax plans to only operate Pingzen line from June 2009. LG Chemical secures about 15% share and as the graph illustrates, 5<br />
high ranking makers (No.1 – No.5) combined share exceeds 80% suggesting large dependence on supply capacity from leading<br />
makers.<br />
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6. Major Polarizer Maker Trend (Revenue/Shipment)<br />
6.1. Nitto Denko<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
‣ Shipment Trend<br />
60,000<br />
50%<br />
50,000<br />
39%<br />
36%<br />
31% 33% 34%<br />
31%<br />
36% 36%<br />
30%<br />
Ksqm<br />
40,000<br />
30,000<br />
20,000<br />
10,000<br />
10%<br />
-10%<br />
-30%<br />
0<br />
2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q<br />
2007 2008 2009<br />
Shipment (Ksqm) 16,002 16,382 16,107 16,019 16,733 15,943 15,407 14,815<br />
W/W Demand 40,515 45,890 51,735 48,846 49,349 51,310 43,112 41,670<br />
Share (Shipment/Demand) 39% 36% 31% 33% 34% 31% 36% 36%<br />
-50%<br />
Based on the results, we calculated approximate polarizer shipments in area basis. Polarizer price gap widens as to the method of<br />
processing remaining scrap and it corresponds to each maker’s technological ability such that comparison is made by adjusting<br />
into same area. The shipments in area basis is under assumption of WV polarizer manufactured in 1330mm width line. For<br />
reference, current WV price per 1m is about JPY 3000.<br />
Nitto Denko shipped 47 mil. square meter in 2006, 61 mil. square meter in 2007 and 64 mil. square meter in 2008. For each<br />
quarter, Nitto Denko has secured over 30% of global demands.<br />
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6. Major Polarizer Maker Trend (Revenue/Shipment)<br />
6.9. Revenue Growth Trend by Polarizer Maker<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
4.0<br />
<strong>3.</strong>5<br />
<strong>3.</strong>0<br />
2.5<br />
2.0<br />
1.5<br />
ACE Digitech<br />
Daxon<br />
LG Chem<br />
Nitto Denko<br />
Optimax<br />
Sanritz<br />
Sumitomo<br />
1.0<br />
0.5<br />
0.0<br />
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009<br />
Growth rate for each quarter was analyzed as base time being 1Q, 2006. Last 2 years show massive changes to polarizer makers<br />
including ACE Digitech, LG Chem., DAXON and Optimax.<br />
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7. Polarizer Supply Chain Status<br />
7.1. Note PC<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
SEC LGD Hydis TMD AUO CMO CPT IVO Hannstar Sharp<br />
Nitto Denko 35% 27% 45% 38% 26% 44% 50%<br />
Sanritz 25% 30%<br />
Sumitomo 15% 38% 30% 51% 98% 20%<br />
LG Chem 35% 100% 2% 28%<br />
ACE Digitech 50% 37%<br />
Optimax 11% 20%<br />
DAXON 11% 63% 56% 15%<br />
CMMT<br />
Skypolar<br />
Note PC<br />
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%<br />
Sumitomo<br />
34%<br />
ACE<br />
Digitech<br />
16%<br />
CMMT<br />
0%<br />
Daxon<br />
4%<br />
LG Chem<br />
12%<br />
The market share by NotePC polarizer maker for 1Q is led by Sumitomo with<br />
34% share followed by Nitto Denko with 31% at No.2 ranking. Nitto Denko<br />
and Sumitomo comprises over 60% of NotePC polarizer market. Also, ACE<br />
Digitech moved up to No.3 ranking with 16% global market share by<br />
supplying 50% of Samsung’s total demand.<br />
Sanritz<br />
2%<br />
Optimax<br />
1%<br />
Nitto<br />
Denko<br />
31%<br />
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8. Polarizer Supply & Demand and Price Trend<br />
8.2. Polarizer Price Trend (Under 20”)<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
12.0<br />
10.0<br />
8.0<br />
USD/Set<br />
6.0<br />
4.0<br />
2.0<br />
0.0<br />
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />
2008 2009 2010<br />
14.1" HC 4.0 <strong>3.</strong>8 <strong>3.</strong>6 <strong>3.</strong>5 <strong>3.</strong>3 <strong>3.</strong>3 <strong>3.</strong>1 2.9<br />
14.1" HC/Thin 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.2 4.0 <strong>3.</strong>7<br />
15.4" HC 4.6 4.4 4.2 <strong>3.</strong>9 <strong>3.</strong>7 <strong>3.</strong>5 <strong>3.</strong>4 <strong>3.</strong>2<br />
17" AG,WV 8.3 8.0 7.8 7.6 7.2 6.9 6.6 6.2<br />
18.5"W AG,WV 10.0 9.4 8.9 8.6 8.2 7.8 7.5 7.0<br />
19" AG,WV 9.7 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.5 8.1 7.8 7.4<br />
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Chapter 2. Polarizer Optical <strong>Film</strong> Market and<br />
Industry<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
1. PVA <strong>Film</strong><br />
2. PVA Protection <strong>Film</strong><br />
<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />
4. Anti-Reflective <strong>Film</strong><br />
5. PET Protection <strong>Film</strong> and Release <strong>Film</strong><br />
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<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
<strong>3.</strong>1. Overview<br />
<strong>3.</strong>1.1. Basic Characteristic and Process<br />
<strong>3.</strong>1.2. <strong>Compensation</strong> Principal upon Polarization Axis Adjustment<br />
<strong>3.</strong>1.<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> Principal by Mode<br />
<strong>3.</strong>1.4. Type of <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />
<strong>3.</strong>2. <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast<br />
<strong>3.</strong>2.1. Total Market Forecast<br />
<strong>3.</strong>2.2. Base <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast by Type<br />
<strong>3.</strong>2.<strong>3.</strong> Market by Mode<br />
<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Maker Trend<br />
<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong>1. Production Capacity and Line Trend by Maker<br />
<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong>2. <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Usage Status by Maker<br />
<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong> Market Share<br />
<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong>4. Supply Chain Status<br />
<strong>3.</strong>4. Price Trend<br />
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<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />
<strong>3.</strong>2. <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast – Large-area <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> (IPS, VA Mode use)<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
‣Market Forecast by <strong>Film</strong> – Area base<br />
Ksqm<br />
350,000<br />
300,000<br />
290,538<br />
254,254<br />
250,000<br />
215,773<br />
200,000<br />
173,053<br />
150,000<br />
139,446<br />
112,123<br />
100,000<br />
50,000<br />
0<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />
Z-TAC 33,301 39,045 48,109 54,375 59,495 65,371<br />
Zeonor 16,733 19,941 22,324 27,403 30,256 33,993<br />
N-TAC 56,609 66,934 79,085 92,783 109,329 126,093<br />
J-Plate 0 1,394 3,461 8,199 12,077 14,527<br />
ESSINA 919 1,116 1,384 1,510 2,543 2,615<br />
B-TAC 3,434 9,761 17,305 30,208 39,409 46,486<br />
Arton 1,127 1,255 1,384 1,295 1,144 1,453<br />
100%<br />
90%<br />
80%<br />
70%<br />
60%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />
Z-TAC 30% 28% 28% 25% 23% 23%<br />
Zeonor 15% 14% 13% 13% 12% 12%<br />
N-TAC 50% 48% 46% 43% 43% 43%<br />
J-Plate 0% 1% 2% 4% 5% 5%<br />
ESSINA 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%<br />
B-TAC 3% 7% 10% 14% 16% 16%<br />
Arton 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%<br />
Looking at by <strong>Film</strong>, Konica Minolta’s N-TAC that are utilized by Samsung, AUO and CMO as VA <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> is expected to<br />
record 48% market share followed by Z-TAC used in IPS at 28% and Zeonor used by Sharp and IPS-Alpha at 14%. As Fuji <strong>Film</strong>’s<br />
B-TAC aggressively trying to penetrate market, its market share is expected to grow to 7% in 2009.<br />
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<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />
<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Maker Trend<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
‣ Production Capacity & Line Trend by Maker – WV <strong>Film</strong><br />
Ksqm/Year<br />
<strong>Film</strong> Company Nation Location Start 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />
Odawara L1 2,004 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000<br />
Odawara L2 200508 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000<br />
WV<br />
Fuji <strong>Film</strong><br />
Odawara L3 200606 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000<br />
Yosida L4 200705 12,000 12,000 12,000<br />
Yosida L5 200803 12,000 12,000<br />
Yosida L6 09/1Q 15,000<br />
Total 12,000 24,000 36,000 48,000 60,000 75,000<br />
The capacity of TAC based on <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong>s(B-TAC, Z-TAC, N-TAC) are included in Normal TAC Capa.<br />
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<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />
<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Maker Trend<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
‣ <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Usage Trend by Panel Maker<br />
2009,Q1<br />
AU Optronics CMO CPT HannStar IPS Alpha LG Display Samsung Electronics Sharp<br />
Arton 0% 0% 0% 0% 28% 0% 0% 0%<br />
B-TAC 16% 11% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0%<br />
ESSINA 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0%<br />
J-Plate 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0%<br />
N-TAC 42% 42% 21% 0% 0% 3% 68% 0%<br />
WV 36% 40% 76% 100% 0% 29% 31% 2%<br />
Zeonor 7% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 98%<br />
Z-TAC 0% 0% 0% 0% 72% 65% 0% 0%<br />
Above is <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> penetration rate by panel makers. (based on large-area)<br />
Fuji <strong>Film</strong> began aggressively marketing B-TAC. And in 2009, one can see growing usages for B-TAC gradually and if Samsung Electronics takes “2<br />
Vendor” route for compensation film, fierce competition between B-TAC and N-TAC is expected.<br />
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<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />
<strong>3.</strong>4. Price Trend<br />
Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />
Date: 2009.06<br />
1,600<br />
1,400<br />
1,200<br />
Yen/Ksqm<br />
1,000<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
0<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011<br />
Arton 822 748 700 680<br />
B-TAC 935 600 520 470<br />
ESSINA 714 614 570 540<br />
J-Plate 400 360 340 331<br />
N-TAC 710 600 520 474<br />
Zeonor 783 720 690 662<br />
Z-TAC 837 693 645 599<br />
WV 1,374 1,261 1,165 1,074<br />
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