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Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Industry Trend Analysis<br />

Chapter 1. Polarizer Market<br />

Polarizer Market/Capacity/Demand&Supply<br />

Price/Polarizer Maker Trends<br />

Chapter 2. Market Analysis of 6 Types for Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

PVA <strong>Film</strong>/TAC <strong>Film</strong> /<br />

<strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong>s / Surface Treatment/<br />

Protection <strong>Film</strong> / Release <strong>Film</strong><br />

Jun.2009<br />

<strong>Displaybank</strong>’s Component Division<br />

TEL : +82-31-704-7188 | FAX : +82-31-704-7187<br />

URL : www.displaybank.com


Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Industry Trend Analysis<br />

Jun.2009<br />

<strong>Displaybank</strong> Co. Ltd.<br />

8F 810, Yatap Leaders Bldg. 342-1 1 Yatap-dong, Bundangp-gu, gu, Seongnam-si,<br />

Gyeonggi-do, Korea (463-828)<br />

Tel: (82) 31-704<br />

704-7188, 7188, Fax: (82) 32-704<br />

704-71877187<br />

E-mail:<br />

irene@displaybank.com<br />

Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (2)


Copyright<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

Copyright © 2009 <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd.<br />

All rights reserved.<br />

No material contained in this report may be reproduced in whole or in part without the express written permission of <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd.<br />

This report is intended for the sole and exclusive use of the original purchaser and may not be distributed or transferred in any form to any<br />

other person or entity.<br />

<strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. provides the information in this report for informational purposes only and does not grant any express or implied<br />

warranty, guarantee, or representation concerning the information contained in this report, its merchantability, or its fitness for a particular<br />

purpose or function. Any reference to any specific commercial product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or<br />

otherwise, does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. Neither<br />

<strong>Displaybank</strong> nor any of its affiliates shall be liable to you or any third party in damages of whatever kind that may result from any reliance on<br />

(or use of) any information contained in this report. By receiving this report, you acknowledge that any reliance on information contained in<br />

this report shall be at your sole risk and that no representations have been made to you that are inconsistent with the foregoing.<br />

Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (3)


Contents<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

Chapter 1. Polarizer Market and Industry<br />

1. Overview<br />

2. Polarizer Market Forecast<br />

<strong>3.</strong> Mid to Long-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />

4. Short-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />

5. Polarizer Capacity Analysis<br />

6. Major Polarizer Maker Trend (Sales and Shipment)<br />

7. Polarizer Supply Chain Status<br />

8. Polarizer Supply & Demand and Price Trend<br />

Chapter 2. Polarizer Optical <strong>Film</strong> Market and Industry<br />

1. PVA <strong>Film</strong><br />

2. PVA Protection <strong>Film</strong><br />

<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />

4. Anti-Reflective <strong>Film</strong><br />

5. PET Protection <strong>Film</strong> and Release <strong>Film</strong><br />

Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (4)


Contents<br />

Chapter 1. Polarizer Market and Industry<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

1. Overview<br />

1.1. Research Purpose<br />

1.2. Research Method<br />

1.<strong>3.</strong> Research Range and Definition<br />

2. Polarizer Market Forecast<br />

2.1. Overall Market(2008~2013)<br />

2.2. Market Forecast by Display Type<br />

2.<strong>3.</strong> Market Forecast by Application<br />

2.4. Market Forecast by Region<br />

<strong>3.</strong> Mid to Long-term Polarizer Demand<br />

Forecast<br />

<strong>3.</strong>1. Overall Demand Forecast (2008~2013)<br />

<strong>3.</strong>2. Demand Forecast by Display Type<br />

<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong> Demand Forecast by Application<br />

<strong>3.</strong>4. Demand Forecast by Drive Mode<br />

<strong>3.</strong>5. Market Forecast by Region<br />

4. Short-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />

4.1. Overall Demand Forecast (1Q'08~4Q'09)<br />

4.2. Demand Forecast by Display Type<br />

4.<strong>3.</strong> Demand Forecast by Application<br />

5. Polarizer Capacity Analysis<br />

5.1. Mid-term Design Forecast (2005~2010)<br />

5.2. Short-term Supply Capacity Analysis (1Q'08~4Q'09)<br />

6. Major Polarizer Maker Trend (Sales and<br />

Shipment)<br />

6.1. Nitto Denko<br />

6.2. Sumitomo<br />

6.<strong>3.</strong> LG Chem<br />

6.4. Optimax<br />

6.5. ACE Digitech<br />

6.6. Sanritz<br />

6.7. Daxon<br />

6.8. Sales Result by Polarizer Maker<br />

6.9. Sales Growth by Polarizer Maker<br />

6.10. Sales Market Share by Polarizer Maker<br />

6.11. Shipment Result by Polarizer Maker<br />

7. Polarizer Supply Chain Status<br />

7.1. Note PC<br />

7.2. Monitor<br />

7.<strong>3.</strong> TV<br />

8. Polarizer Supply & Demand and Price Trend<br />

8.1. Polarizer Supply and Demand Analysis<br />

8.2. Polarizer Price Trend<br />

8.<strong>3.</strong> Polarizer Cost Trend<br />

Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (5)


Contents<br />

Chapter 2. Polarizer Optical <strong>Film</strong> Market and Industry<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

1. PVA <strong>Film</strong><br />

1.1. Overview<br />

1.2. PVA <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast<br />

1.<strong>3.</strong> PVA <strong>Film</strong> Production Capacity<br />

1.4. PVA <strong>Film</strong> Supply & Demand Analysis<br />

1.5. Supply Chain Status<br />

1.6. Price Trend<br />

2. PVA Protection <strong>Film</strong><br />

2.1. Overview<br />

2.2 PVA Protection <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast<br />

2.<strong>3.</strong> PVA Protection <strong>Film</strong> Production Capacit<br />

y<br />

2.4. TAC <strong>Film</strong> Supply & Demand Analysis<br />

2.5. Supply Chain Status<br />

2.6. Price Trend<br />

<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />

<strong>3.</strong>1. Overview<br />

<strong>3.</strong>2. <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast<br />

<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Maker Trend<br />

<strong>3.</strong>4. Price Trend<br />

4. Anti-Reflective <strong>Film</strong><br />

4.1. Overview<br />

4.2. Anti-Reflective <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast<br />

4.<strong>3.</strong> Anti-Reflective <strong>Film</strong> Maker Trend<br />

4.4. Price Trend<br />

5. PET Protection <strong>Film</strong> and Release <strong>Film</strong><br />

5.1. Overview<br />

5.2. Protection <strong>Film</strong> and Release <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast<br />

5.<strong>3.</strong> Protection <strong>Film</strong> and Release <strong>Film</strong> Production Capac<br />

ty<br />

5.4. Supply Chain Status<br />

5.5. Price Trend<br />

Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (6)


Chapter 1. Polarizer Market and Industry<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

1. Overview<br />

2. Polarizer Market Forecast<br />

<strong>3.</strong> Mid to Long-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />

4. Short-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />

5. Polarizer Capacity Analysis<br />

6. Major Polarizer Maker Trend (Sales and<br />

Shipment)<br />

7. Polarizer Supply Chain Status<br />

8. Polarizer Supply & Demand and Price Trend<br />

Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (7)


1. Overview<br />

1.1. Research Objectives<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

Polarizer is a key part in LCD panel and its market shows a rapid growth as a large-size LCD panel market rapidly grows.<br />

Polarizer makers competed against each other and increased their production capacity in order to correspond to the increasing<br />

LCD panel demand. Moreover, new polarizer makers emerged in Korean and Taiwan to make the competition in the polarizer<br />

market more severe. Accordingly, polarizer price has been declining average of 30 to 50% annually. <strong>Film</strong>s like polarizer are<br />

designed by application sizes that their production cost are largely reduced upon the production volume and such characteristic<br />

can possibly have an effect on the polarizer price. The issue here is that there is a limit to reduce price by improving a process<br />

yield of the polarizer. Moreover, prices of films that compose the polarizer rarely changed for the past three years.<br />

In other words, the polarizer makers’ operating profit remained the same due to four disheartening factors including large-scale<br />

investment, rapid price decline, pressure of raw material price, and demand market shrinkage due to an economic slump. Last Q4<br />

especially showed a vicious circle of global economic recession, demand market shrinkage, panel makers’ production cut, and<br />

shipment decrease. Such phenomenon hurt Taiwanese panel makers badly. This report targets to analyze effects of Taiwanese<br />

panel makers’ slowed result and Korean panel makers’ good fights on the polarizer market.<br />

Moreover, polarizer plays a key role in adjusting LCD display product requirement (contrast ratio, brightness, and etc.) since it<br />

directly adjusts light source. In order to regulate such optical requirements, applying high specifications on various sub-film used<br />

in polarizer. Along with a hard fighting of the panel market, the polarizer market also suffers double from a price pressure by price<br />

decline and insecure sub-film supply factor of panel makers. Also, full HD market expands to require various performances from<br />

the related polarizer. Hence, the future polarizer market is expected to undergo lots of change.<br />

In a situation like this, <strong>Displaybank</strong> collected and analyzed market forecast, production line status by maker, supply chain, and<br />

price trend of the polarizer from 2008 to 201<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Displaybank</strong> attempts to provide an insight in a correspondence of the polarizer<br />

market after 2008 through a market industry analysis of key sub-films including TAC film, PVA film, PET protection film, release<br />

film, anti-reflective film, and compensation film.<br />

Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (8)


1. Overview<br />

1.2. Research Methodology<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

The data from this report was collected and analyzed by various methods. The most important and basic data from a supplier’s<br />

perspective was collected through Q&A with major suppliers. <strong>Displaybank</strong> collects information at all times through various<br />

conference data, display industry related exhibition data, corporation result data and analysis data, press release data, and<br />

internet search. Q&A with suppliers surely is am important foundation data as well.<br />

<strong>Displaybank</strong> collects information by various methods mentioned above and estimates supply & demand through the information. It<br />

forecasts future supply and demand to present price trend and cost analysis accordingly.<br />

<strong>Displaybank</strong> is a market research company specialized in display and possesses broad research range from materials and<br />

equipments to finished products including LCD panel, PDP panel, OLED panel, parts, equipment, LCD TV, PDP TV, CRT TV,<br />

monitor, and notebook PC. It secures about 20 kinds of periodical reports regarding display related industry. <strong>Displaybank</strong><br />

analyzed and forecasts market more organically and accurately through professional data accumulated in various fields.<br />

Moreover, it organized and holds international conferences such as KDC, Korea Display Conference, and domestic display<br />

industry issue forums more than 10 times per year in Korea, a center of global display industry. Through this, <strong>Displaybank</strong> closely<br />

observes the persistent industry flaw and contributes to rich infra and human network of the related industry.<br />

* Demand of Polarizer and Optical <strong>Film</strong><br />

This was prepared on a basis of panel makers’ shipment result and future plan of production capacity<br />

enlargement. It was researched through various methods and courses of data collection targeting panel<br />

makers and polarizer makers.<br />

* Supply of Polarizer and Optical <strong>Film</strong><br />

This was prepared on a basis of panel makers’ shipment result and future plan of production capacity<br />

enlargement. It was researched by collecting data through shipment result and supply chain of polarizer<br />

optical film makers.<br />

* Market and Price of Polarizer and Optical <strong>Film</strong><br />

This researched global polarizer and optical film market prices by quarter. It collected polarizer shipment<br />

volume by quarter and supply price by product to estimate an average price and total price market.<br />

Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (9)


1. Overview<br />

1.<strong>3.</strong> Research Scope and Definition<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

* Research Range: Polarizer is offered in a shape of film that all market was estimated based on dimension.<br />

* Research Item: Polarizer<br />

* Research Company: Companies that manufacture above item and its raw material<br />

* Research Period: From 4Q’08 to 1Q’09<br />

* Long-term Forecast: From 2008 market to 2013 market<br />

* Supply Chain: Calculated based on 4Q’08<br />

* Unit:<br />

- Ksqm: thousand square meter<br />

- Msqm: million square meter<br />

- Mil. USD million<br />

- Yen: Japanese Yen<br />

- Mil. Yen: million Japanese Yen<br />

- Y/Y Growth: annual growth rate<br />

- Q/Q Growth: quarter growth rate<br />

- CAGR: average annual growth rate<br />

* Abbreviation:<br />

- L.TFT: Large TFT (10.4” and larger)<br />

- S/M TFT: S/M TFT<br />

- Dongwoo: Dongwoo Fine Chem.<br />

- LGD: LG Display<br />

- SEC: Samsung Electronics<br />

- CMM: Chie Mei Material Technology<br />

- DCC: DC Chemical<br />

Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (10)


2. Polarizer Market Forecast<br />

2.1. Overall Market (2008~2013)<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

7,000<br />

50%<br />

6,000<br />

30%<br />

5,000<br />

18%<br />

Mil.USD<br />

4,000<br />

3,000<br />

-3%<br />

1%<br />

1% -1% -1%<br />

10%<br />

-10%<br />

2,000<br />

-30%<br />

1,000<br />

0<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />

-50%<br />

Market 6,321 6,131 6,204 6,265 6,196 6,159<br />

Y/Y Growth 18% -3% 1% 1% -1% -1%<br />

Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (11)


2. Polarizer Market Forecast<br />

2.<strong>3.</strong> Market Forecast by Application _ 10.4” and Larger Large TFT-LCD<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

6,000<br />

100%<br />

5,000<br />

5,348<br />

5,201<br />

5,191<br />

5,195<br />

5,036 4,913<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

Mil.USD<br />

4,000<br />

3,000<br />

2,000<br />

1,000<br />

0<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />

Others 54 51 52 61 64 63<br />

NotePC 651 573 567 567 567 559<br />

Monitor 1,951 1,786 1,601 1,428 1,279 1,163<br />

LCD TV 2,702 2,791 2,971 3,140 3,127 3,128<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />

Others 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%<br />

NotePC 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11%<br />

Monitor 36% 34% 31% 27% 25% 24%<br />

LCD TV 50% 54% 57% 60% 62% 64%<br />

Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (12)


<strong>3.</strong> Mid to Long-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />

<strong>3.</strong>1. Overall Demand Forecast (2008~2013)<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

450,000<br />

50%<br />

400,000<br />

350,000<br />

24%<br />

30%<br />

Ksqm<br />

300,000<br />

250,000<br />

200,000<br />

15%<br />

18%<br />

19%<br />

15%<br />

12%<br />

10%<br />

-10%<br />

150,000<br />

100,000<br />

-30%<br />

50,000<br />

0<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />

Demand 192,618 221,028 260,179 309,107 355,269 397,314<br />

Y/Y Growth 24% 15% 18% 19% 15% 12%<br />

-50%<br />

Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (13)


<strong>3.</strong> Mid to Long-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />

<strong>3.</strong>2. Demand Forecast by Display Type (2008~2013)<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

450,000<br />

100%<br />

Ksqm<br />

400,000<br />

350,000<br />

300,000<br />

250,000<br />

200,000<br />

150,000<br />

192,618<br />

221,028<br />

260,179<br />

309,107<br />

355,269<br />

397,314<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

100,000<br />

20%<br />

50,000<br />

10%<br />

0<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />

TN LCD 1,548 1,471 1,350 1,206 1,062 937<br />

STN LCD 1,013 748 736 644 562 476<br />

S/M TFT-LCD 8,112 8,288 9,378 10,307 11,613 12,879<br />

OLED 53 77 94 141 207 325<br />

Large TFT-LCD 181,892 210,444 248,620 296,809 341,825 382,696<br />

0%<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />

TN LCD 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%<br />

STN LCD 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%<br />

S/M TFT-LCD 4.2% <strong>3.</strong>7% <strong>3.</strong>6% <strong>3.</strong>3% <strong>3.</strong>3% <strong>3.</strong>2%<br />

OLED 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%<br />

Large TFT-LCD 94.4% 95.2% 95.6% 96.0% 96.2% 96.3%<br />

Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (14)


4. Short-term Polarizer Demand Forecast<br />

4.1. Overall Demand Forecast (2Q’08~1Q’10)_Area<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

70,000<br />

50%<br />

60,000<br />

50,000<br />

33%<br />

30%<br />

Ksqm<br />

40,000<br />

30,000<br />

1%<br />

4%<br />

-3%<br />

9%<br />

5%<br />

10%<br />

-9%-10%<br />

-16%<br />

20,000<br />

-30%<br />

10,000<br />

0<br />

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />

2008 2009 2010<br />

Demand 49,349 51,310 43,112 41,670 55,558 60,455 63,344 57,516<br />

Q/Q Growth 1% 4% -16% -3% 33% 9% 5% -9%<br />

-50%<br />

Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (15)


5. Polarizer Production Capacity Analysis<br />

5.1. Line and Production Capacity Status<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

Copyright C <strong>Displaybank</strong> Co., Ltd. All rights reserved (16)


5. Polarizer Production Capacity Analysis<br />

5.2. Mid-term Production Capacity Forecast (2005~2010)<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

‣ Production Capacity by Polarizer Maker<br />

600000<br />

546,280<br />

Sumitomo<br />

Sumica<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

500000<br />

455,280<br />

STHC<br />

Skypolar<br />

80%<br />

Ksqm<br />

400000<br />

300000<br />

301,880<br />

360,480<br />

410,280<br />

Shinwha-<br />

Opla<br />

Sanritz<br />

QIAOYE<br />

Polatechno<br />

Other<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

212,580<br />

Optimax<br />

40%<br />

200000<br />

166,380<br />

Nitto Denko<br />

LG Chem.<br />

30%<br />

100000<br />

0<br />

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

DAXON<br />

CMO<br />

Ace<br />

Digitech<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

The above described production capacity by maker correspond to capacity based on year-end. Based on the end of 2008, Nitto<br />

Denko secure over 32% capacity globally followed by Taiwan-based Optimax in No.2 ranking with 15% share globally. But<br />

Optimax plans to only operate Pingzen line from June 2009. LG Chemical secures about 15% share and as the graph illustrates, 5<br />

high ranking makers (No.1 – No.5) combined share exceeds 80% suggesting large dependence on supply capacity from leading<br />

makers.<br />

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6. Major Polarizer Maker Trend (Revenue/Shipment)<br />

6.1. Nitto Denko<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

‣ Shipment Trend<br />

60,000<br />

50%<br />

50,000<br />

39%<br />

36%<br />

31% 33% 34%<br />

31%<br />

36% 36%<br />

30%<br />

Ksqm<br />

40,000<br />

30,000<br />

20,000<br />

10,000<br />

10%<br />

-10%<br />

-30%<br />

0<br />

2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q<br />

2007 2008 2009<br />

Shipment (Ksqm) 16,002 16,382 16,107 16,019 16,733 15,943 15,407 14,815<br />

W/W Demand 40,515 45,890 51,735 48,846 49,349 51,310 43,112 41,670<br />

Share (Shipment/Demand) 39% 36% 31% 33% 34% 31% 36% 36%<br />

-50%<br />

Based on the results, we calculated approximate polarizer shipments in area basis. Polarizer price gap widens as to the method of<br />

processing remaining scrap and it corresponds to each maker’s technological ability such that comparison is made by adjusting<br />

into same area. The shipments in area basis is under assumption of WV polarizer manufactured in 1330mm width line. For<br />

reference, current WV price per 1m is about JPY 3000.<br />

Nitto Denko shipped 47 mil. square meter in 2006, 61 mil. square meter in 2007 and 64 mil. square meter in 2008. For each<br />

quarter, Nitto Denko has secured over 30% of global demands.<br />

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6. Major Polarizer Maker Trend (Revenue/Shipment)<br />

6.9. Revenue Growth Trend by Polarizer Maker<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

<strong>3.</strong>5<br />

<strong>3.</strong>0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

ACE Digitech<br />

Daxon<br />

LG Chem<br />

Nitto Denko<br />

Optimax<br />

Sanritz<br />

Sumitomo<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009<br />

Growth rate for each quarter was analyzed as base time being 1Q, 2006. Last 2 years show massive changes to polarizer makers<br />

including ACE Digitech, LG Chem., DAXON and Optimax.<br />

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7. Polarizer Supply Chain Status<br />

7.1. Note PC<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

SEC LGD Hydis TMD AUO CMO CPT IVO Hannstar Sharp<br />

Nitto Denko 35% 27% 45% 38% 26% 44% 50%<br />

Sanritz 25% 30%<br />

Sumitomo 15% 38% 30% 51% 98% 20%<br />

LG Chem 35% 100% 2% 28%<br />

ACE Digitech 50% 37%<br />

Optimax 11% 20%<br />

DAXON 11% 63% 56% 15%<br />

CMMT<br />

Skypolar<br />

Note PC<br />

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%<br />

Sumitomo<br />

34%<br />

ACE<br />

Digitech<br />

16%<br />

CMMT<br />

0%<br />

Daxon<br />

4%<br />

LG Chem<br />

12%<br />

The market share by NotePC polarizer maker for 1Q is led by Sumitomo with<br />

34% share followed by Nitto Denko with 31% at No.2 ranking. Nitto Denko<br />

and Sumitomo comprises over 60% of NotePC polarizer market. Also, ACE<br />

Digitech moved up to No.3 ranking with 16% global market share by<br />

supplying 50% of Samsung’s total demand.<br />

Sanritz<br />

2%<br />

Optimax<br />

1%<br />

Nitto<br />

Denko<br />

31%<br />

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8. Polarizer Supply & Demand and Price Trend<br />

8.2. Polarizer Price Trend (Under 20”)<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

12.0<br />

10.0<br />

8.0<br />

USD/Set<br />

6.0<br />

4.0<br />

2.0<br />

0.0<br />

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />

2008 2009 2010<br />

14.1" HC 4.0 <strong>3.</strong>8 <strong>3.</strong>6 <strong>3.</strong>5 <strong>3.</strong>3 <strong>3.</strong>3 <strong>3.</strong>1 2.9<br />

14.1" HC/Thin 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.2 4.0 <strong>3.</strong>7<br />

15.4" HC 4.6 4.4 4.2 <strong>3.</strong>9 <strong>3.</strong>7 <strong>3.</strong>5 <strong>3.</strong>4 <strong>3.</strong>2<br />

17" AG,WV 8.3 8.0 7.8 7.6 7.2 6.9 6.6 6.2<br />

18.5"W AG,WV 10.0 9.4 8.9 8.6 8.2 7.8 7.5 7.0<br />

19" AG,WV 9.7 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.5 8.1 7.8 7.4<br />

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Chapter 2. Polarizer Optical <strong>Film</strong> Market and<br />

Industry<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

1. PVA <strong>Film</strong><br />

2. PVA Protection <strong>Film</strong><br />

<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />

4. Anti-Reflective <strong>Film</strong><br />

5. PET Protection <strong>Film</strong> and Release <strong>Film</strong><br />

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<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

<strong>3.</strong>1. Overview<br />

<strong>3.</strong>1.1. Basic Characteristic and Process<br />

<strong>3.</strong>1.2. <strong>Compensation</strong> Principal upon Polarization Axis Adjustment<br />

<strong>3.</strong>1.<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> Principal by Mode<br />

<strong>3.</strong>1.4. Type of <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />

<strong>3.</strong>2. <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast<br />

<strong>3.</strong>2.1. Total Market Forecast<br />

<strong>3.</strong>2.2. Base <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast by Type<br />

<strong>3.</strong>2.<strong>3.</strong> Market by Mode<br />

<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Maker Trend<br />

<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong>1. Production Capacity and Line Trend by Maker<br />

<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong>2. <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Usage Status by Maker<br />

<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong> Market Share<br />

<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong>4. Supply Chain Status<br />

<strong>3.</strong>4. Price Trend<br />

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<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />

<strong>3.</strong>2. <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Market Forecast – Large-area <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> (IPS, VA Mode use)<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

‣Market Forecast by <strong>Film</strong> – Area base<br />

Ksqm<br />

350,000<br />

300,000<br />

290,538<br />

254,254<br />

250,000<br />

215,773<br />

200,000<br />

173,053<br />

150,000<br />

139,446<br />

112,123<br />

100,000<br />

50,000<br />

0<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />

Z-TAC 33,301 39,045 48,109 54,375 59,495 65,371<br />

Zeonor 16,733 19,941 22,324 27,403 30,256 33,993<br />

N-TAC 56,609 66,934 79,085 92,783 109,329 126,093<br />

J-Plate 0 1,394 3,461 8,199 12,077 14,527<br />

ESSINA 919 1,116 1,384 1,510 2,543 2,615<br />

B-TAC 3,434 9,761 17,305 30,208 39,409 46,486<br />

Arton 1,127 1,255 1,384 1,295 1,144 1,453<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />

Z-TAC 30% 28% 28% 25% 23% 23%<br />

Zeonor 15% 14% 13% 13% 12% 12%<br />

N-TAC 50% 48% 46% 43% 43% 43%<br />

J-Plate 0% 1% 2% 4% 5% 5%<br />

ESSINA 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%<br />

B-TAC 3% 7% 10% 14% 16% 16%<br />

Arton 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%<br />

Looking at by <strong>Film</strong>, Konica Minolta’s N-TAC that are utilized by Samsung, AUO and CMO as VA <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> is expected to<br />

record 48% market share followed by Z-TAC used in IPS at 28% and Zeonor used by Sharp and IPS-Alpha at 14%. As Fuji <strong>Film</strong>’s<br />

B-TAC aggressively trying to penetrate market, its market share is expected to grow to 7% in 2009.<br />

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<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />

<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Maker Trend<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

‣ Production Capacity & Line Trend by Maker – WV <strong>Film</strong><br />

Ksqm/Year<br />

<strong>Film</strong> Company Nation Location Start 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />

Odawara L1 2,004 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000<br />

Odawara L2 200508 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000<br />

WV<br />

Fuji <strong>Film</strong><br />

Odawara L3 200606 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000<br />

Yosida L4 200705 12,000 12,000 12,000<br />

Yosida L5 200803 12,000 12,000<br />

Yosida L6 09/1Q 15,000<br />

Total 12,000 24,000 36,000 48,000 60,000 75,000<br />

The capacity of TAC based on <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong>s(B-TAC, Z-TAC, N-TAC) are included in Normal TAC Capa.<br />

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<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />

<strong>3.</strong><strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Maker Trend<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

‣ <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> Usage Trend by Panel Maker<br />

2009,Q1<br />

AU Optronics CMO CPT HannStar IPS Alpha LG Display Samsung Electronics Sharp<br />

Arton 0% 0% 0% 0% 28% 0% 0% 0%<br />

B-TAC 16% 11% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0%<br />

ESSINA 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0%<br />

J-Plate 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0%<br />

N-TAC 42% 42% 21% 0% 0% 3% 68% 0%<br />

WV 36% 40% 76% 100% 0% 29% 31% 2%<br />

Zeonor 7% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 98%<br />

Z-TAC 0% 0% 0% 0% 72% 65% 0% 0%<br />

Above is <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong> penetration rate by panel makers. (based on large-area)<br />

Fuji <strong>Film</strong> began aggressively marketing B-TAC. And in 2009, one can see growing usages for B-TAC gradually and if Samsung Electronics takes “2<br />

Vendor” route for compensation film, fierce competition between B-TAC and N-TAC is expected.<br />

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<strong>3.</strong> <strong>Compensation</strong> <strong>Film</strong><br />

<strong>3.</strong>4. Price Trend<br />

Report Tile: Polarizer & Optical <strong>Film</strong>s<br />

Date: 2009.06<br />

1,600<br />

1,400<br />

1,200<br />

Yen/Ksqm<br />

1,000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Arton 822 748 700 680<br />

B-TAC 935 600 520 470<br />

ESSINA 714 614 570 540<br />

J-Plate 400 360 340 331<br />

N-TAC 710 600 520 474<br />

Zeonor 783 720 690 662<br />

Z-TAC 837 693 645 599<br />

WV 1,374 1,261 1,165 1,074<br />

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