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Slides Chapter 1. Measure Theory and Probability

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<strong>1.</strong>4. PROBABILITY MEASURES<br />

Proposition <strong>1.</strong>6 (Sequential continuity of the probability)<br />

Let(Ω,A,P)beaprobabilityspace. Then,foranysequence{A n }<br />

of events from A it holds<br />

P<br />

(<br />

lim<br />

n→∞ A n<br />

)<br />

= lim<br />

n→∞<br />

P(A n ).<br />

Example <strong>1.</strong>12 Considerther<strong>and</strong>omexperimentofselectingr<strong>and</strong>omly<br />

a number from [0,1]. Then the sample space is Ω = [0,1].<br />

Consider also the Borel σ-algebra restricted to [0,1] <strong>and</strong> define the<br />

function<br />

g(x) = P([0,x]), x ∈ (0,1).<br />

Proof that g is always right continuous, for each probability measure<br />

P that we choose.<br />

Example <strong>1.</strong>13 (Construction of a probability measure<br />

for countable Ω)<br />

If Ω is finite or countable, the σ-algebra that is typically chosen<br />

is P(Ω). In this case, in order to define a probability function, it<br />

suffices to define the probabilities of the elementary events {a i } as<br />

P({a i }) = p i , ∀a i ∈ Ω with the condition that ∑ i p i = 1, p i ≥ 0,<br />

∀i. Then, ∀A ⊂ Ω,<br />

P(A) = ∑ a i ∈A<br />

P({a i }) = ∑ a i ∈Ap i .<br />

Example <strong>1.</strong>14 (Construction of a probability measure<br />

in (IR,B))<br />

How can we construct a probability measure in (IR,B)? In general,<br />

it is not possible to define a probability measure by assigning<br />

directly a numerical value to each A ∈ B, since then probably the<br />

axioms of Kolmogoroff will not be satisfied.<br />

ISABEL MOLINA 16

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