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Slides Chapter 1. Measure Theory and Probability

Slides Chapter 1. Measure Theory and Probability

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<strong>1.</strong>4. PROBABILITY MEASURES<br />

By axiom (ii), a probability function is a measure for which the<br />

measure of the sample space Ω is <strong>1.</strong> The triplet (Ω,A,P), where<br />

P is a probability P, is called probability space.<br />

Example <strong>1.</strong>10 Fortheexperiment(a)describedinExample<strong>1.</strong>8,<br />

with the measurable space (Ω,A), where<br />

define<br />

Ω = {“head”,“tail”}, A = {∅,{“head”},{“tail”},Ω},<br />

P 1 (∅) = 0, P 1 ({“head”}) = p, P 1 ({“tail”}) = 1−p, P 1 (Ω) = 1,<br />

where p ∈ [0,1]. This function verifies the axioms of Kolmogoroff.<br />

Example <strong>1.</strong>11 For the experiment (b) described is Example <strong>1.</strong>8,<br />

with the measurable space (Ω,P(Ω)), define:<br />

• For the elementary events, the probability is<br />

P({0}) = 0.131, P({1}) = 0.272, P({2}) = 0.27, P({3}) = 0.183,<br />

P({4}) = 0.09, P({5}) = 0.012, P({6}) = 0.00095, P({7}) = 0.00005,<br />

P(∅) = 0, P({i}) = 0, ∀i ≥ 8.<br />

• For other events, the probability is defined as the sum of the<br />

probabilities of the elementary events contains in that event,<br />

that is, if A = {a 1 ,...,a n }, where a i ∈ Ω are the elementary<br />

events, the probability of A is<br />

n∑<br />

P(A) = P({a i }).<br />

i=1<br />

This function verifies the axioms of Kolmogoroff.<br />

Proposition <strong>1.</strong>4 (Properties of the probability)<br />

The following properties are consequence of the axioms of Kolmogoroff:<br />

ISABEL MOLINA 14

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