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OUTLOOK 13


CONTENTS<br />

INTRODUCTION 2<br />

THE CONSUMER 4<br />

TELEVISION 6<br />

NEWS MEDIA 8<br />

ONLINE 10<br />

RADIO 12<br />

OUT OF HOME 14<br />

CINEMA 16<br />

SPONSORSHIP 18<br />

DIRECT MARKETING 20<br />

1


2013 is the year we expect to see a return to growth in the advertising economy in the<br />

Republic of Ireland. After five consecutive years of decline, we believe the market will now<br />

begin to reflect the stability and delicate growth that we are seeing elsewhere in the<br />

economy. Overall we forecast 0.7% growth to a total of €698m but this is being driven by<br />

the digital sector, which we expect to increase by almost 11% in the Republic. Excluding<br />

digital, the underlying position is less favorable, showing a decline of 2%.<br />

In Northern Ireland, we anticipate a rise in digital spending of circa 8% this year, but this<br />

will be the only sector to see any growth, and overall we are forecasting a fall in total spend<br />

of 2.1% to €159m, due to weak demand again this year.<br />

When we look at advertising spend on a per capita basis, the difference between the two<br />

markets becomes very clear. The level of advertising spend in ROI per capita is €156,<br />

compared with only €89 in NI. This is an indicator of the underlying weakness in the<br />

region, despite growing business and consumer confidence.<br />

Reflecting on the last five years, it occurs to us that one of the key factors contributing to<br />

the fall in spend across the island is the lack of evidence within marketing departments<br />

regarding how effective their investment was and the implications of cutting back.<br />

Every marketer should be able to answer the following question “what percentage of your<br />

total sales is exclusively attributable to your marketing activities?” The reality is very few<br />

have this knowledge. However, it is likely that most would know what their brand<br />

awareness is from their latest brand tracker, but how useful is that? How does that help<br />

you to prepare a marketing plan, present a budget proposal, or allocate your marketing<br />

resources effectively?<br />

2<br />

INTRODUCTION<br />

ADVERTISING INVESTMENT PER CAPITA<br />

IN THE REPUBLIC OF IRELAND IS 75%<br />

GREATER THAN NORTHERN IRELAND


Surely, knowing precisely what marketing contributes to your business is essential and it<br />

can be established by investing in market mix modeling. However, analysis of this kind is<br />

still demoted in favour of softer, blunter research into brand awareness and brand equity,<br />

which does little to quantify the impact of marketing on sales or enable marketers to<br />

optimise the mix of their investments.<br />

Ask yourself, which would help you to convince your Finance Director more….a) being<br />

able to show that 20% of your total sales revenue relies on marketing and that cutting the<br />

budget will result in sales decline of 10%, or b) showing him/her your top-of-mind<br />

awareness trend and what the consumer thinks of your brand? There’s only one answer,<br />

really, isn’t there?<br />

In our opinion, too much money and time is invested in brand tracking and too little in<br />

modeling and other forms of marketing analytics.<br />

In Ireland less than €500,000 is spent per annum on market mix modeling. That is a dismal<br />

0.06% of the total media spend (North & South). In the UK it is 0.69%, eleven and a half<br />

times greater than the Irish figure! In the US the investment level is greater again and a<br />

recent survey of marketing directors found companies expect to increase the analytics<br />

portion of their marketing budgets by 60% in the next three years.<br />

We are not saying that you shouldn’t invest in brand tracking. It can be genuinely useful in<br />

helping a company monitor its brand equity over time and identify potential problems. It<br />

can also provide useful intelligence on key competitors in terms of brand preference and<br />

where your brand sits on the consideration set. However, we believe it is given too much<br />

emphasis and carried out too often. When is the last time you ever came out of a brand<br />

tracking presentation feeling inspired?<br />

Investment in marketing analytics will give you immediate guidance on how to grow your<br />

profit. When used in conjunction with all the data that is washing around our companies,<br />

it will help to properly evaluate marketing performance, gain insight into purchasing habits,<br />

and make evidence-based marketing decisions.<br />

The use of this so-called ‘Big Data’ is helping organisations of all kinds anticipate the future.<br />

Police departments internationally are increasingly using historic data to predict where and<br />

when crimes may happen and Barack Obama used it to win a second term by assigning<br />

every voter in the country a pair of scores based on the probability that they would a) cast<br />

a ballot and b) support Obama.<br />

So is this the Holy Grail? No, it’s just one part of it, so is brand tracking but overreliance<br />

on it will slow you down. Remember, if you do what you’ve always done, you’ll get what<br />

you’ve always gotten.<br />

726.4<br />

Total Advertising Spend (€m)<br />

693.0 697.8<br />

Ok, now that we have that off our chest…the following pages provide a snapshot of the<br />

key developments we expect to see this year across the main industry sectors. We hope<br />

you find the document useful. If you wish to discuss any of the issues, please feel free to<br />

call me on +353 1 649 6458.<br />

In the meantime, best wishes for 2013.<br />

Alan Cox<br />

168.2<br />

162.0 158.7<br />

2011 2012 2013<br />

ROI<br />

NI<br />

Source: Core Media Estimates<br />

UK INVESTMENT IN MARKET<br />

MIX MODELLING IS 11.5 TIMES<br />

GREATER THAN IRELAND<br />

3


4<br />

THE<br />

CONSUMER<br />

Something pivotal happened in 2012; or rather something pivotal didn’t happen. Our worst<br />

fears were not realised; it was certainly a mixed year, but it’s worth noting that “mixed” is an<br />

improvement on previous years.<br />

There is a sense of a fundamental shift in the air. 2013 is being heralded as the first year we can<br />

start to look forward again, as opposed to the years of backward glances and naval gazing.<br />

In the Republic of Ireland, away from the sound bites and politicking, Budget 2013 was one of<br />

pain, certainly, but also progress. It was our fifth ‘recessionary’ budget, but it’s worth noting<br />

that as defined in pure economic terms, neither the Republic nor Northern Ireland are in<br />

recession. Although growth is admittedly weak both sides of the border, sentiment surveys are<br />

showing some signs of recovery, albeit from a low base.<br />

Sentiment indices for 2012 have been the strongest in four years in ROI and are on the rise in<br />

NI. Figures for January this year in the Republic continued the recent upward trend and received<br />

a considerable ‘bounce’ after the predictable fall off in December.<br />

The budget also prioritised business, in terms of the Foreign Direct Investment and SME sectors,<br />

rather than domestic spending, which seems a prudent medium-term strategy. As a result, there<br />

will be no huge change in consumer spending in 2013, rather a more measured approach.<br />

However, high street retail sales in ROI have begun to turn a corner in the last few months of<br />

2012, with December seeing a volume increase of 0.8%. More encouragingly, the value of these<br />

sales was up by 1.1%.<br />

Two of the key factors affecting sentiment in 2013 will be the Irish presidency of the EU, and<br />

the G8 summit in Northern Ireland; both of which are leading to considerable international focus.<br />

It was timely that our presidency corresponded with the final crunch talks on the promissory<br />

notes debacle, and perhaps it was of some help in securing the landmark agreement. While<br />

the Government’s success will have little impact on our individual pockets, the new deal should<br />

signal a significant increase in consumer confidence and faith in the future.<br />

As a central bank source said recently in the press, “It’s not that paradise starts tomorrow. It’s<br />

not heaven on earth all of a sudden. It’s a good first step”<br />

So, what are the key trends in addressing consumers in 2013?<br />

“IT’S NOT THAT PARADISE STARTS TOMORROW<br />

IT’S NOT HEAVEN ON EARTH ALL OF A SUDDEN<br />

IT’S A GOOD FIRST STEP”


01 RESEARCH<br />

Researching and understanding the consumer has<br />

always been important. However, many brands<br />

are guilty of neglecting the fact that consumers<br />

also conduct research. A recent study by Google<br />

has highlighted that almost every purchase is<br />

researched by consumers. Google have dubbed<br />

this the “Zero Moment of Truth”. Consumers are<br />

looking for proof points before purchasing, as<br />

opposed to the classical view of marketing in<br />

which trial was the proof point.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

The research period often lasts longer than a<br />

standard campaign or burst of advertising,<br />

leading to a clear role for search advertising and<br />

behavioural targeting. Using these tools to<br />

ensure that your brand appears during the<br />

research period will give the brand vital stand<br />

out during a key stage. It is the digital equivalent<br />

of making sure the shelves are stocked and the<br />

doors are open for business.<br />

CONSUMER CONFIDENCE<br />

RECOVERING IN ROI AND NI<br />

02 BE HONEST, NOT PERFECT 03 MEDIUM TERM PLANNING<br />

This was an opportunity area we identified<br />

twelve months ago and it is still rich and fertile<br />

territory, perhaps more so. Brands have a real<br />

opportunity to learn from the emerging<br />

technology sector and start ups, who constantly<br />

act on customer feedback to improve products.<br />

The benefit of this approach is that brands begin<br />

an honest dialogue with consumers.<br />

The brand can get real time, beneficial feedback<br />

and take actions which will lead to real success.<br />

In addition, the consumer gets their opinion<br />

heard, gets to genuinely improve the product<br />

and has reason to become an advocate.<br />

Mistakes will happen and consumers respect<br />

that; it’s how you respond that matters.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

Be open. Be honest. Tell consumers what went<br />

wrong. Use the dialogue allowed by social<br />

media to apologise, to discuss with and to help<br />

consumers out of the situation.<br />

Being contrite about mistakes, and canvassing<br />

opinions on products and advertising can be<br />

extremely beneficial. It helps personify the<br />

brand, and moves the relationship away from<br />

the commodity territory into something deeper.<br />

Changing consumer behaviour takes time. We<br />

often over-emphasise the importance of one<br />

year, and under-emphasise the importance of<br />

three and five year cycles. Consumer decisions<br />

are rarely sudden; they take time to form and<br />

develop. Advertising is most effective when it<br />

is consistent and long-term, continuously<br />

driving consideration; facts supported by IPA<br />

and Thinkbox show that consistent presence<br />

can be up to twice as effective as bursts.<br />

“Going dark” for periods of time leads to a drop<br />

in consumer intent, and money needs to be<br />

reinvested in recapturing that lost awareness.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

Brands prepared to take a longer view stand to<br />

make considerable gains. There are efficiencies<br />

in terms of awareness planning, and ad stock<br />

development, not to mention real business<br />

benefits from setting three year objectives.<br />

Prioritising messaging and products over a<br />

longer period will also provide a significant<br />

advantage versus competitor brands and<br />

translate sustained awareness into sales.<br />

“Always on” approaches should be explored.<br />

This doesn’t have to mean larger budgets; it can<br />

often be achieved by re-phasing; moving to<br />

lighter and longer campaigns.<br />

ROI<br />

Dec 09 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12<br />

Source: KBC/ESRI (ROI) & Danske Bank (NI)<br />

Different index bases<br />

For illustration only<br />

NI<br />

SEARCH ADVERTISING IS THE DIGITAL<br />

EQUIVALENT OF MAKING SURE THE<br />

SHELVES ARE STOCKED, AND THE DOORS<br />

ARE OPEN FOR BUSINESS<br />

5


Smart TVs, tablets, video-on-demand, catch-up, SKY Go, 3-D, Ultra HD, Netflix and Apple TV<br />

are just a few of the technological advances that have revolutionised how we watch ‘television’<br />

content. 2013 will be the year that we understand how this is affecting consumers.<br />

However, before predicting the future it is important to comment on the present. Television viewing<br />

in Ireland is higher than ever before. The average adult watched 3 hours and 35 minutes of TV in<br />

2012, an increase of 19% on 2000. Even young adults under 34, who are generally early adopters<br />

of technology, are watching 4% more TV than 2000. In Northern Ireland, viewing is up 29% in the<br />

last five years for adults. The faster rate of growth in NI is due to infrastructure upgrades, which<br />

increased the number of homes with multi-channel television.<br />

So, why is television performing this well despite the challenges of a digital world? The main<br />

reason has been the growth of Digital Video Recorders (DVRs) which are now in 53% of all<br />

homes in the Republic and 44% in the North; the easy access they provide to content means<br />

there is always something to watch. In fact, homes with DVRs watch 16% more TV content.<br />

Although TV viewing is on the up, viewing to commercial breaks is not. One consequence of<br />

the TV revolution has been the ability to “ad-skip”. In the US where the DVR market is mature,<br />

55% of commercials are skipped when time-shifted. This compares to only 30% in less mature<br />

markets such as the UK & Ireland.<br />

It is important to note that the above figures are for time-shifted viewing only. Despite all the<br />

hype surrounding DVRs the vast majority of our viewing is still watched “live”. In Ireland only<br />

8.4% of viewing is time-shifted; therefore, only 3% of all TV commercials seen in a day are<br />

skipped. Not in my household, you may reply, but remember you are not a typical viewer.<br />

It is naive to suggest that things will always be this way; skipping will inevitably increase and<br />

become a major issue in years to come as consumers become more used to time-shifting.<br />

However, this is taking longer than expected and in 2013 commercial impacts are only likely to<br />

decline by 1% due to this technology. Other factors relating to falling programming budgets may<br />

result in an additional 2% fall in commercial impacts.<br />

In terms of spend, TV will see a return to growth this year of 1% in the Republic, but we expect<br />

a 2% decline in Northern Ireland due to lower demand in the region.<br />

6<br />

TELEVISION<br />

ONLY 3% OF ALL TV COMMERCIALS ARE FAST<br />

FORWARDED


01 SECOND SCREENS<br />

The combination of internet access and TV<br />

viewing presents interesting opportunities for<br />

advertisers. 58% of Irish viewers are online<br />

while watching TV with the consequence that<br />

viewers can be active consumers at the same<br />

time. In 2013, we will see this figure increase<br />

as penetration of tablets rise; owners of these<br />

devices are 20% more likely to watch TV and<br />

surf at the same time than owners of other<br />

computers. Furthermore, 63% of Facebook<br />

users say they “often or sometimes” use the<br />

site when watching television.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

In 2013 we will see broadcasters offer more crossmedia<br />

opportunities that harness this media<br />

meshing. Indeed, future content will be produced<br />

with this in mind. Different genres of programming<br />

experience quite different reactions in social<br />

media, as can be seen from the Homeland & X-<br />

Factor examples shown in the chart below. This<br />

will influence scheduling of TV commercials to<br />

obtain the highest levels of engagement. Across<br />

Europe 33% of ‘second-screen’ viewing is directly<br />

related to the content being watched on the<br />

television; this highlights the importance of a<br />

consistent online and TV strategy.<br />

02 ADDRESSABLE ADS 03 VIDEO-ON-DEMAND<br />

Soon, with the advent of “return path data” from<br />

set-top boxes, broadcasters will be able to play<br />

out seperate commercials to individual<br />

households. Advertisers will be able to target<br />

campaigns to exactly the people they want to<br />

reach. In effect, two households on the same<br />

street will see different commercials depending<br />

on their location, affluence, children’s ages, life<br />

stage, and financial outlook. SKY will begin<br />

testing this technology in Northern Ireland in Q3<br />

2013 and in the Republic in Q2 2014.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

While this may be seen as the Holy Grail, there<br />

are some data protection issues; unlike the UK<br />

(incl. NI) where customers have to opt-out of<br />

giving their personal information when signing up<br />

to TV services, consumers in the Republic of<br />

Ireland have to opt-in. This could significantly<br />

reduce the number of addressable homes in the<br />

Republic, although Sky is searching for a way to<br />

circumvent this problem. There will also be issues<br />

regarding the way airtime is sold, which will lead<br />

to higher priced inventory, but<br />

ultimately more efficient<br />

campaigns.<br />

TWEETING PATTERNS<br />

VARY BY PROGRAMME<br />

Overall, online video viewership is still very<br />

small compared to traditional television. If we<br />

include all video-on-demand (VOD) touchpoints<br />

available to Irish advertisers (players, networks<br />

and YouTube), the market is only delivering 2.7%<br />

of commercial impacts. One trend that will<br />

grow the size of the VOD market is the increase<br />

in homes without a TV set. The recent digital<br />

switchover in ROI has already caused the<br />

number of TV homes to fall from 96% to 93% of<br />

households. It is reasonable to assume that a<br />

significant percentage of these homes are now<br />

watching television purely online.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

Despite being a small element of the market,<br />

the audience watching TV online is significant<br />

and growing. It is also young, a segment that<br />

TV stations are finding harder to reach.<br />

However, research into its contribution is thin.<br />

Google and Channel 4 have both conducted<br />

studies in the UK, but nothing in Ireland. We<br />

are keen to make our own assessment, and in<br />

2013 Core Media will produce its own research<br />

into how VOD affects TV campaigns on this<br />

island.<br />

TV SPEND (€M)<br />

213.0<br />

200.3 202.0<br />

97.4 91.6 89.7<br />

2011 2012 2013<br />

ROI NI<br />

Source: Core Media Estimates<br />

XFACTOR<br />

Source: Second Sync<br />

HOMELAND<br />

VIDEO ON DEMAND ACCOUNTS<br />

FOR ONLY 2.7% OF TOTAL<br />

COMMERCIAL AUDIENCE<br />

7


As stated in last year’s outlook, the “news” part of newspapers is doing fine. It’s the “paper”<br />

part that’s the issue. In the intervening time, most of the industry have accepted this. Last<br />

summer, the Newspaper Marketing Agency, the body that seeks to raise awareness of the value<br />

of newspapers in the UK, was rebranded as Newsworks. This new name, removing the word<br />

"newspaper" from the title, is indicative of the changed landscape of the industry. Similarly, its<br />

members are now referred to as “newsbrands”.<br />

This change is symbolic of the new reality in the national press industry, which now needs to<br />

operate across a range of different platforms – desktop computers, laptops, tablets and<br />

smartphones - as well as print.<br />

While this might appear cosmetic, there is no doubting the importance of branding. A product’s<br />

brand is a statement of intent. Not only does it inform its users what to expect and what it<br />

stands for, it also helps the company stay focused and inspired. 2012 was a tough year and<br />

another lean year is predicted. An industry-wide reframing and renaming of the newspaper<br />

business will show how the sector is embracing the changing way news is being consumed.<br />

Removing words like “paper”, “print” and the related iconography from the industry’s awards<br />

ceremonies, representative bodies etc. will bring more integration and will encourage agencies<br />

to incorporate the full scope of what each publisher has to offer.<br />

8<br />

NEWS<br />

MEDIA<br />

INTEREST IN NEWS IS SOLID<br />

READERS ARE MERELY CHOOSING DIFFERENT<br />

METHODS OF CONSUMPTION


01 BIGGER DATA<br />

While there is no doubt that the Joint National<br />

Readership Survey (JNRS) is a very robust piece of<br />

research, the content has been growing less relevant.<br />

Alternative sources such as Target Group Index (TGI)<br />

are being used to make ‘macro’ planning decisions,<br />

given the greater breadth of information available<br />

through lifestyle statements and brand consumption.<br />

That said, the JNRS data is still the currency by which<br />

‘micro’ planning decisions are made, due to the larger<br />

sample size of the survey. There is a clear need for<br />

research that combines the robustness of the JNRS<br />

with the flexibility and usability of TGI. Another issue<br />

has been the lack of research that combined the print<br />

and digital audiences for news media.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

The industry understands the need for change and<br />

has taken positive steps forward. Firstly, it has<br />

tackled the digital issue; respondents are now being<br />

asked about their consumption of the print, digital and<br />

online iterations of a title. Top-line results will be<br />

released in the next survey, with full data available in<br />

the autumn. Initial results are very encouraging,<br />

showing what every smart planner suspected;<br />

consumption of news is solid; readers are merely<br />

choosing different methods of consumption.<br />

Secondly, the NNI is joining representatives from<br />

Radio, TV, Outdoor and IAPI to explore the<br />

introduction of a cross-media research initiative,<br />

which would provide a holistic and robust view of<br />

consumers’ media behaviours.<br />

NEWSPAPER/<br />

MAGAZINE SPEND (€M)<br />

300,000<br />

250,000<br />

200,000<br />

02 PAY TO PLAY 03 A MATTER OF TRUST<br />

The perennial question “why would I pay for content<br />

that I can get for free?” still needs a decisive industrywide<br />

answer. This is a challenge all publishers must<br />

face, as digital editions become a larger part of their<br />

business. According to the Audit Bureau of<br />

Circulations in the US, digital newspaper<br />

subscriptions saw a surge of 63% in 2012. It now<br />

accounts for 14% of the total circulation mix. A<br />

standardised global payment model needs to be in<br />

place before the end of 2013 if Irish news media are<br />

to capitalise on a digital “cover price”.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

Are Ireland’s readers ready to subscribe to premium<br />

content? We think the answer is a resounding “yes”.<br />

The proliferation of tablets, consoles and smartphones<br />

has normalised low-cost digital subscriptions.<br />

Some newspaper titles are having success through<br />

the introduction of a pay-walled digital & paper model.<br />

The New York Times has grown its total paid<br />

circulation by over 40% to 1.6 million. This is split<br />

roughly 50/50 between the digital and paper versions,<br />

but from Monday - Friday there are around 25% more<br />

digital subscribers than paper. On Sunday, however,<br />

it is reversed with 47% more papers sold than online<br />

subscriptions.<br />

With international precedent and<br />

local appetite, our titles should<br />

commit to a standardised pay<br />

structure, which will place<br />

real value on the premium<br />

nature of the product.<br />

GLOBAL DEVICE SHIPMENTS<br />

TABLETS<br />

A recent study by the Annenberg Centre in the US<br />

found most internet users have limited trust in the<br />

information they find online. Only 40% of users said<br />

that most or all of the information on the Internet<br />

is reliable – a decline from 55% in 2000.<br />

Internet users rated newspapers highly for the<br />

quality of news content, the breadth of coverage<br />

and the trustworthiness of the reporting.<br />

Furthermore, 63% of online users said they<br />

would miss the print edition of their newspaper<br />

if it was no longer available, an increase of seven<br />

percentage points since 2007.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

The lack of trust that consumers have in content<br />

they find online represents the greatest<br />

argument for news brands to embrace the<br />

digital challenge. It also makes a clear business<br />

case for charging users for this trust.<br />

Trust is the most valuable asset that any news<br />

brand could hope to attain. It takes many years<br />

to nurture and Irish publishers have it in spades.<br />

It is important that they push forward with plans<br />

to monetise this competitive advantage whilst<br />

they still have it. In a world of confusion and<br />

fragmentation, trust is the most valuable<br />

commodity of all.<br />

215.5<br />

184.0<br />

170.0<br />

27.8 26.5 24.9<br />

2011 2012 2013<br />

ROI NI<br />

Source: Core Media Estimates<br />

150,000<br />

100,000<br />

50,000<br />

SMARTPHONES<br />

PCS<br />

1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12<br />

Source: Gartner, IDC, Strategy<br />

Analytics company releases<br />

TRUST IS THE TRUMP CARD THAT<br />

NEWS BRANDS HAVE TO PLAY IN<br />

THE DIGITAL FUTURE<br />

9


In 2012 investment in online media increased by 14% on an all-Ireland basis, taking 22% share<br />

of total media investment in the Republic, but only 10% in Northern Ireland. The key drivers of<br />

growth have been ‘richer’ ad formats (e.g. home page takeovers), video-on-demand and mobile.<br />

This growth is set to continue and by 2015 we expect online will be the largest media sector in<br />

the Irish market, commanding 28% share of spend.<br />

The advent of programmatic media buying will gain momentum this year as more Real-Time<br />

Buying (RTB) solutions become available. This will open up new options for direct response<br />

advertisers to derive stronger return on investment, as these platforms allow for greater targeting<br />

and use of campaign data.<br />

Search is still dominated by Google, which accounts for 95% of revenue. Bing has failed to make<br />

an impact so far, which is unfortunate because the market needs an injection of competition.<br />

Mobile spend is growing and is likely to reach €4m in ROI this year. The NI market is at an<br />

earlier stage of development and investment is likely to remain under €500k in 2013. However,<br />

this is just the beginning; by 2016 mobile spend will treble to almost €15m across the island.<br />

2013 will see further growth in the tablet space with increased choice and possibilities. By the<br />

end of this year there could be 1.25 million devices in NI & ROI combined.<br />

The growth in social media penetration is leveling off, with over 3 million people on the island<br />

using at least one of the social networks. However, usage continues to rise as smartphones<br />

open up the ‘always-on’ culture. Facebook, YouTube and Twitter continue to be pervasive, but<br />

we see discreet audiences building across other networks such as Tumblr, Pinterest and<br />

Instagram. For the B2B market Linkedin is still the only game in town, with over 800,000 monthly<br />

users across the island.<br />

We shouldn’t write off Google+, because the company is determined to position it as the glue<br />

that brings together its interfaces across search, mobile and software. As social content<br />

becomes more search-friendly expect to see Google+ being used as part of more effective SEO<br />

strategies in 2013.<br />

10<br />

ONLINE<br />

BY 2015 ONLINE WILL BE THE LARGEST MEDIUM IN<br />

IRELAND WITH 28% MARKET SHARE


01 MOBILE EVERYTHING<br />

Consumers have adapted to smartphones in huge<br />

numbers; penetration has passed the 50% mark in<br />

ROI and is approaching 40% in NI. Up to 3 million<br />

devices will be in use across the island before the end<br />

of the year. However, an estimated 95% of Irish<br />

websites are not built for mobile; they are too fat and<br />

cumbersome. Expecting a consumer to squeeze and<br />

pinch a content heavy site will just lead to losing<br />

them. With mobile Internet usage forecasted to<br />

overtake desktop usage, every business needs to<br />

rethink how they are presented online; a mobile-first<br />

strategy is what’s needed.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

Any brand that relies on its website to deliver business<br />

results needs to have a strong mobile presence. Sites<br />

and content management systems need to work<br />

across all Internet platforms, creating a seamless<br />

experience for the consumer. Techniques such as<br />

‘responsive design’ will become more prevalent, as<br />

they allow for the development of one master site that<br />

will intuitively work across all devices.<br />

Consumer behaviour on mobile is different to the<br />

more familiar desktop behaviours. It is imperative<br />

that site owners gain an understanding of this new<br />

realm by implementing effective tracking and<br />

usability studies. In a few years desktop Internet may<br />

be a secondary market as consumers move to other<br />

devices such as the smartphone, tablet & smart TV.<br />

130.0<br />

ONLINE SPEND (€M)<br />

150.7<br />

167.0<br />

15.3 16.2 17.5<br />

2011 2012 2013<br />

ROI<br />

NI<br />

Source: Core Media Estimates<br />

02 LISTEN & LEARN 03 DATA<br />

The Social Graph is the network of content that<br />

search engines such as Google trawls to provide<br />

consumers with opinion and feedback on everything<br />

from world politics to the best marinade sauce. These<br />

searches are not only being done via the traditional<br />

search engines; ‘social search’ is also becoming an<br />

important feature of the market.<br />

Many brand owners are not recognising the power<br />

and influence of the Social Graph as a means to<br />

understand consumers - what they are saying about<br />

your brand, your competitors, what they like, what<br />

they dislike, what they want. Effective social listening<br />

provides insight on tap and, in the right hands, will<br />

power a business like never before.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

Every consumer segment is now online, so brands<br />

need effective social listening programmes to garner<br />

insight from the Social Graph. This is not about<br />

collating the comments on a Facebook page but a<br />

formal structure for aggregating social content and<br />

opinion to generate insight.<br />

It is important that social insight is treated as<br />

seriously as other forms of research used for<br />

marketing planning. It will deliver<br />

results when structured<br />

ONLINE SPEND BY TYPE<br />

CLASSIFIED<br />

21%<br />

DISPLAY<br />

34%<br />

Source: IAB/Core Media<br />

SEARCH<br />

45%<br />

effectively. But, remember<br />

a brand cannot be so<br />

democratic that it<br />

actually listens to<br />

everyone. Part of<br />

the reason a brand<br />

actually exists is<br />

because it offers a<br />

specific point of<br />

view.<br />

All companies are producing massive amounts<br />

of data as a by-product of their interactions with<br />

consumers. However, most companies are not<br />

harnessing this opportunity for commercial<br />

gain. Companies like Amazon, Google and<br />

Facebook only make business decisions based<br />

on highly sophisticated data-led insights, and<br />

that data is the driver of their business success.<br />

A recent survey by Experian found that 72% of<br />

companies have started to implement a ‘single<br />

customer view’, but… only 2% can currently<br />

integrate all of the data they capture. It is<br />

mission critical that all companies have a data<br />

strategy to refine their business planning and<br />

grow revenue.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

Organising data within a business can be<br />

complicated as there tends to be multiple,<br />

unconnected sources that need to be brought<br />

together. When effectively aggregated, this<br />

data can facilitate better strategic decisions as<br />

well as identifying immediate opportunities to<br />

tailor, personalise and track the outcome of<br />

marketing messages faster than previously<br />

possible. Imagine being able to feed data from<br />

this morning’s retail sales into this afternoon’s<br />

search & display campaigns; it would shorten<br />

sales cycles, reduce wastage and increase<br />

profitability.<br />

ONLY 5% OF IRISH WEBSITES<br />

ARE MOBILE READY<br />

11


We expect radio to fare better than most media in the Republic of Ireland with 1.5% growth in<br />

spend this year, due to its ability to attract revenue from local advertisers, who will become<br />

more active in 2013. The Northern Ireland market will be less fortunate with spend levels likely<br />

to fall back by 2%.<br />

Despite the small growth in spend in ROI, many stations will continue to struggle financially;<br />

we estimate that less than 50% of stations are profitable in the current climate. Thankfully, the<br />

BAI has relaxed its 20% rule in relation to news and current affairs content on music-driven/niche<br />

stations. Broadcasters such as Phantom and Nova have received approval to reduce their<br />

current affairs output to 12% and 10% respectively, whereas Beat’s requirement has fallen to<br />

15%. These changes will reduce the overhead burden and improve the flow of programming<br />

across the day on these stations.<br />

Radio broadcasters in the Republic feel they have been put at a disadvantage since television<br />

commercial codes were relaxed in 2011 with the introduction of product placement. They will<br />

continue to lobby the Broadcasting Authority to permit commercial references to be integrated<br />

within programming, as is the case in Northern Ireland. We expect the BAI to take these<br />

concerns on board and make the appropriate changes.<br />

The development of digital broadcasting has stalled in the Republic. Digital, in one guise or<br />

another, will inevitably take over from analogue in the future, but it will be interesting to see if<br />

it’s DAB or internet radio that wins in the long run.<br />

The emergence of internet ‘pure-play’ streaming services is an exciting development that poses<br />

a serious threat to the domestic radio sector in the medium term. Traditional radio will endure<br />

because people want the two-way relationship, but according to research we carried out in<br />

January, 18% of regular listeners listen to radio for music, and for no other reason. This is a<br />

substantial minority who are likely to convert to the online option gradually over the next few<br />

years.<br />

12<br />

RADIO<br />

18% OF REGULAR RADIO LISTENERS LISTEN TO<br />

RADIO FOR MUSIC, AND FOR NO OTHER REASON


01 INTERNET RADIO<br />

In the future, the industry’s focus will shift from the<br />

repetitive nature of formatted radio to a concentration<br />

on the user experience and real choice that internet<br />

radio offers. We are not referring to simulcasting of FM<br />

transmissions online, but the exciting development of<br />

‘pure-play’, where the listener designs their own music<br />

channel, and can pause or skip the music. This form of<br />

radio has taken off in the United States, where the<br />

market leader, Pandora, already has 66 million active<br />

users and 8% share of all radio listening.<br />

Pandora is not accessible in Ireland, but similar<br />

services are available; the most recent addition,<br />

Spotify, has a database of over 18 million songs,<br />

providing users with vast choice across all genres.<br />

Users can select a free service (with advertising) or<br />

premium commercial-free options ranging from<br />

€4.99 to €9.99 per month. Since its launch in ROI in<br />

November Spotify has secured 65,000 active users<br />

and hopes to reach 140,000 by the end of this year.<br />

Penetration in NI currently stands at 25,000.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

Although pure-play accounts for only a fraction of<br />

listening in Ireland today, we expect it to grow to 20%<br />

by 2020. Interest in the sector will be piqued when<br />

Apple launches its own ‘radio’ service in the first half<br />

of 2013. While these webcasters offer commercialfree<br />

options, circa 80% still choose the standard<br />

service and can therefore be reached through<br />

advertising. Enhanced targeting can be secured<br />

based on demographics, location and music<br />

genre.<br />

103.0<br />

RADIO SPEND (€M)<br />

97.0 98.5<br />

02 MOBILE 03 SONIC BRANDING<br />

The vast majority of listenership to radio takes<br />

place where we live; 65% of weekday primetime<br />

listening in the Republic is done at home,<br />

13% at work, 20% in the car and just under 2%<br />

on our mobiles. With smartphone penetration<br />

growing all the time, the incidence of mobile<br />

listening will grow, but it’s the car where the<br />

biggest revolution will take place.<br />

The ‘connected car’ will combine the benefits of<br />

a smartphone with the latest in-car audio<br />

systems. Ford has achieved this marriage of<br />

technologies to bring the internet to the car in<br />

the United States. It’s called SYNC AppLink and<br />

provides motorists with a way to listen to online<br />

radio using voice commands. It also provides<br />

access to innovative apps like Kaliki that read<br />

magazine articles to you! The system hasn’t<br />

reached our shores yet, but these exciting<br />

technologies will breathe new life into the in-car<br />

experience over the next three years.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

The big question is whether internet radio will win<br />

out over the Digital Audio Broadcasting (DAB)<br />

platform, which has been heavily backed in the UK<br />

in recent years. 33% of all new cars in the UK have<br />

DAB installed, but the technology is<br />

already outdated and has been<br />

overtaken by the internet in<br />

THE PRIMARY REASON FOR<br />

LISTENING TO RADIO<br />

LIVELY<br />

DEBATE<br />

11.3%<br />

LOCAL<br />

NEWS<br />

14.1%<br />

PRESENTER<br />

11.6%<br />

MUSIC<br />

18.2%<br />

terms of quality and<br />

choice. With car<br />

manufacturers in<br />

other countries<br />

moving toward<br />

i n t e r n e t<br />

devices, DAB<br />

is beginning to<br />

look quite<br />

redundant.<br />

Memory and sound are inextricably linked. We all<br />

remember music from commercials we experienced<br />

in our childhood and memories come back when we<br />

hear them. Today, these devices (such as McDonalds<br />

Ba da ba ba ba or the Intel Inside sonic device) are<br />

as important as visual brand references.<br />

In the words of production company, MassiveMusic<br />

“With music we can have enhanced memory recall.<br />

Tying the proper music and sound design to a brand<br />

can create a sense of familiarity, comfort and a direct<br />

memory."<br />

Many sonic triggers are created for TV and then<br />

adapted for radio, with consequent benefits in terms<br />

of frequency and campaign longevity. However, only<br />

a minority of campaigns make use of this effective<br />

technique.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

Sonic branding not only provides stronger recall<br />

among your core target market, it also delivers the<br />

added benefit of connecting with tomorrow’s<br />

consumers. This can create a warm and long lasting<br />

connection with the brand as consumers mature over<br />

time.<br />

However, selecting the right musical device is not<br />

easy. It should be carefully chosen and tested to<br />

predict its potential to stimulate a positive response<br />

for the brand.<br />

13.0 13.3 13.0<br />

2011 2012 2013<br />

ROI NI DIGITAL<br />

Source: Core Media Estimates<br />

Source: Core Media/Ignite<br />

Research<br />

NEWS, SPORT<br />

& TRAVEL<br />

38.7%<br />

AUDIO BRODCASTING (DAB) IS<br />

BEGINNING TO LOOK QUITE REDUNDANT<br />

13


2013 will be another difficult year for out-of-home media. We are forecasting a further decline<br />

in revenue of 2% in the Republic and 5% in Northern Ireland.<br />

Significant price reductions are being achieved due to the decline in demand, and while agencies<br />

will continue to put pressure on improvement, we expect media owners to seek yield protection<br />

in 2013. However, the focus will not just be on price; we will keep applying pressure in relation<br />

to the quality of plant and no low grade panels will be tolerated. This will result in the industry<br />

continuing to cull less desirable sites. Billboard inventory decreased by over 6% in 2012 and<br />

we expect a further 4% decrease this year in tandem with an improvement in the presentation<br />

and quality of large format panels.<br />

2012 saw the release of the new Dublin Travel Survey, which drives the coverage & frequency<br />

model for outdoor campaigns. The survey’s new methodology has led to a re-calibration of<br />

coverage norms for the medium, enabling planners to deliver desired coverage levels while<br />

purchasing fewer sites. It will be interesting to see the results from the planned Cork Travel<br />

Survey when released later this year.<br />

In addition to delivering improved value and accountability, the OOH sector will have to continue<br />

to innovate in order to reverse revenue declines. Alcohol advertising currently accounts for<br />

circa 15% of outdoor revenues, but the imposition of restrictions by the Government may see<br />

this fall further in 2013, potentially leading to an outright ban during 2014. The medium has<br />

faced challenges like this in the past; the answer is to reinvent and invest in order to make the<br />

medium more attractive, flexible and effective.<br />

14<br />

OUT OF<br />

HOME<br />

THE NUMBER OF DIGITAL SCREENS IN ROI<br />

WILL GROW TO 1,400 IN 2013


01 POINT OF SALE<br />

Point-of-Sale advertising continues to grow and by<br />

the end of 2013 we expect it to account for 18% of<br />

the total OOH market in Ireland (North & South).<br />

Historically, many FMCGs used larger formats to<br />

deliver brand campaigns. However, with an<br />

increasing emphasis on following the consumer ‘path<br />

to purchase’, POS formats have grown in importance.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

The increased focus on POS has led to an increase in<br />

innovation. ‘Retail Adtowers’ were recently launched<br />

in forecourts, supermarkets and off-licenses. In<br />

addition, Clear Channel has developed a number of<br />

retail packs, which contain 6 sheet sites in close<br />

proximity to leading retailers.<br />

Over the longer term, marketers must remember to<br />

bring balance to their communications plans; core<br />

brand metrics will suffer if there is an over-reliance<br />

on short-term price promotion communication. POS<br />

formats should continue to be used for what they do<br />

best, which is to communicate in-store offers and<br />

‘new news’ about a brand, but this needs to be<br />

balanced with brand building further back on the path<br />

to purchase.<br />

57.7<br />

13.0<br />

OOH SPEND (€M)<br />

54.0 53.0<br />

12.5 11.9<br />

2011 2012 2013<br />

ROI NI<br />

Source: Core Media Estimates<br />

811<br />

02 VIRUTAL RETAILING 03 DIGITAL FORMATS<br />

In 2012 Eason launched Ireland’s first virtual book<br />

shop at Connolly Station in Dublin. Here commuters<br />

can buy bestsellers by scanning the QR code on the<br />

book with their smart phone. In China a leading e-<br />

commerce company ‘Yihaodian’ is launching over<br />

1,000 virtual supermarkets where shoppers can<br />

browse around an augmented reality version of a<br />

store, purchase products and receive delivery straight<br />

to their door.<br />

Innovation in China is seen as a good predictor of<br />

future retail trends; PWC believes China may leapfrog<br />

the retail landscapes seen in the West, going straight<br />

to a model with fewer stores that are used as<br />

showrooms and collection points for online shoppers.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

OOH offers companies the opportunity to reach target<br />

audiences in ‘the right place’. This does not just<br />

relate to a location but also to their mindset -<br />

communicating with potential customers when and<br />

where they are most likely to be receptive.<br />

Already consumers have shifted €4 billion away from<br />

regular high street outlets to online<br />

channels in Ireland. Virtual retailing<br />

and mobile commerce will<br />

continue to drive this forward.<br />

ROI DIGITAL PANEL GROWTH<br />

Various out-of-home formats<br />

will evolve not just to<br />

deliver communication<br />

1400<br />

but also to facilitate e-<br />

930<br />

c o m m e r c e<br />

opportunities.<br />

2011 2012<br />

2013<br />

Source: Poster Management Ltd.<br />

The number of digital screens in ROI is expected<br />

to grow from 930 in 2012 to 1,400 this year. The<br />

NI market is less developed with only 27 displays.<br />

Advertising messages on these screens can be<br />

daypart or day-of-week specific. This technology<br />

also offers other opportunities; for example, in<br />

New York, the public transport company is testing<br />

digital advertisements on bus-sides where the<br />

message can change depending on the bus<br />

location or weather conditions.<br />

In terms of interactivity, Near Field<br />

Communications (NFC) is now gaining<br />

momentum. NFC has a number of valuable<br />

features; it enables the consumer to download<br />

content by holding their mobile device close to<br />

a poster, and allows the consumer to make a<br />

contact-free credit card payment.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

With the increased mobility of consumers and<br />

omnipresence of smartphones, digital OOH will<br />

continue to transform traditional outdoor in<br />

areas with high footfall such as shopping<br />

centres and public transport hubs. This format<br />

needs to be planned differently from regular<br />

outdoor panels in order to deliver on the full<br />

benefit of their interactivity and flexibility.<br />

Although the higher costs of these panels<br />

reflect the potential added benefits, too often<br />

the final creative executions do not exploit the<br />

potential offered by these screens.<br />

OUTDOOR MUST REINVENT AND INVEST<br />

IN ORDER TO MAKE IT MORE ATTRACTIVE,<br />

FLEXIBLE AND EFFECTIVE<br />

15


Much like the latest Twilight instalment, 2012 could be described as a solid sequel to 2011, not<br />

breaking any records but performing respectably. In a year where many media struggled for<br />

consumers and revenue, cinema fared better than most. Overall admissions were down 4% on<br />

the island, with box office receipts down by 3%. Less disposable income and emigration were<br />

blamed by industry insiders. An examination of the figures shows that geographic areas<br />

experiencing higher emigration have suffered more as cinema’s core audience of 18-34 fled<br />

these shores. It is estimated that this age segment shrank by 40,000 in the last year.<br />

In sharp contrast to the audience declines, advertising investment actually increased by 1% in<br />

ROI, due mainly to significant year-round activity by P&G. Northern Ireland spend was up by<br />

almost 16% because of a major lift in cinema investment across the UK due to the success of<br />

Skyfall. However, this growth will be reversed in both regions in 2013.<br />

Once again the Irish box office charts looked like a Halloween party with superheroes, vampires,<br />

hobbits, a sabre toothed tiger and even a teddy bear dominating. Battling it out for top spot<br />

were Christian Bale as Batman and Daniel Craig back as 007; suit and tie won out over cape<br />

and cowl as James Bond in Skyfall proved a big a hit with Irish cinema goers, narrowly edging<br />

The Dark Knight into second place.<br />

The march towards digital continued in 2012. 70% of all screens in the Republic and 90% in<br />

Northern Ireland are now digitally enabled. It is expected that all cinemas will be fully converted<br />

to digital by the end of the first quarter. This is a major step forward considering that only 47%<br />

of screens were digital this time last year in ROI and 25% in NI.<br />

16<br />

CINEMA<br />

ALL CINEMAS WILL BE FULLY CONVERTED TO<br />

DIGITAL BY THE END OF Q1


01 RISE OF HOME CINEMA<br />

There is a range of entertainment options available,<br />

which directly compete with cinema. Netflix, UPC ondemand,<br />

SKY Go and Apple TV all allow consumers to<br />

view high definition movies from the comfort of their<br />

armchair, for less than the price of a cinema ticket.<br />

It is difficult to quantify how much on-demand viewing<br />

is taking place, but a conservative estimate puts the<br />

market at 650,000 homes in ROI and NI combined.<br />

Netflix (with 87,000 unique users in ROI and 43,000 in<br />

NI) has said that its service has taken off faster in<br />

Ireland than in the UK.<br />

Cinema’s biggest advantage is that it’s the only place<br />

to see the very latest movies. However, this advantage<br />

is diminishing; Skyfall finished its cinema run in the<br />

second week of December and will be available on<br />

iTunes, just 12 weeks later. While cinemas are strongly<br />

opposed to any shortening of this gap, this trend looks<br />

set to continue as ‘on-demand’ providers strengthen<br />

their ties with the big film companies.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

Competition amongst the different suppliers of ondemand<br />

should see the quality of movies improve and<br />

the price drop. These factors combined with faster<br />

broadband should see a big increase in on-demand<br />

viewing in 2013. This will have an impact on cinema<br />

admissions and we expect a further decline of 2% in<br />

admissions again in 2013, as a consequence of this.<br />

CINEMA SPEND (€M)<br />

7.2 7.3 7.3<br />

1.7<br />

2011 2012 2013<br />

ROI NI ADMISSIONS<br />

2.0 1.7<br />

Source: Core Media Estimates<br />

ROI<br />

16.4m 15.7m 15.3m<br />

2011 2012 2013<br />

02 ENHANCED VIEWING 03 BUYING DIGITAL<br />

As cinema suffers from the growth in video-ondemand<br />

it is employing technology to hit back. The<br />

industry is betting on ‘enhanced viewing’ as the way<br />

to sell the cinema experience. IMAX is the best<br />

example of this where patrons are treated to a more<br />

spectacular and immersive viewing experience<br />

through the latest digital projection and surround<br />

sound technology. There are now two IMAX sites in<br />

ROI and the company is is also considering reopening<br />

its screen in Belfast.<br />

Odeon has also introduced two ‘isense’ screens and<br />

Omniplex is launching its first ‘Omnimax’ screen in<br />

Drogheda; both are similar products to IMAX. It seems<br />

that a technology arms race is underway between<br />

providers of in-home and out-of-home viewing to win<br />

the battle for consumers’ entertainment time.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

With on-demand clearly here to stay, cinema has to<br />

keep giving people reasons to consume their product<br />

out of the home.<br />

IMAX is not new to Ireland - this is its second coming.<br />

However, rather than short films produced to<br />

showcase IMAX, each distributor tailors its biggest<br />

releases for the enhanced viewing<br />

experience. IMAX and its<br />

imitators are becoming<br />

CINEMA ADMISSIONS known as the ultimate<br />

way to see a movie.<br />

However, with only<br />

NI<br />

five sites on the<br />

island, it will take<br />

some time before<br />

it makes any<br />

d i s c e r n i b l e<br />

difference to<br />

5.9m 5.6m 5.5m<br />

overall admissions<br />

Source: Carton Screen<br />

Advertising/Core Media<br />

2011 2012 2013<br />

By the end of quarter one this year, all screens<br />

on the island of Ireland will be digital. This is a<br />

watershed moment and offers exciting<br />

opportunities for advertisers. One of the<br />

barriers to entry has been the production costs<br />

involved. Producing a cinema version of a TV<br />

commercial was expensive and time<br />

consuming. This will now be a thing of the past,<br />

dramatically reducing the entry cost for<br />

advertisers. Furthermore, it will offer greater<br />

flexibility when it comes to targeting specific<br />

films, regions and copy changes.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

Carlton Screen is expecting to launch its plans<br />

for selling 100% digital in March and is keeping<br />

tight-lipped about details until then. However,<br />

at a minimum the usual barriers to cinema such<br />

as cost, time and flexibility should be reduced.<br />

Agencies will of course be keen to see what<br />

extra can be done. In a world where the next<br />

step for TV is to serve specific creative to<br />

specific audiences, 100% digital should allow<br />

exciting developments in targeting those<br />

watching the silver screen.<br />

FELL BY 4% IN 2012 AND<br />

WILL DROP BY 2% THIS YEAR<br />

17


Last year was a showcase year for Sponsorship with the Olympics and Euro 2012 grabbing the<br />

headlines. P&G’s sponsorship of the Olympics clearly demonstrated the ability of a well-executed<br />

platform to deliver a return at the checkout; its Olympic campaign covered 34 brands and four<br />

million stores worldwide and is estimated to have yielded $500m in incremental sales for the<br />

company.<br />

The key to successful sponsorship is identifying properties that consumers are passionate about<br />

and showcasing this involvement through the activation of the sponsorship, by providing rich<br />

experiences and valuable content. Sponsorship in all its forms (product placement, event, venue<br />

and broadcast) is evolving in this direction and the P&G campaign exemplifies this.<br />

Consumer involvement in sponsored events is a major factor in their success. Research by<br />

Professor Tony Meenaghan has shown that increased fan involvement in a sponsored activity<br />

evokes a positive emotional response towards the sponsor, but this attribute has not been<br />

universally embraced in sponsorship activation; this needs to change.<br />

Naming rights have become popular in recent years; this form of sponsorship can catapult a<br />

brand to the top of a consideration table for many consumers. Some major deals have been<br />

struck including The O2, The Aviva Stadium and Bord Gáis Energy Theatre, all of which are<br />

playing a significant role in customer retention and loyalty programmes for these companies.<br />

However, sponsorship has not been immune to the decline in marketing investment over the<br />

past few years; in 2012 spend fell by 8% to €130m in Ireland (North & South) and we only<br />

expect a marginal increase in 2013.<br />

Looking further ahead, spending in this sector will grow substantially as viewers become<br />

increasingly able to avoid exposure to TV commercials through the use of Digital Video Recorders<br />

(DVRs). In response we will increasingly use sponsorship and product placement to compensate<br />

for the lost commercial impressions.<br />

18<br />

SPONSORSHIP<br />

P&G’S OLYMPIC CAMPAIGN YIELDED $500M IN<br />

INCREMENTAL SALES FOR THE COMPANY.


01 PRODUCT PLACEMENT<br />

Product placement has witnessed strong growth in<br />

recent years as changing media habits and fewer<br />

restrictions lead us to find new ways to reach the<br />

increasingly distracted consumer.<br />

Since the BAI permitted the introduction of product<br />

placement in 2011, there has been strong interest in the<br />

area. Big deals including Spar/Fair City and Emirates<br />

Airlines/Masterchef demonstrate what’s possible to date.<br />

Globally, product placement grew by 12% to €8.3 billion<br />

in 2012, with the majority of that spent in film and TV.<br />

Skyfall was 2012’s best example of the power of this<br />

form of marketing.<br />

Product placement, however, continues to be a divisive<br />

area. The fusion of commercial and entertainment<br />

content comes with some questions, particularly in<br />

relation to trust.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

Marketers must be careful not to irritate viewers; it can<br />

lead to the brand being talked about for the wrong<br />

reasons. The more natural the placement fits with the<br />

environment, the more consumers will accept it; being<br />

too overt risks a damaging loss of credibility. As a US<br />

broadcaster once said “Our philosophy is if the brand<br />

doesn't make the show better, the brand doesn't make<br />

the show. People must not notice the integration, but they<br />

must remember it. That's the test." It’s a subtle art.<br />

130.7<br />

SPONSORSHIP SPEND (€M)<br />

117.3 118.0<br />

€6.25Bn<br />

02 RETURN ON INVESTMENT 03 MULTI-SCREEN WORLD<br />

Marketing performance has never been more<br />

important. As sponsorship evolves beyond<br />

awareness objectives, the real challenge is<br />

demonstrating its ability to drive commercial results.<br />

Traditionally, sponsorship was evaluated on changes<br />

in awareness or moving consumer attitude scores,<br />

but these metrics are soft in a world increasingly<br />

focussed on harder measures like share growth and<br />

volume sales. For many years ‘equivalent media<br />

value’ was also used to measure the worth of a<br />

sponsorship but this too is irrelevant as it bears no<br />

relationship to the objectives of the project. We must<br />

forecast the real commercial value of sponsorships<br />

and prove it afterwards.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

Be very clear when defining your objectives before<br />

investing and if your primary goal is not to drive sales,<br />

ask yourself why. Sometimes, the goal will be about<br />

driving awareness, but only as a means to sell more<br />

product and this is the piece that can’t be forgotten<br />

and often is.<br />

It is important to resist the tendency to justify the<br />

investment based on KPI movements in brand tracking<br />

surveys. It is possible to accurately<br />

unpick the return on investment of<br />

GLOBAL PRODUCT<br />

PLACEMENT SPEND<br />

€6.71Bn<br />

€7.41Bn<br />

€8.3Bn<br />

a sponsorship from the effects<br />

of the rest of the marketing<br />

mix by using econometric<br />

modeling. It is the only<br />

true way of<br />

establishing whether<br />

your sponsorship<br />

endeavours are<br />

making you money<br />

or not.<br />

Today’s consumer is a rabid media multitasker,<br />

but with the right insight, this behaviour creates<br />

an opportunity for us to deliver more audience<br />

engagement.<br />

Honda’s sponsorship of documentaries on<br />

Channel 4 is a good example of a brand that has<br />

embraced the multi-screen world with a<br />

sponsorship. The stings were designed to drive<br />

viewers to an online hub where a series of minidocumentaries<br />

were housed starring real-life<br />

customers who use their Honda products in<br />

extraordinary ways. Facebook and Twitter<br />

activity was also used to entice users to visit<br />

the hub.<br />

Multi-screen opportunities are just as relevant<br />

in a non broadcast environment. With an<br />

explosion of smart mobile devices, every<br />

touchpoint now has the ability to deliver added<br />

value content. Moreover, this is the growing<br />

expectation of consumers.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

Consider the layers that you can provide to<br />

consumers as part of your sponsorship<br />

platform. Can you use exclusive content assets<br />

to provide deeper engagement? Can you<br />

provide exclusive promotional codes to unlock<br />

discounts or deals in-store? Can you deliver<br />

more information about your brand in a<br />

compelling way in the right environment? All of<br />

these questions should be considered to unlock<br />

the opportunities of a multi screen world.<br />

11.1 13.1 13.3<br />

2011 2012 2013<br />

ROI NI GLOBALLY,<br />

Source: Core Media Estimates<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

Source: PQ Media Global<br />

2011 2012<br />

PRODUCT PLACEMENT GREW<br />

BY 12% TO €8.3 BILLION IN 2012<br />

19


In an age where return on investment plays the key role in marketing decision making, knowing<br />

with certainty that you are reaching your intended audience has never been more important.<br />

As a result, the direct marketing industry is faring well with all sectors showing positive growth.<br />

Direct marketing now accounts for a third of marketing budgets (up from 28% in 2010), despite<br />

the lack of a post-code system in the Republic of Ireland. Successive governments have made<br />

commitments to introduce national postcodes, but this has met with delay after delay, leaving<br />

Ireland as the only country in Western Europe without one. In our view the introduction of this<br />

system will take place in the next 12 months and its arrival will further stimulate the market<br />

through the availability of a wider range of targeted services. Knowing exactly who’s receiving<br />

your communications will help reduce wastage for brands and further improve on the relevance<br />

of communications for consumers, leading to a more effective communications channel for all.<br />

In the meantime, there are still a number of strong products available to tailor communications<br />

to a targeted audience, and the importance of these products will continue to grow. In fact, the<br />

ability to target a specific audience remains a primary strength of direct mail versus other<br />

communication channels, including email. <strong>Business</strong>es that collect additional information about<br />

their customers can develop very personal campaigns through the use of variable data printing.<br />

In recent years the direct marketing sector has seen a shift into digital forms of communication<br />

at the expense of mail, primarily to reduce costs. However, the high volumes of untargeted e-<br />

mail and spam have created some antipathy towards e-mail. This has resulted in a<br />

reassessment of the strength of direct mail and a growth in understanding of how to match the<br />

medium with the message. Consumers talk of the need for in-depth, important information to<br />

be sent by post, rather than e-mail. As one USPS customer puts it “E-mail may be the base of<br />

your communications with me, but I’m getting too much junk. If it’s really important, send it to<br />

me by post.”<br />

In 2013, the consumer will increasingly expect direct mail that is relevant to them, specific to<br />

them, and focused on giving them added value.<br />

20<br />

DIRECT<br />

MARKETING<br />

DIRECT MARKETING NOW ACCOUNTS FOR A<br />

THIRD OF MARKETING BUDGETS


01 INTERACTION WITH DIGITAL<br />

Consumers are changing how they consume<br />

media, and by the end of 2013 circa 40% of all<br />

time spent with media will be through digital<br />

channels.<br />

Traditionally, direct marketing campaigns have<br />

been integrated with mainstream media such<br />

as TV and Print, but things are changing and the<br />

direct mail sector needs to adapt to this<br />

consumer shift.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

Marketers need to think about the inherent<br />

opportunities that exist through the integration<br />

of direct mail with digital channel activity.<br />

Research has shown that 58% of people are<br />

more likely to click on a search link for a<br />

company if they’ve received something in the<br />

post. More importantly, 59% see additional<br />

items they would like to buy online when they<br />

have a physical brochure or product guide in<br />

their hand.<br />

There is, therefore, a necessity to integrate<br />

search activity with direct mail in order to<br />

catch all stimulated demand. The<br />

synergy achieved by the precise<br />

integration of these activities<br />

will significantly increase<br />

response.<br />

% OF ADULTS WHO FIND<br />

DIRECT MAIL RELEVANT TO THEM<br />

02 LOCAL MARKETING 03 RELEVANCE<br />

Constricted budgets have reduced the ability of<br />

some brands to communicate on a national<br />

basis. Local is now becoming the lifeblood of<br />

small businesses in particular who appreciate,<br />

more than most, that the daily lives of their<br />

customers are influenced by what exists<br />

directly around where they live.<br />

The lack of a postcode system has made<br />

precise local targeting more difficult, but new<br />

marketing tools have emerged to overcome this<br />

and enable brands to tap this local well of<br />

potential business.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

A recent product launch from An Post allows<br />

companies to take advantage of improved<br />

targeting techniques by focusing on streets and<br />

areas surrounding a business to allow it to<br />

tightly target specific areas of interest. This<br />

enables marketers to target different locations<br />

with tailored offers, without overextending<br />

themselves financially.<br />

Companies can also use this facility to improve<br />

their website traffic, from a specific geographic<br />

location, by using postcards to incentive<br />

local consumers to go online.<br />

Advertising is pervasive; at every contact point<br />

throughout the day we are being hit with<br />

communications. Seldom does the marketer<br />

fully understand whether you are a 55 year old<br />

man who loves golf or a 22 year old female art<br />

student. As a result, ad-avoidance is<br />

increasing. The same holds true in the direct<br />

marketing industry, which has to contend with<br />

an increasingly cluttered and unaddressed<br />

channel. On the other hand, personalised direct<br />

mail continues to be valued, with 31% of<br />

consumers stating that it is an important<br />

channel for encouraging purchase, as compared<br />

with 20% in UK. In fact, 18-25 year olds are one<br />

of the most responsive audiences with 74% of<br />

them saying that they enjoy receiving post.<br />

IMPLICATION<br />

The key to success in direct marketing is<br />

getting targeted; gone are the days of blanket<br />

bombing. Brands should seek to find out more<br />

about their customers than merely the name<br />

and address. What are their likes; what are<br />

their pet hates; tag their behaviours and create<br />

a profile of your audience that allows for more<br />

targeted and relevant communications. By<br />

spending money on your valuable customers,<br />

tailoring your creative and reduce wastage you<br />

will drive response rates significantly. Consider<br />

using different senses to stimulate a<br />

connection. Add a scent or a sound in order to<br />

generate a buzz and drive response.<br />

49%<br />

2009<br />

59%<br />

2010<br />

58%<br />

2011<br />

Source: An Post<br />

65%<br />

58% OF PEOPLE ARE MORE LIKELY TO CLICK ON<br />

2012<br />

A SEARCH LINK FOR A COMPANY IF THEY’VE<br />

RECEIVED SOMETHING IN THE POST<br />

21


FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT:<br />

ALAN COX<br />

TEL: +353 1 649 6458<br />

WEB: WWW.COREMEDIA.IE<br />

EMAIL: ALAN.COX@COREMEDIA.IE

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