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OUTLOOK 13
CONTENTS<br />
INTRODUCTION 2<br />
THE CONSUMER 4<br />
TELEVISION 6<br />
NEWS MEDIA 8<br />
ONLINE 10<br />
RADIO 12<br />
OUT OF HOME 14<br />
CINEMA 16<br />
SPONSORSHIP 18<br />
DIRECT MARKETING 20<br />
1
2013 is the year we expect to see a return to growth in the advertising economy in the<br />
Republic of Ireland. After five consecutive years of decline, we believe the market will now<br />
begin to reflect the stability and delicate growth that we are seeing elsewhere in the<br />
economy. Overall we forecast 0.7% growth to a total of €698m but this is being driven by<br />
the digital sector, which we expect to increase by almost 11% in the Republic. Excluding<br />
digital, the underlying position is less favorable, showing a decline of 2%.<br />
In Northern Ireland, we anticipate a rise in digital spending of circa 8% this year, but this<br />
will be the only sector to see any growth, and overall we are forecasting a fall in total spend<br />
of 2.1% to €159m, due to weak demand again this year.<br />
When we look at advertising spend on a per capita basis, the difference between the two<br />
markets becomes very clear. The level of advertising spend in ROI per capita is €156,<br />
compared with only €89 in NI. This is an indicator of the underlying weakness in the<br />
region, despite growing business and consumer confidence.<br />
Reflecting on the last five years, it occurs to us that one of the key factors contributing to<br />
the fall in spend across the island is the lack of evidence within marketing departments<br />
regarding how effective their investment was and the implications of cutting back.<br />
Every marketer should be able to answer the following question “what percentage of your<br />
total sales is exclusively attributable to your marketing activities?” The reality is very few<br />
have this knowledge. However, it is likely that most would know what their brand<br />
awareness is from their latest brand tracker, but how useful is that? How does that help<br />
you to prepare a marketing plan, present a budget proposal, or allocate your marketing<br />
resources effectively?<br />
2<br />
INTRODUCTION<br />
ADVERTISING INVESTMENT PER CAPITA<br />
IN THE REPUBLIC OF IRELAND IS 75%<br />
GREATER THAN NORTHERN IRELAND
Surely, knowing precisely what marketing contributes to your business is essential and it<br />
can be established by investing in market mix modeling. However, analysis of this kind is<br />
still demoted in favour of softer, blunter research into brand awareness and brand equity,<br />
which does little to quantify the impact of marketing on sales or enable marketers to<br />
optimise the mix of their investments.<br />
Ask yourself, which would help you to convince your Finance Director more….a) being<br />
able to show that 20% of your total sales revenue relies on marketing and that cutting the<br />
budget will result in sales decline of 10%, or b) showing him/her your top-of-mind<br />
awareness trend and what the consumer thinks of your brand? There’s only one answer,<br />
really, isn’t there?<br />
In our opinion, too much money and time is invested in brand tracking and too little in<br />
modeling and other forms of marketing analytics.<br />
In Ireland less than €500,000 is spent per annum on market mix modeling. That is a dismal<br />
0.06% of the total media spend (North & South). In the UK it is 0.69%, eleven and a half<br />
times greater than the Irish figure! In the US the investment level is greater again and a<br />
recent survey of marketing directors found companies expect to increase the analytics<br />
portion of their marketing budgets by 60% in the next three years.<br />
We are not saying that you shouldn’t invest in brand tracking. It can be genuinely useful in<br />
helping a company monitor its brand equity over time and identify potential problems. It<br />
can also provide useful intelligence on key competitors in terms of brand preference and<br />
where your brand sits on the consideration set. However, we believe it is given too much<br />
emphasis and carried out too often. When is the last time you ever came out of a brand<br />
tracking presentation feeling inspired?<br />
Investment in marketing analytics will give you immediate guidance on how to grow your<br />
profit. When used in conjunction with all the data that is washing around our companies,<br />
it will help to properly evaluate marketing performance, gain insight into purchasing habits,<br />
and make evidence-based marketing decisions.<br />
The use of this so-called ‘Big Data’ is helping organisations of all kinds anticipate the future.<br />
Police departments internationally are increasingly using historic data to predict where and<br />
when crimes may happen and Barack Obama used it to win a second term by assigning<br />
every voter in the country a pair of scores based on the probability that they would a) cast<br />
a ballot and b) support Obama.<br />
So is this the Holy Grail? No, it’s just one part of it, so is brand tracking but overreliance<br />
on it will slow you down. Remember, if you do what you’ve always done, you’ll get what<br />
you’ve always gotten.<br />
726.4<br />
Total Advertising Spend (€m)<br />
693.0 697.8<br />
Ok, now that we have that off our chest…the following pages provide a snapshot of the<br />
key developments we expect to see this year across the main industry sectors. We hope<br />
you find the document useful. If you wish to discuss any of the issues, please feel free to<br />
call me on +353 1 649 6458.<br />
In the meantime, best wishes for 2013.<br />
Alan Cox<br />
168.2<br />
162.0 158.7<br />
2011 2012 2013<br />
ROI<br />
NI<br />
Source: Core Media Estimates<br />
UK INVESTMENT IN MARKET<br />
MIX MODELLING IS 11.5 TIMES<br />
GREATER THAN IRELAND<br />
3
4<br />
THE<br />
CONSUMER<br />
Something pivotal happened in 2012; or rather something pivotal didn’t happen. Our worst<br />
fears were not realised; it was certainly a mixed year, but it’s worth noting that “mixed” is an<br />
improvement on previous years.<br />
There is a sense of a fundamental shift in the air. 2013 is being heralded as the first year we can<br />
start to look forward again, as opposed to the years of backward glances and naval gazing.<br />
In the Republic of Ireland, away from the sound bites and politicking, Budget 2013 was one of<br />
pain, certainly, but also progress. It was our fifth ‘recessionary’ budget, but it’s worth noting<br />
that as defined in pure economic terms, neither the Republic nor Northern Ireland are in<br />
recession. Although growth is admittedly weak both sides of the border, sentiment surveys are<br />
showing some signs of recovery, albeit from a low base.<br />
Sentiment indices for 2012 have been the strongest in four years in ROI and are on the rise in<br />
NI. Figures for January this year in the Republic continued the recent upward trend and received<br />
a considerable ‘bounce’ after the predictable fall off in December.<br />
The budget also prioritised business, in terms of the Foreign Direct Investment and SME sectors,<br />
rather than domestic spending, which seems a prudent medium-term strategy. As a result, there<br />
will be no huge change in consumer spending in 2013, rather a more measured approach.<br />
However, high street retail sales in ROI have begun to turn a corner in the last few months of<br />
2012, with December seeing a volume increase of 0.8%. More encouragingly, the value of these<br />
sales was up by 1.1%.<br />
Two of the key factors affecting sentiment in 2013 will be the Irish presidency of the EU, and<br />
the G8 summit in Northern Ireland; both of which are leading to considerable international focus.<br />
It was timely that our presidency corresponded with the final crunch talks on the promissory<br />
notes debacle, and perhaps it was of some help in securing the landmark agreement. While<br />
the Government’s success will have little impact on our individual pockets, the new deal should<br />
signal a significant increase in consumer confidence and faith in the future.<br />
As a central bank source said recently in the press, “It’s not that paradise starts tomorrow. It’s<br />
not heaven on earth all of a sudden. It’s a good first step”<br />
So, what are the key trends in addressing consumers in 2013?<br />
“IT’S NOT THAT PARADISE STARTS TOMORROW<br />
IT’S NOT HEAVEN ON EARTH ALL OF A SUDDEN<br />
IT’S A GOOD FIRST STEP”
01 RESEARCH<br />
Researching and understanding the consumer has<br />
always been important. However, many brands<br />
are guilty of neglecting the fact that consumers<br />
also conduct research. A recent study by Google<br />
has highlighted that almost every purchase is<br />
researched by consumers. Google have dubbed<br />
this the “Zero Moment of Truth”. Consumers are<br />
looking for proof points before purchasing, as<br />
opposed to the classical view of marketing in<br />
which trial was the proof point.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
The research period often lasts longer than a<br />
standard campaign or burst of advertising,<br />
leading to a clear role for search advertising and<br />
behavioural targeting. Using these tools to<br />
ensure that your brand appears during the<br />
research period will give the brand vital stand<br />
out during a key stage. It is the digital equivalent<br />
of making sure the shelves are stocked and the<br />
doors are open for business.<br />
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE<br />
RECOVERING IN ROI AND NI<br />
02 BE HONEST, NOT PERFECT 03 MEDIUM TERM PLANNING<br />
This was an opportunity area we identified<br />
twelve months ago and it is still rich and fertile<br />
territory, perhaps more so. Brands have a real<br />
opportunity to learn from the emerging<br />
technology sector and start ups, who constantly<br />
act on customer feedback to improve products.<br />
The benefit of this approach is that brands begin<br />
an honest dialogue with consumers.<br />
The brand can get real time, beneficial feedback<br />
and take actions which will lead to real success.<br />
In addition, the consumer gets their opinion<br />
heard, gets to genuinely improve the product<br />
and has reason to become an advocate.<br />
Mistakes will happen and consumers respect<br />
that; it’s how you respond that matters.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
Be open. Be honest. Tell consumers what went<br />
wrong. Use the dialogue allowed by social<br />
media to apologise, to discuss with and to help<br />
consumers out of the situation.<br />
Being contrite about mistakes, and canvassing<br />
opinions on products and advertising can be<br />
extremely beneficial. It helps personify the<br />
brand, and moves the relationship away from<br />
the commodity territory into something deeper.<br />
Changing consumer behaviour takes time. We<br />
often over-emphasise the importance of one<br />
year, and under-emphasise the importance of<br />
three and five year cycles. Consumer decisions<br />
are rarely sudden; they take time to form and<br />
develop. Advertising is most effective when it<br />
is consistent and long-term, continuously<br />
driving consideration; facts supported by IPA<br />
and Thinkbox show that consistent presence<br />
can be up to twice as effective as bursts.<br />
“Going dark” for periods of time leads to a drop<br />
in consumer intent, and money needs to be<br />
reinvested in recapturing that lost awareness.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
Brands prepared to take a longer view stand to<br />
make considerable gains. There are efficiencies<br />
in terms of awareness planning, and ad stock<br />
development, not to mention real business<br />
benefits from setting three year objectives.<br />
Prioritising messaging and products over a<br />
longer period will also provide a significant<br />
advantage versus competitor brands and<br />
translate sustained awareness into sales.<br />
“Always on” approaches should be explored.<br />
This doesn’t have to mean larger budgets; it can<br />
often be achieved by re-phasing; moving to<br />
lighter and longer campaigns.<br />
ROI<br />
Dec 09 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12<br />
Source: KBC/ESRI (ROI) & Danske Bank (NI)<br />
Different index bases<br />
For illustration only<br />
NI<br />
SEARCH ADVERTISING IS THE DIGITAL<br />
EQUIVALENT OF MAKING SURE THE<br />
SHELVES ARE STOCKED, AND THE DOORS<br />
ARE OPEN FOR BUSINESS<br />
5
Smart TVs, tablets, video-on-demand, catch-up, SKY Go, 3-D, Ultra HD, Netflix and Apple TV<br />
are just a few of the technological advances that have revolutionised how we watch ‘television’<br />
content. 2013 will be the year that we understand how this is affecting consumers.<br />
However, before predicting the future it is important to comment on the present. Television viewing<br />
in Ireland is higher than ever before. The average adult watched 3 hours and 35 minutes of TV in<br />
2012, an increase of 19% on 2000. Even young adults under 34, who are generally early adopters<br />
of technology, are watching 4% more TV than 2000. In Northern Ireland, viewing is up 29% in the<br />
last five years for adults. The faster rate of growth in NI is due to infrastructure upgrades, which<br />
increased the number of homes with multi-channel television.<br />
So, why is television performing this well despite the challenges of a digital world? The main<br />
reason has been the growth of Digital Video Recorders (DVRs) which are now in 53% of all<br />
homes in the Republic and 44% in the North; the easy access they provide to content means<br />
there is always something to watch. In fact, homes with DVRs watch 16% more TV content.<br />
Although TV viewing is on the up, viewing to commercial breaks is not. One consequence of<br />
the TV revolution has been the ability to “ad-skip”. In the US where the DVR market is mature,<br />
55% of commercials are skipped when time-shifted. This compares to only 30% in less mature<br />
markets such as the UK & Ireland.<br />
It is important to note that the above figures are for time-shifted viewing only. Despite all the<br />
hype surrounding DVRs the vast majority of our viewing is still watched “live”. In Ireland only<br />
8.4% of viewing is time-shifted; therefore, only 3% of all TV commercials seen in a day are<br />
skipped. Not in my household, you may reply, but remember you are not a typical viewer.<br />
It is naive to suggest that things will always be this way; skipping will inevitably increase and<br />
become a major issue in years to come as consumers become more used to time-shifting.<br />
However, this is taking longer than expected and in 2013 commercial impacts are only likely to<br />
decline by 1% due to this technology. Other factors relating to falling programming budgets may<br />
result in an additional 2% fall in commercial impacts.<br />
In terms of spend, TV will see a return to growth this year of 1% in the Republic, but we expect<br />
a 2% decline in Northern Ireland due to lower demand in the region.<br />
6<br />
TELEVISION<br />
ONLY 3% OF ALL TV COMMERCIALS ARE FAST<br />
FORWARDED
01 SECOND SCREENS<br />
The combination of internet access and TV<br />
viewing presents interesting opportunities for<br />
advertisers. 58% of Irish viewers are online<br />
while watching TV with the consequence that<br />
viewers can be active consumers at the same<br />
time. In 2013, we will see this figure increase<br />
as penetration of tablets rise; owners of these<br />
devices are 20% more likely to watch TV and<br />
surf at the same time than owners of other<br />
computers. Furthermore, 63% of Facebook<br />
users say they “often or sometimes” use the<br />
site when watching television.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
In 2013 we will see broadcasters offer more crossmedia<br />
opportunities that harness this media<br />
meshing. Indeed, future content will be produced<br />
with this in mind. Different genres of programming<br />
experience quite different reactions in social<br />
media, as can be seen from the Homeland & X-<br />
Factor examples shown in the chart below. This<br />
will influence scheduling of TV commercials to<br />
obtain the highest levels of engagement. Across<br />
Europe 33% of ‘second-screen’ viewing is directly<br />
related to the content being watched on the<br />
television; this highlights the importance of a<br />
consistent online and TV strategy.<br />
02 ADDRESSABLE ADS 03 VIDEO-ON-DEMAND<br />
Soon, with the advent of “return path data” from<br />
set-top boxes, broadcasters will be able to play<br />
out seperate commercials to individual<br />
households. Advertisers will be able to target<br />
campaigns to exactly the people they want to<br />
reach. In effect, two households on the same<br />
street will see different commercials depending<br />
on their location, affluence, children’s ages, life<br />
stage, and financial outlook. SKY will begin<br />
testing this technology in Northern Ireland in Q3<br />
2013 and in the Republic in Q2 2014.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
While this may be seen as the Holy Grail, there<br />
are some data protection issues; unlike the UK<br />
(incl. NI) where customers have to opt-out of<br />
giving their personal information when signing up<br />
to TV services, consumers in the Republic of<br />
Ireland have to opt-in. This could significantly<br />
reduce the number of addressable homes in the<br />
Republic, although Sky is searching for a way to<br />
circumvent this problem. There will also be issues<br />
regarding the way airtime is sold, which will lead<br />
to higher priced inventory, but<br />
ultimately more efficient<br />
campaigns.<br />
TWEETING PATTERNS<br />
VARY BY PROGRAMME<br />
Overall, online video viewership is still very<br />
small compared to traditional television. If we<br />
include all video-on-demand (VOD) touchpoints<br />
available to Irish advertisers (players, networks<br />
and YouTube), the market is only delivering 2.7%<br />
of commercial impacts. One trend that will<br />
grow the size of the VOD market is the increase<br />
in homes without a TV set. The recent digital<br />
switchover in ROI has already caused the<br />
number of TV homes to fall from 96% to 93% of<br />
households. It is reasonable to assume that a<br />
significant percentage of these homes are now<br />
watching television purely online.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
Despite being a small element of the market,<br />
the audience watching TV online is significant<br />
and growing. It is also young, a segment that<br />
TV stations are finding harder to reach.<br />
However, research into its contribution is thin.<br />
Google and Channel 4 have both conducted<br />
studies in the UK, but nothing in Ireland. We<br />
are keen to make our own assessment, and in<br />
2013 Core Media will produce its own research<br />
into how VOD affects TV campaigns on this<br />
island.<br />
TV SPEND (€M)<br />
213.0<br />
200.3 202.0<br />
97.4 91.6 89.7<br />
2011 2012 2013<br />
ROI NI<br />
Source: Core Media Estimates<br />
XFACTOR<br />
Source: Second Sync<br />
HOMELAND<br />
VIDEO ON DEMAND ACCOUNTS<br />
FOR ONLY 2.7% OF TOTAL<br />
COMMERCIAL AUDIENCE<br />
7
As stated in last year’s outlook, the “news” part of newspapers is doing fine. It’s the “paper”<br />
part that’s the issue. In the intervening time, most of the industry have accepted this. Last<br />
summer, the Newspaper Marketing Agency, the body that seeks to raise awareness of the value<br />
of newspapers in the UK, was rebranded as Newsworks. This new name, removing the word<br />
"newspaper" from the title, is indicative of the changed landscape of the industry. Similarly, its<br />
members are now referred to as “newsbrands”.<br />
This change is symbolic of the new reality in the national press industry, which now needs to<br />
operate across a range of different platforms – desktop computers, laptops, tablets and<br />
smartphones - as well as print.<br />
While this might appear cosmetic, there is no doubting the importance of branding. A product’s<br />
brand is a statement of intent. Not only does it inform its users what to expect and what it<br />
stands for, it also helps the company stay focused and inspired. 2012 was a tough year and<br />
another lean year is predicted. An industry-wide reframing and renaming of the newspaper<br />
business will show how the sector is embracing the changing way news is being consumed.<br />
Removing words like “paper”, “print” and the related iconography from the industry’s awards<br />
ceremonies, representative bodies etc. will bring more integration and will encourage agencies<br />
to incorporate the full scope of what each publisher has to offer.<br />
8<br />
NEWS<br />
MEDIA<br />
INTEREST IN NEWS IS SOLID<br />
READERS ARE MERELY CHOOSING DIFFERENT<br />
METHODS OF CONSUMPTION
01 BIGGER DATA<br />
While there is no doubt that the Joint National<br />
Readership Survey (JNRS) is a very robust piece of<br />
research, the content has been growing less relevant.<br />
Alternative sources such as Target Group Index (TGI)<br />
are being used to make ‘macro’ planning decisions,<br />
given the greater breadth of information available<br />
through lifestyle statements and brand consumption.<br />
That said, the JNRS data is still the currency by which<br />
‘micro’ planning decisions are made, due to the larger<br />
sample size of the survey. There is a clear need for<br />
research that combines the robustness of the JNRS<br />
with the flexibility and usability of TGI. Another issue<br />
has been the lack of research that combined the print<br />
and digital audiences for news media.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
The industry understands the need for change and<br />
has taken positive steps forward. Firstly, it has<br />
tackled the digital issue; respondents are now being<br />
asked about their consumption of the print, digital and<br />
online iterations of a title. Top-line results will be<br />
released in the next survey, with full data available in<br />
the autumn. Initial results are very encouraging,<br />
showing what every smart planner suspected;<br />
consumption of news is solid; readers are merely<br />
choosing different methods of consumption.<br />
Secondly, the NNI is joining representatives from<br />
Radio, TV, Outdoor and IAPI to explore the<br />
introduction of a cross-media research initiative,<br />
which would provide a holistic and robust view of<br />
consumers’ media behaviours.<br />
NEWSPAPER/<br />
MAGAZINE SPEND (€M)<br />
300,000<br />
250,000<br />
200,000<br />
02 PAY TO PLAY 03 A MATTER OF TRUST<br />
The perennial question “why would I pay for content<br />
that I can get for free?” still needs a decisive industrywide<br />
answer. This is a challenge all publishers must<br />
face, as digital editions become a larger part of their<br />
business. According to the Audit Bureau of<br />
Circulations in the US, digital newspaper<br />
subscriptions saw a surge of 63% in 2012. It now<br />
accounts for 14% of the total circulation mix. A<br />
standardised global payment model needs to be in<br />
place before the end of 2013 if Irish news media are<br />
to capitalise on a digital “cover price”.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
Are Ireland’s readers ready to subscribe to premium<br />
content? We think the answer is a resounding “yes”.<br />
The proliferation of tablets, consoles and smartphones<br />
has normalised low-cost digital subscriptions.<br />
Some newspaper titles are having success through<br />
the introduction of a pay-walled digital & paper model.<br />
The New York Times has grown its total paid<br />
circulation by over 40% to 1.6 million. This is split<br />
roughly 50/50 between the digital and paper versions,<br />
but from Monday - Friday there are around 25% more<br />
digital subscribers than paper. On Sunday, however,<br />
it is reversed with 47% more papers sold than online<br />
subscriptions.<br />
With international precedent and<br />
local appetite, our titles should<br />
commit to a standardised pay<br />
structure, which will place<br />
real value on the premium<br />
nature of the product.<br />
GLOBAL DEVICE SHIPMENTS<br />
TABLETS<br />
A recent study by the Annenberg Centre in the US<br />
found most internet users have limited trust in the<br />
information they find online. Only 40% of users said<br />
that most or all of the information on the Internet<br />
is reliable – a decline from 55% in 2000.<br />
Internet users rated newspapers highly for the<br />
quality of news content, the breadth of coverage<br />
and the trustworthiness of the reporting.<br />
Furthermore, 63% of online users said they<br />
would miss the print edition of their newspaper<br />
if it was no longer available, an increase of seven<br />
percentage points since 2007.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
The lack of trust that consumers have in content<br />
they find online represents the greatest<br />
argument for news brands to embrace the<br />
digital challenge. It also makes a clear business<br />
case for charging users for this trust.<br />
Trust is the most valuable asset that any news<br />
brand could hope to attain. It takes many years<br />
to nurture and Irish publishers have it in spades.<br />
It is important that they push forward with plans<br />
to monetise this competitive advantage whilst<br />
they still have it. In a world of confusion and<br />
fragmentation, trust is the most valuable<br />
commodity of all.<br />
215.5<br />
184.0<br />
170.0<br />
27.8 26.5 24.9<br />
2011 2012 2013<br />
ROI NI<br />
Source: Core Media Estimates<br />
150,000<br />
100,000<br />
50,000<br />
SMARTPHONES<br />
PCS<br />
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12<br />
Source: Gartner, IDC, Strategy<br />
Analytics company releases<br />
TRUST IS THE TRUMP CARD THAT<br />
NEWS BRANDS HAVE TO PLAY IN<br />
THE DIGITAL FUTURE<br />
9
In 2012 investment in online media increased by 14% on an all-Ireland basis, taking 22% share<br />
of total media investment in the Republic, but only 10% in Northern Ireland. The key drivers of<br />
growth have been ‘richer’ ad formats (e.g. home page takeovers), video-on-demand and mobile.<br />
This growth is set to continue and by 2015 we expect online will be the largest media sector in<br />
the Irish market, commanding 28% share of spend.<br />
The advent of programmatic media buying will gain momentum this year as more Real-Time<br />
Buying (RTB) solutions become available. This will open up new options for direct response<br />
advertisers to derive stronger return on investment, as these platforms allow for greater targeting<br />
and use of campaign data.<br />
Search is still dominated by Google, which accounts for 95% of revenue. Bing has failed to make<br />
an impact so far, which is unfortunate because the market needs an injection of competition.<br />
Mobile spend is growing and is likely to reach €4m in ROI this year. The NI market is at an<br />
earlier stage of development and investment is likely to remain under €500k in 2013. However,<br />
this is just the beginning; by 2016 mobile spend will treble to almost €15m across the island.<br />
2013 will see further growth in the tablet space with increased choice and possibilities. By the<br />
end of this year there could be 1.25 million devices in NI & ROI combined.<br />
The growth in social media penetration is leveling off, with over 3 million people on the island<br />
using at least one of the social networks. However, usage continues to rise as smartphones<br />
open up the ‘always-on’ culture. Facebook, YouTube and Twitter continue to be pervasive, but<br />
we see discreet audiences building across other networks such as Tumblr, Pinterest and<br />
Instagram. For the B2B market Linkedin is still the only game in town, with over 800,000 monthly<br />
users across the island.<br />
We shouldn’t write off Google+, because the company is determined to position it as the glue<br />
that brings together its interfaces across search, mobile and software. As social content<br />
becomes more search-friendly expect to see Google+ being used as part of more effective SEO<br />
strategies in 2013.<br />
10<br />
ONLINE<br />
BY 2015 ONLINE WILL BE THE LARGEST MEDIUM IN<br />
IRELAND WITH 28% MARKET SHARE
01 MOBILE EVERYTHING<br />
Consumers have adapted to smartphones in huge<br />
numbers; penetration has passed the 50% mark in<br />
ROI and is approaching 40% in NI. Up to 3 million<br />
devices will be in use across the island before the end<br />
of the year. However, an estimated 95% of Irish<br />
websites are not built for mobile; they are too fat and<br />
cumbersome. Expecting a consumer to squeeze and<br />
pinch a content heavy site will just lead to losing<br />
them. With mobile Internet usage forecasted to<br />
overtake desktop usage, every business needs to<br />
rethink how they are presented online; a mobile-first<br />
strategy is what’s needed.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
Any brand that relies on its website to deliver business<br />
results needs to have a strong mobile presence. Sites<br />
and content management systems need to work<br />
across all Internet platforms, creating a seamless<br />
experience for the consumer. Techniques such as<br />
‘responsive design’ will become more prevalent, as<br />
they allow for the development of one master site that<br />
will intuitively work across all devices.<br />
Consumer behaviour on mobile is different to the<br />
more familiar desktop behaviours. It is imperative<br />
that site owners gain an understanding of this new<br />
realm by implementing effective tracking and<br />
usability studies. In a few years desktop Internet may<br />
be a secondary market as consumers move to other<br />
devices such as the smartphone, tablet & smart TV.<br />
130.0<br />
ONLINE SPEND (€M)<br />
150.7<br />
167.0<br />
15.3 16.2 17.5<br />
2011 2012 2013<br />
ROI<br />
NI<br />
Source: Core Media Estimates<br />
02 LISTEN & LEARN 03 DATA<br />
The Social Graph is the network of content that<br />
search engines such as Google trawls to provide<br />
consumers with opinion and feedback on everything<br />
from world politics to the best marinade sauce. These<br />
searches are not only being done via the traditional<br />
search engines; ‘social search’ is also becoming an<br />
important feature of the market.<br />
Many brand owners are not recognising the power<br />
and influence of the Social Graph as a means to<br />
understand consumers - what they are saying about<br />
your brand, your competitors, what they like, what<br />
they dislike, what they want. Effective social listening<br />
provides insight on tap and, in the right hands, will<br />
power a business like never before.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
Every consumer segment is now online, so brands<br />
need effective social listening programmes to garner<br />
insight from the Social Graph. This is not about<br />
collating the comments on a Facebook page but a<br />
formal structure for aggregating social content and<br />
opinion to generate insight.<br />
It is important that social insight is treated as<br />
seriously as other forms of research used for<br />
marketing planning. It will deliver<br />
results when structured<br />
ONLINE SPEND BY TYPE<br />
CLASSIFIED<br />
21%<br />
DISPLAY<br />
34%<br />
Source: IAB/Core Media<br />
SEARCH<br />
45%<br />
effectively. But, remember<br />
a brand cannot be so<br />
democratic that it<br />
actually listens to<br />
everyone. Part of<br />
the reason a brand<br />
actually exists is<br />
because it offers a<br />
specific point of<br />
view.<br />
All companies are producing massive amounts<br />
of data as a by-product of their interactions with<br />
consumers. However, most companies are not<br />
harnessing this opportunity for commercial<br />
gain. Companies like Amazon, Google and<br />
Facebook only make business decisions based<br />
on highly sophisticated data-led insights, and<br />
that data is the driver of their business success.<br />
A recent survey by Experian found that 72% of<br />
companies have started to implement a ‘single<br />
customer view’, but… only 2% can currently<br />
integrate all of the data they capture. It is<br />
mission critical that all companies have a data<br />
strategy to refine their business planning and<br />
grow revenue.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
Organising data within a business can be<br />
complicated as there tends to be multiple,<br />
unconnected sources that need to be brought<br />
together. When effectively aggregated, this<br />
data can facilitate better strategic decisions as<br />
well as identifying immediate opportunities to<br />
tailor, personalise and track the outcome of<br />
marketing messages faster than previously<br />
possible. Imagine being able to feed data from<br />
this morning’s retail sales into this afternoon’s<br />
search & display campaigns; it would shorten<br />
sales cycles, reduce wastage and increase<br />
profitability.<br />
ONLY 5% OF IRISH WEBSITES<br />
ARE MOBILE READY<br />
11
We expect radio to fare better than most media in the Republic of Ireland with 1.5% growth in<br />
spend this year, due to its ability to attract revenue from local advertisers, who will become<br />
more active in 2013. The Northern Ireland market will be less fortunate with spend levels likely<br />
to fall back by 2%.<br />
Despite the small growth in spend in ROI, many stations will continue to struggle financially;<br />
we estimate that less than 50% of stations are profitable in the current climate. Thankfully, the<br />
BAI has relaxed its 20% rule in relation to news and current affairs content on music-driven/niche<br />
stations. Broadcasters such as Phantom and Nova have received approval to reduce their<br />
current affairs output to 12% and 10% respectively, whereas Beat’s requirement has fallen to<br />
15%. These changes will reduce the overhead burden and improve the flow of programming<br />
across the day on these stations.<br />
Radio broadcasters in the Republic feel they have been put at a disadvantage since television<br />
commercial codes were relaxed in 2011 with the introduction of product placement. They will<br />
continue to lobby the Broadcasting Authority to permit commercial references to be integrated<br />
within programming, as is the case in Northern Ireland. We expect the BAI to take these<br />
concerns on board and make the appropriate changes.<br />
The development of digital broadcasting has stalled in the Republic. Digital, in one guise or<br />
another, will inevitably take over from analogue in the future, but it will be interesting to see if<br />
it’s DAB or internet radio that wins in the long run.<br />
The emergence of internet ‘pure-play’ streaming services is an exciting development that poses<br />
a serious threat to the domestic radio sector in the medium term. Traditional radio will endure<br />
because people want the two-way relationship, but according to research we carried out in<br />
January, 18% of regular listeners listen to radio for music, and for no other reason. This is a<br />
substantial minority who are likely to convert to the online option gradually over the next few<br />
years.<br />
12<br />
RADIO<br />
18% OF REGULAR RADIO LISTENERS LISTEN TO<br />
RADIO FOR MUSIC, AND FOR NO OTHER REASON
01 INTERNET RADIO<br />
In the future, the industry’s focus will shift from the<br />
repetitive nature of formatted radio to a concentration<br />
on the user experience and real choice that internet<br />
radio offers. We are not referring to simulcasting of FM<br />
transmissions online, but the exciting development of<br />
‘pure-play’, where the listener designs their own music<br />
channel, and can pause or skip the music. This form of<br />
radio has taken off in the United States, where the<br />
market leader, Pandora, already has 66 million active<br />
users and 8% share of all radio listening.<br />
Pandora is not accessible in Ireland, but similar<br />
services are available; the most recent addition,<br />
Spotify, has a database of over 18 million songs,<br />
providing users with vast choice across all genres.<br />
Users can select a free service (with advertising) or<br />
premium commercial-free options ranging from<br />
€4.99 to €9.99 per month. Since its launch in ROI in<br />
November Spotify has secured 65,000 active users<br />
and hopes to reach 140,000 by the end of this year.<br />
Penetration in NI currently stands at 25,000.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
Although pure-play accounts for only a fraction of<br />
listening in Ireland today, we expect it to grow to 20%<br />
by 2020. Interest in the sector will be piqued when<br />
Apple launches its own ‘radio’ service in the first half<br />
of 2013. While these webcasters offer commercialfree<br />
options, circa 80% still choose the standard<br />
service and can therefore be reached through<br />
advertising. Enhanced targeting can be secured<br />
based on demographics, location and music<br />
genre.<br />
103.0<br />
RADIO SPEND (€M)<br />
97.0 98.5<br />
02 MOBILE 03 SONIC BRANDING<br />
The vast majority of listenership to radio takes<br />
place where we live; 65% of weekday primetime<br />
listening in the Republic is done at home,<br />
13% at work, 20% in the car and just under 2%<br />
on our mobiles. With smartphone penetration<br />
growing all the time, the incidence of mobile<br />
listening will grow, but it’s the car where the<br />
biggest revolution will take place.<br />
The ‘connected car’ will combine the benefits of<br />
a smartphone with the latest in-car audio<br />
systems. Ford has achieved this marriage of<br />
technologies to bring the internet to the car in<br />
the United States. It’s called SYNC AppLink and<br />
provides motorists with a way to listen to online<br />
radio using voice commands. It also provides<br />
access to innovative apps like Kaliki that read<br />
magazine articles to you! The system hasn’t<br />
reached our shores yet, but these exciting<br />
technologies will breathe new life into the in-car<br />
experience over the next three years.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
The big question is whether internet radio will win<br />
out over the Digital Audio Broadcasting (DAB)<br />
platform, which has been heavily backed in the UK<br />
in recent years. 33% of all new cars in the UK have<br />
DAB installed, but the technology is<br />
already outdated and has been<br />
overtaken by the internet in<br />
THE PRIMARY REASON FOR<br />
LISTENING TO RADIO<br />
LIVELY<br />
DEBATE<br />
11.3%<br />
LOCAL<br />
NEWS<br />
14.1%<br />
PRESENTER<br />
11.6%<br />
MUSIC<br />
18.2%<br />
terms of quality and<br />
choice. With car<br />
manufacturers in<br />
other countries<br />
moving toward<br />
i n t e r n e t<br />
devices, DAB<br />
is beginning to<br />
look quite<br />
redundant.<br />
Memory and sound are inextricably linked. We all<br />
remember music from commercials we experienced<br />
in our childhood and memories come back when we<br />
hear them. Today, these devices (such as McDonalds<br />
Ba da ba ba ba or the Intel Inside sonic device) are<br />
as important as visual brand references.<br />
In the words of production company, MassiveMusic<br />
“With music we can have enhanced memory recall.<br />
Tying the proper music and sound design to a brand<br />
can create a sense of familiarity, comfort and a direct<br />
memory."<br />
Many sonic triggers are created for TV and then<br />
adapted for radio, with consequent benefits in terms<br />
of frequency and campaign longevity. However, only<br />
a minority of campaigns make use of this effective<br />
technique.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
Sonic branding not only provides stronger recall<br />
among your core target market, it also delivers the<br />
added benefit of connecting with tomorrow’s<br />
consumers. This can create a warm and long lasting<br />
connection with the brand as consumers mature over<br />
time.<br />
However, selecting the right musical device is not<br />
easy. It should be carefully chosen and tested to<br />
predict its potential to stimulate a positive response<br />
for the brand.<br />
13.0 13.3 13.0<br />
2011 2012 2013<br />
ROI NI DIGITAL<br />
Source: Core Media Estimates<br />
Source: Core Media/Ignite<br />
Research<br />
NEWS, SPORT<br />
& TRAVEL<br />
38.7%<br />
AUDIO BRODCASTING (DAB) IS<br />
BEGINNING TO LOOK QUITE REDUNDANT<br />
13
2013 will be another difficult year for out-of-home media. We are forecasting a further decline<br />
in revenue of 2% in the Republic and 5% in Northern Ireland.<br />
Significant price reductions are being achieved due to the decline in demand, and while agencies<br />
will continue to put pressure on improvement, we expect media owners to seek yield protection<br />
in 2013. However, the focus will not just be on price; we will keep applying pressure in relation<br />
to the quality of plant and no low grade panels will be tolerated. This will result in the industry<br />
continuing to cull less desirable sites. Billboard inventory decreased by over 6% in 2012 and<br />
we expect a further 4% decrease this year in tandem with an improvement in the presentation<br />
and quality of large format panels.<br />
2012 saw the release of the new Dublin Travel Survey, which drives the coverage & frequency<br />
model for outdoor campaigns. The survey’s new methodology has led to a re-calibration of<br />
coverage norms for the medium, enabling planners to deliver desired coverage levels while<br />
purchasing fewer sites. It will be interesting to see the results from the planned Cork Travel<br />
Survey when released later this year.<br />
In addition to delivering improved value and accountability, the OOH sector will have to continue<br />
to innovate in order to reverse revenue declines. Alcohol advertising currently accounts for<br />
circa 15% of outdoor revenues, but the imposition of restrictions by the Government may see<br />
this fall further in 2013, potentially leading to an outright ban during 2014. The medium has<br />
faced challenges like this in the past; the answer is to reinvent and invest in order to make the<br />
medium more attractive, flexible and effective.<br />
14<br />
OUT OF<br />
HOME<br />
THE NUMBER OF DIGITAL SCREENS IN ROI<br />
WILL GROW TO 1,400 IN 2013
01 POINT OF SALE<br />
Point-of-Sale advertising continues to grow and by<br />
the end of 2013 we expect it to account for 18% of<br />
the total OOH market in Ireland (North & South).<br />
Historically, many FMCGs used larger formats to<br />
deliver brand campaigns. However, with an<br />
increasing emphasis on following the consumer ‘path<br />
to purchase’, POS formats have grown in importance.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
The increased focus on POS has led to an increase in<br />
innovation. ‘Retail Adtowers’ were recently launched<br />
in forecourts, supermarkets and off-licenses. In<br />
addition, Clear Channel has developed a number of<br />
retail packs, which contain 6 sheet sites in close<br />
proximity to leading retailers.<br />
Over the longer term, marketers must remember to<br />
bring balance to their communications plans; core<br />
brand metrics will suffer if there is an over-reliance<br />
on short-term price promotion communication. POS<br />
formats should continue to be used for what they do<br />
best, which is to communicate in-store offers and<br />
‘new news’ about a brand, but this needs to be<br />
balanced with brand building further back on the path<br />
to purchase.<br />
57.7<br />
13.0<br />
OOH SPEND (€M)<br />
54.0 53.0<br />
12.5 11.9<br />
2011 2012 2013<br />
ROI NI<br />
Source: Core Media Estimates<br />
811<br />
02 VIRUTAL RETAILING 03 DIGITAL FORMATS<br />
In 2012 Eason launched Ireland’s first virtual book<br />
shop at Connolly Station in Dublin. Here commuters<br />
can buy bestsellers by scanning the QR code on the<br />
book with their smart phone. In China a leading e-<br />
commerce company ‘Yihaodian’ is launching over<br />
1,000 virtual supermarkets where shoppers can<br />
browse around an augmented reality version of a<br />
store, purchase products and receive delivery straight<br />
to their door.<br />
Innovation in China is seen as a good predictor of<br />
future retail trends; PWC believes China may leapfrog<br />
the retail landscapes seen in the West, going straight<br />
to a model with fewer stores that are used as<br />
showrooms and collection points for online shoppers.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
OOH offers companies the opportunity to reach target<br />
audiences in ‘the right place’. This does not just<br />
relate to a location but also to their mindset -<br />
communicating with potential customers when and<br />
where they are most likely to be receptive.<br />
Already consumers have shifted €4 billion away from<br />
regular high street outlets to online<br />
channels in Ireland. Virtual retailing<br />
and mobile commerce will<br />
continue to drive this forward.<br />
ROI DIGITAL PANEL GROWTH<br />
Various out-of-home formats<br />
will evolve not just to<br />
deliver communication<br />
1400<br />
but also to facilitate e-<br />
930<br />
c o m m e r c e<br />
opportunities.<br />
2011 2012<br />
2013<br />
Source: Poster Management Ltd.<br />
The number of digital screens in ROI is expected<br />
to grow from 930 in 2012 to 1,400 this year. The<br />
NI market is less developed with only 27 displays.<br />
Advertising messages on these screens can be<br />
daypart or day-of-week specific. This technology<br />
also offers other opportunities; for example, in<br />
New York, the public transport company is testing<br />
digital advertisements on bus-sides where the<br />
message can change depending on the bus<br />
location or weather conditions.<br />
In terms of interactivity, Near Field<br />
Communications (NFC) is now gaining<br />
momentum. NFC has a number of valuable<br />
features; it enables the consumer to download<br />
content by holding their mobile device close to<br />
a poster, and allows the consumer to make a<br />
contact-free credit card payment.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
With the increased mobility of consumers and<br />
omnipresence of smartphones, digital OOH will<br />
continue to transform traditional outdoor in<br />
areas with high footfall such as shopping<br />
centres and public transport hubs. This format<br />
needs to be planned differently from regular<br />
outdoor panels in order to deliver on the full<br />
benefit of their interactivity and flexibility.<br />
Although the higher costs of these panels<br />
reflect the potential added benefits, too often<br />
the final creative executions do not exploit the<br />
potential offered by these screens.<br />
OUTDOOR MUST REINVENT AND INVEST<br />
IN ORDER TO MAKE IT MORE ATTRACTIVE,<br />
FLEXIBLE AND EFFECTIVE<br />
15
Much like the latest Twilight instalment, 2012 could be described as a solid sequel to 2011, not<br />
breaking any records but performing respectably. In a year where many media struggled for<br />
consumers and revenue, cinema fared better than most. Overall admissions were down 4% on<br />
the island, with box office receipts down by 3%. Less disposable income and emigration were<br />
blamed by industry insiders. An examination of the figures shows that geographic areas<br />
experiencing higher emigration have suffered more as cinema’s core audience of 18-34 fled<br />
these shores. It is estimated that this age segment shrank by 40,000 in the last year.<br />
In sharp contrast to the audience declines, advertising investment actually increased by 1% in<br />
ROI, due mainly to significant year-round activity by P&G. Northern Ireland spend was up by<br />
almost 16% because of a major lift in cinema investment across the UK due to the success of<br />
Skyfall. However, this growth will be reversed in both regions in 2013.<br />
Once again the Irish box office charts looked like a Halloween party with superheroes, vampires,<br />
hobbits, a sabre toothed tiger and even a teddy bear dominating. Battling it out for top spot<br />
were Christian Bale as Batman and Daniel Craig back as 007; suit and tie won out over cape<br />
and cowl as James Bond in Skyfall proved a big a hit with Irish cinema goers, narrowly edging<br />
The Dark Knight into second place.<br />
The march towards digital continued in 2012. 70% of all screens in the Republic and 90% in<br />
Northern Ireland are now digitally enabled. It is expected that all cinemas will be fully converted<br />
to digital by the end of the first quarter. This is a major step forward considering that only 47%<br />
of screens were digital this time last year in ROI and 25% in NI.<br />
16<br />
CINEMA<br />
ALL CINEMAS WILL BE FULLY CONVERTED TO<br />
DIGITAL BY THE END OF Q1
01 RISE OF HOME CINEMA<br />
There is a range of entertainment options available,<br />
which directly compete with cinema. Netflix, UPC ondemand,<br />
SKY Go and Apple TV all allow consumers to<br />
view high definition movies from the comfort of their<br />
armchair, for less than the price of a cinema ticket.<br />
It is difficult to quantify how much on-demand viewing<br />
is taking place, but a conservative estimate puts the<br />
market at 650,000 homes in ROI and NI combined.<br />
Netflix (with 87,000 unique users in ROI and 43,000 in<br />
NI) has said that its service has taken off faster in<br />
Ireland than in the UK.<br />
Cinema’s biggest advantage is that it’s the only place<br />
to see the very latest movies. However, this advantage<br />
is diminishing; Skyfall finished its cinema run in the<br />
second week of December and will be available on<br />
iTunes, just 12 weeks later. While cinemas are strongly<br />
opposed to any shortening of this gap, this trend looks<br />
set to continue as ‘on-demand’ providers strengthen<br />
their ties with the big film companies.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
Competition amongst the different suppliers of ondemand<br />
should see the quality of movies improve and<br />
the price drop. These factors combined with faster<br />
broadband should see a big increase in on-demand<br />
viewing in 2013. This will have an impact on cinema<br />
admissions and we expect a further decline of 2% in<br />
admissions again in 2013, as a consequence of this.<br />
CINEMA SPEND (€M)<br />
7.2 7.3 7.3<br />
1.7<br />
2011 2012 2013<br />
ROI NI ADMISSIONS<br />
2.0 1.7<br />
Source: Core Media Estimates<br />
ROI<br />
16.4m 15.7m 15.3m<br />
2011 2012 2013<br />
02 ENHANCED VIEWING 03 BUYING DIGITAL<br />
As cinema suffers from the growth in video-ondemand<br />
it is employing technology to hit back. The<br />
industry is betting on ‘enhanced viewing’ as the way<br />
to sell the cinema experience. IMAX is the best<br />
example of this where patrons are treated to a more<br />
spectacular and immersive viewing experience<br />
through the latest digital projection and surround<br />
sound technology. There are now two IMAX sites in<br />
ROI and the company is is also considering reopening<br />
its screen in Belfast.<br />
Odeon has also introduced two ‘isense’ screens and<br />
Omniplex is launching its first ‘Omnimax’ screen in<br />
Drogheda; both are similar products to IMAX. It seems<br />
that a technology arms race is underway between<br />
providers of in-home and out-of-home viewing to win<br />
the battle for consumers’ entertainment time.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
With on-demand clearly here to stay, cinema has to<br />
keep giving people reasons to consume their product<br />
out of the home.<br />
IMAX is not new to Ireland - this is its second coming.<br />
However, rather than short films produced to<br />
showcase IMAX, each distributor tailors its biggest<br />
releases for the enhanced viewing<br />
experience. IMAX and its<br />
imitators are becoming<br />
CINEMA ADMISSIONS known as the ultimate<br />
way to see a movie.<br />
However, with only<br />
NI<br />
five sites on the<br />
island, it will take<br />
some time before<br />
it makes any<br />
d i s c e r n i b l e<br />
difference to<br />
5.9m 5.6m 5.5m<br />
overall admissions<br />
Source: Carton Screen<br />
Advertising/Core Media<br />
2011 2012 2013<br />
By the end of quarter one this year, all screens<br />
on the island of Ireland will be digital. This is a<br />
watershed moment and offers exciting<br />
opportunities for advertisers. One of the<br />
barriers to entry has been the production costs<br />
involved. Producing a cinema version of a TV<br />
commercial was expensive and time<br />
consuming. This will now be a thing of the past,<br />
dramatically reducing the entry cost for<br />
advertisers. Furthermore, it will offer greater<br />
flexibility when it comes to targeting specific<br />
films, regions and copy changes.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
Carlton Screen is expecting to launch its plans<br />
for selling 100% digital in March and is keeping<br />
tight-lipped about details until then. However,<br />
at a minimum the usual barriers to cinema such<br />
as cost, time and flexibility should be reduced.<br />
Agencies will of course be keen to see what<br />
extra can be done. In a world where the next<br />
step for TV is to serve specific creative to<br />
specific audiences, 100% digital should allow<br />
exciting developments in targeting those<br />
watching the silver screen.<br />
FELL BY 4% IN 2012 AND<br />
WILL DROP BY 2% THIS YEAR<br />
17
Last year was a showcase year for Sponsorship with the Olympics and Euro 2012 grabbing the<br />
headlines. P&G’s sponsorship of the Olympics clearly demonstrated the ability of a well-executed<br />
platform to deliver a return at the checkout; its Olympic campaign covered 34 brands and four<br />
million stores worldwide and is estimated to have yielded $500m in incremental sales for the<br />
company.<br />
The key to successful sponsorship is identifying properties that consumers are passionate about<br />
and showcasing this involvement through the activation of the sponsorship, by providing rich<br />
experiences and valuable content. Sponsorship in all its forms (product placement, event, venue<br />
and broadcast) is evolving in this direction and the P&G campaign exemplifies this.<br />
Consumer involvement in sponsored events is a major factor in their success. Research by<br />
Professor Tony Meenaghan has shown that increased fan involvement in a sponsored activity<br />
evokes a positive emotional response towards the sponsor, but this attribute has not been<br />
universally embraced in sponsorship activation; this needs to change.<br />
Naming rights have become popular in recent years; this form of sponsorship can catapult a<br />
brand to the top of a consideration table for many consumers. Some major deals have been<br />
struck including The O2, The Aviva Stadium and Bord Gáis Energy Theatre, all of which are<br />
playing a significant role in customer retention and loyalty programmes for these companies.<br />
However, sponsorship has not been immune to the decline in marketing investment over the<br />
past few years; in 2012 spend fell by 8% to €130m in Ireland (North & South) and we only<br />
expect a marginal increase in 2013.<br />
Looking further ahead, spending in this sector will grow substantially as viewers become<br />
increasingly able to avoid exposure to TV commercials through the use of Digital Video Recorders<br />
(DVRs). In response we will increasingly use sponsorship and product placement to compensate<br />
for the lost commercial impressions.<br />
18<br />
SPONSORSHIP<br />
P&G’S OLYMPIC CAMPAIGN YIELDED $500M IN<br />
INCREMENTAL SALES FOR THE COMPANY.
01 PRODUCT PLACEMENT<br />
Product placement has witnessed strong growth in<br />
recent years as changing media habits and fewer<br />
restrictions lead us to find new ways to reach the<br />
increasingly distracted consumer.<br />
Since the BAI permitted the introduction of product<br />
placement in 2011, there has been strong interest in the<br />
area. Big deals including Spar/Fair City and Emirates<br />
Airlines/Masterchef demonstrate what’s possible to date.<br />
Globally, product placement grew by 12% to €8.3 billion<br />
in 2012, with the majority of that spent in film and TV.<br />
Skyfall was 2012’s best example of the power of this<br />
form of marketing.<br />
Product placement, however, continues to be a divisive<br />
area. The fusion of commercial and entertainment<br />
content comes with some questions, particularly in<br />
relation to trust.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
Marketers must be careful not to irritate viewers; it can<br />
lead to the brand being talked about for the wrong<br />
reasons. The more natural the placement fits with the<br />
environment, the more consumers will accept it; being<br />
too overt risks a damaging loss of credibility. As a US<br />
broadcaster once said “Our philosophy is if the brand<br />
doesn't make the show better, the brand doesn't make<br />
the show. People must not notice the integration, but they<br />
must remember it. That's the test." It’s a subtle art.<br />
130.7<br />
SPONSORSHIP SPEND (€M)<br />
117.3 118.0<br />
€6.25Bn<br />
02 RETURN ON INVESTMENT 03 MULTI-SCREEN WORLD<br />
Marketing performance has never been more<br />
important. As sponsorship evolves beyond<br />
awareness objectives, the real challenge is<br />
demonstrating its ability to drive commercial results.<br />
Traditionally, sponsorship was evaluated on changes<br />
in awareness or moving consumer attitude scores,<br />
but these metrics are soft in a world increasingly<br />
focussed on harder measures like share growth and<br />
volume sales. For many years ‘equivalent media<br />
value’ was also used to measure the worth of a<br />
sponsorship but this too is irrelevant as it bears no<br />
relationship to the objectives of the project. We must<br />
forecast the real commercial value of sponsorships<br />
and prove it afterwards.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
Be very clear when defining your objectives before<br />
investing and if your primary goal is not to drive sales,<br />
ask yourself why. Sometimes, the goal will be about<br />
driving awareness, but only as a means to sell more<br />
product and this is the piece that can’t be forgotten<br />
and often is.<br />
It is important to resist the tendency to justify the<br />
investment based on KPI movements in brand tracking<br />
surveys. It is possible to accurately<br />
unpick the return on investment of<br />
GLOBAL PRODUCT<br />
PLACEMENT SPEND<br />
€6.71Bn<br />
€7.41Bn<br />
€8.3Bn<br />
a sponsorship from the effects<br />
of the rest of the marketing<br />
mix by using econometric<br />
modeling. It is the only<br />
true way of<br />
establishing whether<br />
your sponsorship<br />
endeavours are<br />
making you money<br />
or not.<br />
Today’s consumer is a rabid media multitasker,<br />
but with the right insight, this behaviour creates<br />
an opportunity for us to deliver more audience<br />
engagement.<br />
Honda’s sponsorship of documentaries on<br />
Channel 4 is a good example of a brand that has<br />
embraced the multi-screen world with a<br />
sponsorship. The stings were designed to drive<br />
viewers to an online hub where a series of minidocumentaries<br />
were housed starring real-life<br />
customers who use their Honda products in<br />
extraordinary ways. Facebook and Twitter<br />
activity was also used to entice users to visit<br />
the hub.<br />
Multi-screen opportunities are just as relevant<br />
in a non broadcast environment. With an<br />
explosion of smart mobile devices, every<br />
touchpoint now has the ability to deliver added<br />
value content. Moreover, this is the growing<br />
expectation of consumers.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
Consider the layers that you can provide to<br />
consumers as part of your sponsorship<br />
platform. Can you use exclusive content assets<br />
to provide deeper engagement? Can you<br />
provide exclusive promotional codes to unlock<br />
discounts or deals in-store? Can you deliver<br />
more information about your brand in a<br />
compelling way in the right environment? All of<br />
these questions should be considered to unlock<br />
the opportunities of a multi screen world.<br />
11.1 13.1 13.3<br />
2011 2012 2013<br />
ROI NI GLOBALLY,<br />
Source: Core Media Estimates<br />
2009<br />
2010<br />
Source: PQ Media Global<br />
2011 2012<br />
PRODUCT PLACEMENT GREW<br />
BY 12% TO €8.3 BILLION IN 2012<br />
19
In an age where return on investment plays the key role in marketing decision making, knowing<br />
with certainty that you are reaching your intended audience has never been more important.<br />
As a result, the direct marketing industry is faring well with all sectors showing positive growth.<br />
Direct marketing now accounts for a third of marketing budgets (up from 28% in 2010), despite<br />
the lack of a post-code system in the Republic of Ireland. Successive governments have made<br />
commitments to introduce national postcodes, but this has met with delay after delay, leaving<br />
Ireland as the only country in Western Europe without one. In our view the introduction of this<br />
system will take place in the next 12 months and its arrival will further stimulate the market<br />
through the availability of a wider range of targeted services. Knowing exactly who’s receiving<br />
your communications will help reduce wastage for brands and further improve on the relevance<br />
of communications for consumers, leading to a more effective communications channel for all.<br />
In the meantime, there are still a number of strong products available to tailor communications<br />
to a targeted audience, and the importance of these products will continue to grow. In fact, the<br />
ability to target a specific audience remains a primary strength of direct mail versus other<br />
communication channels, including email. <strong>Business</strong>es that collect additional information about<br />
their customers can develop very personal campaigns through the use of variable data printing.<br />
In recent years the direct marketing sector has seen a shift into digital forms of communication<br />
at the expense of mail, primarily to reduce costs. However, the high volumes of untargeted e-<br />
mail and spam have created some antipathy towards e-mail. This has resulted in a<br />
reassessment of the strength of direct mail and a growth in understanding of how to match the<br />
medium with the message. Consumers talk of the need for in-depth, important information to<br />
be sent by post, rather than e-mail. As one USPS customer puts it “E-mail may be the base of<br />
your communications with me, but I’m getting too much junk. If it’s really important, send it to<br />
me by post.”<br />
In 2013, the consumer will increasingly expect direct mail that is relevant to them, specific to<br />
them, and focused on giving them added value.<br />
20<br />
DIRECT<br />
MARKETING<br />
DIRECT MARKETING NOW ACCOUNTS FOR A<br />
THIRD OF MARKETING BUDGETS
01 INTERACTION WITH DIGITAL<br />
Consumers are changing how they consume<br />
media, and by the end of 2013 circa 40% of all<br />
time spent with media will be through digital<br />
channels.<br />
Traditionally, direct marketing campaigns have<br />
been integrated with mainstream media such<br />
as TV and Print, but things are changing and the<br />
direct mail sector needs to adapt to this<br />
consumer shift.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
Marketers need to think about the inherent<br />
opportunities that exist through the integration<br />
of direct mail with digital channel activity.<br />
Research has shown that 58% of people are<br />
more likely to click on a search link for a<br />
company if they’ve received something in the<br />
post. More importantly, 59% see additional<br />
items they would like to buy online when they<br />
have a physical brochure or product guide in<br />
their hand.<br />
There is, therefore, a necessity to integrate<br />
search activity with direct mail in order to<br />
catch all stimulated demand. The<br />
synergy achieved by the precise<br />
integration of these activities<br />
will significantly increase<br />
response.<br />
% OF ADULTS WHO FIND<br />
DIRECT MAIL RELEVANT TO THEM<br />
02 LOCAL MARKETING 03 RELEVANCE<br />
Constricted budgets have reduced the ability of<br />
some brands to communicate on a national<br />
basis. Local is now becoming the lifeblood of<br />
small businesses in particular who appreciate,<br />
more than most, that the daily lives of their<br />
customers are influenced by what exists<br />
directly around where they live.<br />
The lack of a postcode system has made<br />
precise local targeting more difficult, but new<br />
marketing tools have emerged to overcome this<br />
and enable brands to tap this local well of<br />
potential business.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
A recent product launch from An Post allows<br />
companies to take advantage of improved<br />
targeting techniques by focusing on streets and<br />
areas surrounding a business to allow it to<br />
tightly target specific areas of interest. This<br />
enables marketers to target different locations<br />
with tailored offers, without overextending<br />
themselves financially.<br />
Companies can also use this facility to improve<br />
their website traffic, from a specific geographic<br />
location, by using postcards to incentive<br />
local consumers to go online.<br />
Advertising is pervasive; at every contact point<br />
throughout the day we are being hit with<br />
communications. Seldom does the marketer<br />
fully understand whether you are a 55 year old<br />
man who loves golf or a 22 year old female art<br />
student. As a result, ad-avoidance is<br />
increasing. The same holds true in the direct<br />
marketing industry, which has to contend with<br />
an increasingly cluttered and unaddressed<br />
channel. On the other hand, personalised direct<br />
mail continues to be valued, with 31% of<br />
consumers stating that it is an important<br />
channel for encouraging purchase, as compared<br />
with 20% in UK. In fact, 18-25 year olds are one<br />
of the most responsive audiences with 74% of<br />
them saying that they enjoy receiving post.<br />
IMPLICATION<br />
The key to success in direct marketing is<br />
getting targeted; gone are the days of blanket<br />
bombing. Brands should seek to find out more<br />
about their customers than merely the name<br />
and address. What are their likes; what are<br />
their pet hates; tag their behaviours and create<br />
a profile of your audience that allows for more<br />
targeted and relevant communications. By<br />
spending money on your valuable customers,<br />
tailoring your creative and reduce wastage you<br />
will drive response rates significantly. Consider<br />
using different senses to stimulate a<br />
connection. Add a scent or a sound in order to<br />
generate a buzz and drive response.<br />
49%<br />
2009<br />
59%<br />
2010<br />
58%<br />
2011<br />
Source: An Post<br />
65%<br />
58% OF PEOPLE ARE MORE LIKELY TO CLICK ON<br />
2012<br />
A SEARCH LINK FOR A COMPANY IF THEY’VE<br />
RECEIVED SOMETHING IN THE POST<br />
21
FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT:<br />
ALAN COX<br />
TEL: +353 1 649 6458<br />
WEB: WWW.COREMEDIA.IE<br />
EMAIL: ALAN.COX@COREMEDIA.IE