FROM: Lisa Sorani, Manager of HR Employee Services LS -

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Expert Views: Inflation Hawks The Evidence • Gold Prices have skyrocketed on inflation fears 14 14
Expert Views: Summary • Experts are bitterly divided on the future of inflation • Dovish Economists (usually more left leaning) see little near term threat from inflation • See Output Gap (slow economy) as impediment to inflation • Hawkish Economists (usually more right leaning) predicted moderate to massive inflation due to the easy monetary policy and the trillions of dollars of spending by the current administration • “Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon” – Milton Friedman • Many great investors seem to believe inflation will be the victor and are buying gold and commodities as well as other asset classes that do well in an inflationary environment • Selling fixed income securities 15 15
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M E M O R A N D U M Date: April 29,
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Recent Investment Performance Barro
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Additional Considerations Barrow Ha
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For example, as of the most recent
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Q1 - 2013 Preliminary Recent Invest
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Q1 - 2013 Preliminary Periods endin
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Q1 - 2013 Preliminary Fixed Income
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AGENDA ITEMS Section Tab Current In
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THE CURRENT INTEREST RATE ENVIRONME
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SECTION 2 LOOKING FORWARD Source: W
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LOOKING FORWARD: INTRODUCTION r •
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LOOKING FORWARD: POSSIBLE OUTCOMES
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POSSIBLE OUTCOMES: ALTERNATIVE SCEN
Page 58 and 59: POSSIBLE OUTCOMES: ALTERNATIVE SCEN
Page 78 and 79: LOOKING FORWARD: CONCLUSIONS r •
Page 80 and 81: INVESTMENT OPTIONS r • In light o
Page 82 and 83: INVESTMENT OPTION 2 r • Option 2:
Page 84 and 85: INVESTMENT OPTION 4 r • Option 4:
Page 86 and 87: INVESTMENT OPTION 4-A r • Option
Page 88 and 89: INVESTMENT OPTION 4-B r • Option
Page 90 and 91: INVESTMENT OPTION 4-C r • Option
Page 92 and 93: CONCLUSIONS r • There are a few a
Page 95 and 96: Considering a Real Return Class Eas
Page 97 and 98: Defining Inflation • Inflation is
Page 99 and 100: Expert Views 5
Page 101 and 102: Expert Views: Inflation Doves • B
Page 103 and 104: Expert Views: Inflation Doves The E
Page 105 and 106: Expert Views: Inflation Hawks • B
Page 107: Expert Views: Inflation Hawks The E
Page 111 and 112: Institutional Investor Response •
Page 113 and 114: Modeling the Real Return Class •
Page 115 and 116: Modeling the Real Return Class •
Page 117 and 118: Implementing a Real Return Class
Page 119 and 120: Appendix 25 25
Page 121 and 122: Modeling a Real Return Class SUMMAR
Page 123 and 124: A Brief Description of Global Infla
Page 125 and 126: A Brief Description of Absolute Ret
Page 127 and 128: A Brief Description of Absolute Ret
Page 129 and 130: A Brief Description of Commodities
Page 131 and 132: A Brief Description of Oil & Gas RE
Page 133 and 134: A Brief Description of Oil & Gas RE
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FROM: Lisa Sorani, Manager of HR Employee Services LS -

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