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L. Fituni, I. Abramova Resource Potential of Africa and Russia's ...

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tion in the global division <strong>of</strong> labor which is very similar to that <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Africa</strong>.<br />

Since approximately the beginning <strong>of</strong> the 2000s, Moscow has<br />

been desperately trying to change this situation, but encounters<br />

strong resistance from old rivals (now main buyers <strong>of</strong> its export<br />

commodities), new competitors (which develop more dynamically<br />

<strong>and</strong> are more adroit <strong>and</strong> agile in occupying new opening market<br />

niches) <strong>and</strong> indigenous oligarchs, whose fortunes depend on the raw<br />

material specialization <strong>of</strong> their country. In may be a coincidence, but<br />

the general “disappointment” <strong>of</strong> the West with the end results <strong>of</strong><br />

democratization processes in Russia coincided with the shift in the<br />

Russia’s attitude <strong>of</strong> its subordinate role in the international division<br />

<strong>of</strong> labor.<br />

Though on the whole Russia’s metamorphosis at the end <strong>of</strong> the<br />

20th century was disappointing, that cloud had some silver lining<br />

too. In the 21st century, the global economy began to experience a<br />

more pronounced relative shortage <strong>of</strong> various kinds <strong>of</strong> natural resources.<br />

That means that international market prices are due to increase,<br />

thus broadening the opportunities for mobilizing the savings<br />

for development.<br />

But with that came the first signs <strong>of</strong> the so called Dutch disease,<br />

though in our view it was a very specific type <strong>of</strong> the illness.<br />

In accordance with the classical economic theory, in simple<br />

trade models, a country ought to specialize in industries that it has a<br />

comparative advantage in. So, theoretically, Russia, as a country<br />

rich in natural resources, would be better <strong>of</strong>f specializing in the extraction<br />

<strong>of</strong> natural resources. But it is not. The reliance on natural<br />

resources under a free reign market economy is slowly killing the<br />

national manufacturing industries by making any investment alternative<br />

to mining less attractive. This challenge was manageable under<br />

the Soviet planned economy, since then it were the non-market factors,<br />

that determined the areas, types <strong>and</strong> levels <strong>of</strong> investment. At<br />

that time Gosplan’s decision making was based on the priority <strong>of</strong> the<br />

macroeconomic efficiency <strong>of</strong> the Soviet economy as a whole. For<br />

that it was prepared to sacrifice the level <strong>of</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> individual<br />

projects <strong>and</strong> even whole branches. The balanced development <strong>of</strong><br />

61

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