L. Fituni, I. Abramova Resource Potential of Africa and Russia's ...

L. Fituni, I. Abramova Resource Potential of Africa and Russia's ... L. Fituni, I. Abramova Resource Potential of Africa and Russia's ...

19.11.2014 Views

arena by the loftiest goals and ideals – safeguarding peace, freedom, democracy, and opposing the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction – the basis of states' actions in the world arena is mostly their ambitions to secure control over the depleting natural resources which are in short supply. The relative growth in importance of the "resources factor" in the world economy and, as a consequence, in world politics, is graphically illustrated by comparing the figures of the Earth's growing population and the extraction of the key types of natural resources. Whereas the number of people on the planet has grown between 1960 and 2009 from 2.5 billion to 6.6 billion (by a factor of 2.64); oil production has increased from 522 million to roughly 4,000 million tons (by a factor of 6.5); gas production, from 190 billion to more than 3,000 billion cubic meters (by a factor of 15.8), and this holds true for nearly all types of mineral resources. The growth in per capita use of most types of natural resources is more than likely to continue in the foreseeable future. We cannot forget also that mineral resources are distributed very unevenly around the planet and, as a rule, their biggest users are not the countries, where they are found in abundance but where mineral resources are scarce or not found at all. No monetary crises can reverse the trend, the scale and the rate of consumption of material resources on the planet. The latter can be only possible if the number of people on the planet becomes suddenly and unnaturally reduced. The lack of liquidity, which is being constantly discussed, can only reduce the extent of virtuality of a fraction of money markets. When the real world production stays on the slide for much too long, as we know from human history, it gets overcome, in the medium term, through big wars, "hot" or "cold." In order to make sense of the key issues of global development in the 21st century, we ought to recognize, as one of the prime causes, the imbalance between the population size, the standard of socioeconomic development of countries and the availability to them of critical natural resources. Generally, this imbalance shows in that the population of developed countries accounts for 16 percent and that of developing countries, for 52 percent of the world popula- 13

tion whereas the developed countries consume 52 percent and develop 21 percent of all resources. Lurking behind the average world figures are even more glaring dissonances and differences. It would hardly be too much to say that one of the strongest motivations for reordering the geopolitical realities has been the ambition to take control of resources on the global, regional, or sectoral level. This is the backdrop against which leading economies of the world increasingly intensify their strategic rivalry for Africa's resources. The continent abounds in various types of natural resources, in nearly all known types of minerals. Africa leads the world in the reserves of manganese, chromites, bauxites, gold, platinoids, cobalt, vanadium, diamonds, phosphorites, and fluorite. It is second in the reserves of copper, asbestos, uranium, antimony, beryllium, graphite, and third in the reserves of oil, gas, mercury, and iron ore. It also has substantial reserves of titanium, nickel, bismuth, lithium, tantalum, niobium, tin, tungsten, precious stones and so on. Despite being widely different and belonging to different subgroups in terms of socioeconomic development, Russia and Africa are similar for being among the few remaining world regions with plentiful and not completely depleted resources (in company, perhaps, with Brazil and smaller regions in Asia). All this, to a significant extent, determines their present position in the world economics and politics and makes them targets of expansion and international pressure, which, for the above reasons, is only bound to grow. As the economic situation of Russia began to improve in 2001– 2008 and its international positions began to grow stronger as a consequence, certain Western countries have come to actively use the propaganda thesis of the hypothetic threat of Moscow's "raw materials (alternatively, energy) diktat" and its ambition to "place under its control the vital energy resources and routes of their delivery." At the same time, Russia's expanding economic cooperation with the developing countries is interpreted as a threat. The actual underlying reason for these claims is the intensifying global rivalry for access to the shrinking reserves of natural resources a considerable proportion of which are in Russia and Africa. As a conse- 14

arena by the l<strong>of</strong>tiest goals <strong>and</strong> ideals – safeguarding peace, freedom,<br />

democracy, <strong>and</strong> opposing the proliferation <strong>of</strong> weapons <strong>of</strong> mass destruction<br />

– the basis <strong>of</strong> states' actions in the world arena is mostly<br />

their ambitions to secure control over the depleting natural resources<br />

which are in short supply.<br />

The relative growth in importance <strong>of</strong> the "resources factor" in<br />

the world economy <strong>and</strong>, as a consequence, in world politics, is<br />

graphically illustrated by comparing the figures <strong>of</strong> the Earth's growing<br />

population <strong>and</strong> the extraction <strong>of</strong> the key types <strong>of</strong> natural resources.<br />

Whereas the number <strong>of</strong> people on the planet has grown between<br />

1960 <strong>and</strong> 2009 from 2.5 billion to 6.6 billion (by a factor <strong>of</strong><br />

2.64); oil production has increased from 522 million to roughly<br />

4,000 million tons (by a factor <strong>of</strong> 6.5); gas production, from 190<br />

billion to more than 3,000 billion cubic meters (by a factor <strong>of</strong> 15.8),<br />

<strong>and</strong> this holds true for nearly all types <strong>of</strong> mineral resources.<br />

The growth in per capita use <strong>of</strong> most types <strong>of</strong> natural resources<br />

is more than likely to continue in the foreseeable future. We cannot<br />

forget also that mineral resources are distributed very unevenly<br />

around the planet <strong>and</strong>, as a rule, their biggest users are not the countries,<br />

where they are found in abundance but where mineral resources<br />

are scarce or not found at all.<br />

No monetary crises can reverse the trend, the scale <strong>and</strong> the rate<br />

<strong>of</strong> consumption <strong>of</strong> material resources on the planet. The latter can be<br />

only possible if the number <strong>of</strong> people on the planet becomes suddenly<br />

<strong>and</strong> unnaturally reduced. The lack <strong>of</strong> liquidity, which is being<br />

constantly discussed, can only reduce the extent <strong>of</strong> virtuality <strong>of</strong> a<br />

fraction <strong>of</strong> money markets. When the real world production stays on<br />

the slide for much too long, as we know from human history, it gets<br />

overcome, in the medium term, through big wars, "hot" or "cold."<br />

In order to make sense <strong>of</strong> the key issues <strong>of</strong> global development<br />

in the 21st century, we ought to recognize, as one <strong>of</strong> the prime<br />

causes, the imbalance between the population size, the st<strong>and</strong>ard <strong>of</strong><br />

socioeconomic development <strong>of</strong> countries <strong>and</strong> the availability to<br />

them <strong>of</strong> critical natural resources. Generally, this imbalance shows<br />

in that the population <strong>of</strong> developed countries accounts for 16 percent<br />

<strong>and</strong> that <strong>of</strong> developing countries, for 52 percent <strong>of</strong> the world popula-<br />

13

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