Monitor Vol 39 08_Final_Nov08.pdf - tips
Monitor Vol 39 08_Final_Nov08.pdf - tips
Monitor Vol 39 08_Final_Nov08.pdf - tips
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Figure 1: World cereal production, 2000–2007 (million tons)<br />
1,200<br />
2,000<br />
Million tons<br />
900<br />
600<br />
300<br />
0<br />
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />
Wheat Coarse grains rice Total (right scale)<br />
1,600<br />
1,200<br />
800<br />
Total million tons<br />
87<br />
Trade & Industry <strong>Monitor</strong><br />
Note: Data for 2007 are forecasts.<br />
Source: Data from FAO 2003, 2005, 2006b, and 2007b.<br />
Figure 2: World cereal stocks, 2000–2007<br />
700<br />
600<br />
Million tons<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
Total stocks<br />
China<br />
0<br />
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />
Note: Data for 2007 are forecasts.<br />
Source: Data from FAO 2003, 2005, 2006b, and 2007b.<br />
wheat and maize production in the European Union and the United States<br />
decreased by 12 to 16 percent. On the positive side, coarse grain production<br />
in China increased by 12 percent and rice output in India increased<br />
by 9 percent (based on data from FAO 2006b and 2007b). In 2007, world<br />
cereal production is expected to rise by almost 6 percent due to sharp<br />
increases in the production of maize, the main coarse grain.<br />
In 2006, global cereal stocks—especially wheat—were at their lowest<br />
levels since the early 1980s. Stocks in China, which constitute about 40<br />
percent of total stocks, declined significantly from 2000 to 2004 and have<br />
not recovered in recent years (Figure 2). End-year cereal stocks in 2007<br />
are expected to remain at 2006 levels. 2<br />
The World Food Situation: new driving forces and required actions