Monitor Vol 39 08_Final_Nov08.pdf - tips

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9th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Addis Ababa, 15-17 June. Valenzuela, E.; Hertel, T.; Keeney, R. and Reimer, J. (2005) Assessing Global CGE Model Validity Using Agricultural Price Volatility. GTAP Working Paper No. 33. Centre for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University. van der Mensbrugghe, D. (2005) ‘LINKAGE Technical Reference Document’. Washington, DC: World Bank, unpublished manuscript. Whalley, J. (2000) What Can the Developing Countries Infer from Uruguay Round Models for the Millennium Round Positions? CSGR Working Paper No. 60/00. Warwick: University of Warwick. 31 Trade & Industry Monitor Global Trade Models and Economic Policy Analyses: Relevance, Risks and Repercussions for Africa
Trade Policy 32 Trade & Industry Monitor
Page 1 and 2: TIPS T R A D E & I N D U S T R Y M
Page 3 and 4: TIPS Executive director: Stephen ha
Page 6 and 7: trade policy 1 Why OECD countries s
Page 8 and 9: Table 1: EU and U.S. Examples of Re
Page 10 and 11: Table 3: Preferences and Utilizatio
Page 12 and 13: The third result implies that the s
Page 14 and 15: where “NAFTA markup” is the per
Page 16 and 17: exports toward already high levels
Page 18 and 19: in a multiregional trade model. Des
Page 20 and 21: value added in least developed econ
Page 22 and 23: 11. The decline in exports to the p
Page 24 and 25: trade policy 19 Global Trade Models
Page 26 and 27: depending on whether or not the dat
Page 28 and 29: Although these three studies examin
Page 30 and 31: countries are vulnerable to trade s
Page 32 and 33: OECD data, Gurgel et al. (2006) sho
Page 34 and 35: The credibility of CGE models will
Page 38 and 39: industrial policy 33 Industrial Pol
Page 40 and 41: 1991-2004 when South Africa’s per
Page 42 and 43: of clothing and textiles 14 . These
Page 44 and 45: will need to be embodied in new wel
Page 46 and 47: Second, the constraints imposed by
Page 48 and 49: Edwards, L. and Lawrence, R. (2006)
Page 50 and 51: environmental policy 45 Biofuels, a
Page 52 and 53: By 2011 around 20% of Brazilian bio
Page 54 and 55: 5. Starving the People to Feed Cars
Page 56 and 57: In policy terms, improving the bene
Page 58 and 59: environmental policy 53 Commerciali
Page 60 and 61: (PMS) with ethanol and help cushion
Page 62 and 63: The low levels of modern (commercia
Page 64 and 65: oil. Efforts are in place to establ
Page 66 and 67: since it is the first barrier that
Page 68 and 69: plant size. The optimum plant size
Page 70 and 71: the local environment). On the posi
Page 72 and 73: 15 World Bank, world development in
Page 74 and 75: environmental policy 69 Climate cha
Page 76 and 77: individual African countries are re
Page 78 and 79: Table 3: Fossil fuel production and
Page 80 and 81: The re-injection process is estimat
Page 82 and 83: References 1 IPCC, 2005, IPCC Speci
Page 84 and 85: food policy 79 Rising food prices:
Page 86 and 87:
But food prices have risen since th
Page 88 and 89:
9. The Medium-term Response Rising
Page 90 and 91:
food policy 85 The World Food Situa
Page 92 and 93:
Figure 1: World cereal production,
Page 94 and 95:
trade liberalization and the integr
Page 96 and 97:
Supply and demand changes do not fu
Page 98 and 99:
Figure 9: Brazil: Ethanol and sugar
Page 100 and 101:
Great technological strides are exp
Page 102 and 103:
Figure 12: Modeling the actual pric
Page 104 and 105:
Figure 14: Changes in the Global Hu
Page 106 and 107:
4. The acute risks facing the poor
Page 108 and 109:
OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-
Page 110:
105 10. Currently, the Monitor is d
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