The Indian Journal of Tuberculosis - LRS Institute of Tuberculosis ...

20 A.K. CHAKRABORTYCTAL ETAL
Use of the model
The critical evaluation of DTP efficiency
through the conscious selection of very high CF
efficiency, compliance, and SCC coverages, as
inputs, is certainly an optimistic projection. No
doubt, with the present levels of efficiency inputs
in case-finding, case-holding and treatment, it
may appear impossible to postulate an annual
reduction of cases equivalent to or more than the
annual incidence. Hopefully,however, one could
still expect a dent in the problem of tuberculosis,
if only in a long time-frame. With that end in
view, a model is separately being constructed to
estimate the time frame required to observe a
downward trend in the problem of tuberculosis
under some of the alternative efficiency situations
given above.
Apart from the use of the present model in
constructing the long term epidemiological time
trend of tuberculosis, following programme
interventions, realistic estimates of expectations
given in this paper could be used to demonstrate
the gains that could accrue by improving the
efficiency of various programme activities.
Programme planners and administrators could
make conscious selection of some of the
alternatives, of input-combinations given in Table
7 in context of resources available, and expect
commensurate results by matching with outputs
given in the paper.
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