City of Oxnard - Bicycle and Pedestrian Master Plan Appendices
City of Oxnard - Bicycle and Pedestrian Master Plan Appendices
City of Oxnard - Bicycle and Pedestrian Master Plan Appendices
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Appendix B | Trip <strong>and</strong> Emissions Reduction Estimates<br />
Category Calculation Source<br />
Existing estimated college walking mode<br />
share 60.0%<br />
Review <strong>of</strong> bicycle commute share in seven university<br />
communities (source: National Bicycling & Walking Study,<br />
FHWA, Case Study No. 1, 1995)<br />
Existing college walking commuters 589<br />
College student population multiplied by college student<br />
walking mode share<br />
Existing total number <strong>of</strong> walk commuters 5,863<br />
Total bike-to-work, school, college <strong>and</strong> utilitarian walking<br />
trips. Does not include recreation<br />
Total daily walking trips 11,727 Total walk commuters x 2 (for round trips)<br />
Future Commuting Statistics<br />
Future study area population 245,472 Estimate based on historic population growth<br />
Future employed population 77,891 Estimate based on historic employment growth<br />
Future walk-to-work mode share 2.1%<br />
Assuming the walk-to-work mode share increases by 25%<br />
<strong>of</strong> its present value<br />
Future number <strong>of</strong> walk-to-work commuters 1,631<br />
Employed persons multiplied by walk-to-work mode<br />
share<br />
Future work-at-home mode share 2.6%<br />
Estimate based on historic work-at-home population<br />
growth<br />
Future number <strong>of</strong> work-at-home walk<br />
commuters 1,024<br />
Assuming 25% <strong>of</strong> population working at home makes at<br />
least one daily walking trip.<br />
Future transit-to-work mode share 1.6%<br />
Assuming the transit-to-work mode share increases by a<br />
quarter <strong>of</strong> its present value.<br />
Future transit pedestrian commuters 935 Assuming 75% <strong>of</strong> transit riders access transit by foot.<br />
Future school children, ages 6-14 44,864 Estimate based on historic population growth<br />
Future school children walking mode share 16.5%<br />
Assuming the existing walk-to-work mode share increases<br />
by 50% <strong>of</strong> its present value<br />
Future school children walk commuters 7,403<br />
School children population multiplied by school children<br />
walking mode share<br />
Future number <strong>of</strong> college students in study<br />
area 20,430<br />
Estimate based on historic college student population<br />
growth<br />
Future estimated college walking mode share 60.0%<br />
Assuming there is no change in the college walking mode<br />
share<br />
Future college walking commuters 12,258<br />
College student population multiplied by college student<br />
walking mode share<br />
Future total number <strong>of</strong> walk commuters 23,251<br />
Total walk-to-work, school, college <strong>and</strong> utilitarian walking<br />
trips. Does not include recreation<br />
Future total daily walking trips 46,501 Total walk commuters x 2 (for round trips)<br />
Future Vehicle Trips <strong>and</strong> Miles Reduction<br />
Reduced Vehicle Trips per Weekday 15,493<br />
Assumes 73% <strong>of</strong> walking trips replace vehicle trips for<br />
adults/college students <strong>and</strong> 53% for school children<br />
B-6 | Alta <strong>Plan</strong>ning + Design